November 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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Monty
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Re: November 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Monty »

Snow and graupel showers here currently
North end of Shawnigan Lake. Southern Vancouver island. 500ft
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Rubus_Leucodermis
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Re: November 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

Monty wrote: ↑Mon Nov 28, 2022 11:01 am Not looking likely with this. Even if they crack 20cm it’ll be split over 2 days
If the Euro verifies, YVR airport might be lucky to see even 10 cm.
It's called clown range for a reason.
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Catnip
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Re: November 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

I think ensembles aren't that reliable this close to the event... but I could be wrong.

Nevertheless, here is the 12z EPS as of Thursday 10am.
EPSsn.png
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*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2025-2026 Snowfall - ZERO.OOcm

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Typeing3
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Re: November 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Rubus_Leucodermis wrote: ↑Mon Nov 28, 2022 11:11 am If the Euro verifies, YVR airport might be lucky to see even 10 cm.
Yesterday predicted 10cm by Wednesday evening for @CanadaGoose and my area. Definitely on the lower end of what the models are showing at face value but more realistic with lower ratios and the potential transition to rain.
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Re: November 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

Despite a somewhat shocker of a euro run I remain fairly optimistic. 20-25 cm widespread with localized areas getting more, especially northern and eastern sections.
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Re: November 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Glacier »

so you guys are excited about getting less snow than I have on my picnic table in the back yard?

Cool.
FiqaBvzaAAAqPY3.jpg
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Re: November 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Leighbugs »

Can someone please explain why some snow falls are north of the Fraser specials and some are not?
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Re: November 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Bc_trucker »

No snow in Eugene yet.....but they have happy kids at least.... :D

Currently 12°C here and sunshine through the clouds
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East Chilliwack/Rosedale 15m
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Monty
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Re: November 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Monty »

Glacier wrote: ↑Mon Nov 28, 2022 11:23 am so you guys are excited about getting less snow than I have on my picnic table in the back yard?

Cool.

FiqaBvzaAAAqPY3.jpg
😡

The last 3 gfs runs have shown 30-40” here. :shifty:
North end of Shawnigan Lake. Southern Vancouver island. 500ft
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Monty
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Re: November 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Monty »

Leighbugs wrote: ↑Mon Nov 28, 2022 11:27 am Can someone please explain why some snow falls are north of the Fraser specials and some are not?
Cold air damming against the mountains. Southerly flow is pushing the cold against the mountains and the heavy precip from upslope enhancement helps drop the snow level
North end of Shawnigan Lake. Southern Vancouver island. 500ft
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Re: November 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hawk »

Glacier wrote: ↑Mon Nov 28, 2022 11:23 am so you guys are excited about getting less snow than I have on my picnic table in the back yard?

Cool.

FiqaBvzaAAAqPY3.jpg
Nice Score Iceman. My cabin in the Similkameeeeens got 13"+ 2 nights ago :clap: :clap: when EC had 5cm forecast (for Princeton) with a SWS of a "burst of snow - heavy at times" overnight.
Looking forward to our first 3 day stretch of sun and 20c++ 8-)
Willoughby Langley at ~320ft / Similkameeeens ~3400ft
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Re: November 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

Bc_trucker wrote: ↑Mon Nov 28, 2022 11:27 am No snow in Eugene yet.....but they have happy kids at least.... :D

Currently 12°C here and sunshine through the clouds
They used snow Wizards picture? Questionable.
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Re: November 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

12z WRF-GFS total snowfall from 4pm Tuesday to 4pm Wednesday.
(4km resolution)
wa_snow24.60.0000.gif
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:typing: :type3:
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Re: November 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

Keep the faith, snow lovers. There is so much uncertainty right now in the models.
Spring/Summer :sick: Fall/Winter :thumbup:

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Re: November 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

Typeing3 wrote: ↑Mon Nov 28, 2022 11:43 am 12z WRF-GFS total snowfall from 4pm Tuesday to 4pm Wednesday.
(4km resolution)
wa_snow24.60.0000.gif
Pitt Meadows. :lol:
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