November 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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Rubus_Leucodermis
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Re: November 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

Typeing3 wrote: Sun Nov 27, 2022 5:58 pm Looks like an 8.3.
That’s what I guessed, but good to have a second opinion. Really don’t like how the coastline overwrites the numbers for Vancouver on those maps. My guess is that some of that is phantom snow, based on how that same model shows temperatures warming as the event proceeds.
It's called clown range for a reason.
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wetcoast91
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Re: November 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

Roberts Creeker wrote: Sun Nov 27, 2022 6:04 pm Can't smell it here....yet. :clap: :clap:
Go to the middle of the street and stick your nose up in the air.

You will smell it :thumbup:
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VanCitySouth
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Re: November 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by VanCitySouth »

wetcoast91 wrote: Sun Nov 27, 2022 6:11 pm Go to the middle of the street and stick your nose up in the air.

You will smell it :thumbup:
Just waiting for our resident senior John to tell us he can feel it in his knees now.
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Re: November 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Roberts Creeker »

Storm wrote: Sun Nov 27, 2022 6:08 pm 80 cm. 10 to 1 in Vancouver, half that you get 40 cm.
I could work with that. :clap: :lol: :lol:
I had ice on one outside bucket at 4 pm, but all the rest were ice free.
Currently 2.3c in Sechelt dp 0.0c
:team: :flakey: :flakey:

Snow total: 1cm Dec 24, 1cm Feb 19
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Re: November 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by VanCitySouth »

0z NAM is weaker and further south with the Tuesday low for sure. I'm going to assume that's a good thing for p-type.
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Re: November 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by VanCitySouth »

Comparison:

0z
Image


18z
Image
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Re: November 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

Outflow starting to show up on the NAM
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Re: November 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by VanCitySouth »

wetcoast91 wrote: Sun Nov 27, 2022 6:32 pm Outflow starting to show up on the NAM
It's a colder and snowier run. This is a good run.
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Season total: 0.5 cm and TWO traces!
Peak depth: 0.5 cm (01/07/2026)
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Re: November 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Storm »

VanCitySouth wrote: Sun Nov 27, 2022 6:33 pm It's a colder and snowier run. This is a good run.
Definitely.
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Re: November 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Storm »

Wet snow just started
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Re: November 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

North of the Fraser will get nuked. South of the Fraser for the most part will do quite well too.
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Re: November 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

VanCitySouth wrote: Sun Nov 27, 2022 6:33 pm It's a colder and snowier run. This is a good run.
Warmer for Puget Sound :raindrip: :13fire: :13ce: :blowtor:

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Re: November 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

Storm wrote: Sun Nov 27, 2022 6:39 pm Wet snow just started
Need proof!

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Re: November 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Canada Goose »

wetcoast91 wrote: Sun Nov 27, 2022 6:42 pm Need proof!

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Re: November 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by VanCitySouth »

wetcoast91 wrote: Sun Nov 27, 2022 6:41 pm Warmer for Puget Sound :raindrip: :13fire: :13ce: :blowtor:

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Image
2025-26 season stats:
Climo :cancel: ∞ to 0.5 :14clown: GFS

Season total: 0.5 cm and TWO traces!
Peak depth: 0.5 cm (01/07/2026)
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