November 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Storm · Post by **Storm** » Mon Nov 28, 2022 8:16 am

Catnip wrote: ↑Mon Nov 28, 2022 8:14 am With Friday/Sat snowfall

sat 4am.png

How is the Beta looking?

PortKells · Post by **PortKells** » Mon Nov 28, 2022 8:17 am

Catnip wrote: ↑Mon Nov 28, 2022 8:07 am Latest Blendz

Thursday 4am

#problematic

thurs4am.png

Devastating Blendzzz

Storm · Post by **Storm** » Mon Nov 28, 2022 8:18 am

Never the less, exciting week ahead.

PortKells · Post by **PortKells** » Mon Nov 28, 2022 8:18 am

Pomoman wrote: ↑Mon Nov 28, 2022 8:16 am With all these colorful maps and time zeroing in, is anyone willing to make some estimates on snowfall ?

Depending on the area, but it looks like there will likely be some people with 50-60 cm by Saturday. The "losers" will probably get minimum 20 or so.

Rubus_Leucodermis · Post by **Rubus_Leucodermis** » Mon Nov 28, 2022 8:19 am

Pomoman wrote: ↑Mon Nov 28, 2022 8:16 am With all these colorful maps and time zeroing in, is anyone willing to make some estimates on snowfall ?

20Ã¢â‚¬â€œ30 cm IMBY. 40+ cm in yours. This is for the initial event. More to come later.

moonshadow0825 · Post by **moonshadow0825** » Mon Nov 28, 2022 8:19 am

Storm wrote: ↑Mon Nov 28, 2022 7:52 am GFS doesn't back down a bit snowier and colder. Very problematic

wasn't it the GFS that identified the heat dome before any other models?

(totally unsure if that would correlate with a cold/snowy forecast)

Storm · Post by **Storm** » Mon Nov 28, 2022 8:20 am

moonshadow0825 wrote: ↑Mon Nov 28, 2022 8:19 am wasn't it the GFS that identified the heat dome before any other models?
(totally unsure if that would correlate with a cold/snowy forecast)

Yes

Monty · Post by **Monty** » Mon Nov 28, 2022 8:21 am

Catnip wrote: ↑Mon Nov 28, 2022 8:07 am Latest Blendz

Thursday 4am

#problematic

thurs4am.png

Looks pretty borderline over here. 2-30cm

Storm · Post by **Storm** » Mon Nov 28, 2022 8:21 am

Experimental GFS.

image.png.3533109b00396030821906502d9d7481.png

Rubus_Leucodermis · Post by **Rubus_Leucodermis** » Mon Nov 28, 2022 8:23 am

moonshadow0825 wrote: ↑Mon Nov 28, 2022 8:19 am wasn't it the GFS that identified the heat dome before any other models?
(totally unsure if that would correlate with a cold/snowy forecast)

GFS is also notorious for overdoing cold air advection into this region from the interior.

Monty · Post by **Monty** » Mon Nov 28, 2022 8:24 am

Pomoman wrote: ↑Mon Nov 28, 2022 8:16 am With all these colorful maps and time zeroing in, is anyone willing to make some estimates on snowfall ?

5-12cm at the lower elevations near the water
10-20cm inland
20-35cm higher elevations

wetcoast91 · Post by **wetcoast91** » Mon Nov 28, 2022 8:26 am

Perhaps the biggest single day snowfall in quite a while....

Storm · Post by **Storm** » Mon Nov 28, 2022 8:27 am

6z tomorrow morning we will have a clearer picture.

Storm · Post by **Storm** » Mon Nov 28, 2022 8:28 am

2m ensembles.

gfs-vancouver-ca-49n-123.png

Post by **stuffradio** » Mon Nov 28, 2022 8:29 am

PortKells wrote: ↑Mon Nov 28, 2022 8:18 am Depending on the area, but it looks like there will likely be some people with 50-60 cm by Saturday. The "losers" will probably get minimum 20 or so.

That's the kind of loser I can get behind!

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