November 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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Feetz of Snow
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Re: November 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Feetz of Snow »

Catnip wrote: ↑Mon Nov 28, 2022 12:27 pm Yup

:thumbdown:

Hopefully the 18z runs start trending the other way.
Nooooooooooooo dont say that!!!
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Monty
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Re: November 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Monty »

18z Nam
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North end of Shawnigan Lake. Southern Vancouver island. 500ft
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Re: November 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

Monty wrote: ↑Mon Nov 28, 2022 12:26 pm This event is slipping away in the models anyways.
We will all go to sleep tomorrow evening and wake up Wednesday morning to a fall wonderland. Blowing rain and drifting branches and leaves with temps somehow near +8C.
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Re: November 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Monty »

1.8C with some light flurries here. My wife sent me a picture from her work in Mill bay. Some heavy bursts of snow there earlier
2BDDB465-67A2-43AC-9311-46DB3E35F401.jpeg
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North end of Shawnigan Lake. Southern Vancouver island. 500ft
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Re: November 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

wetcoast91 wrote: ↑Mon Nov 28, 2022 12:29 pm We will all go to sleep tomorrow evening and wake up Wednesday morning to a fall wonderland. Blowing rain and drifting branches and leaves with temps somehow near +8C.
Image
*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2025-2026 Snowfall - ZERO.OOcm

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Re: November 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hound »

wetcoast91 wrote: ↑Mon Nov 28, 2022 12:29 pm We will all go to sleep tomorrow evening and wake up Wednesday morning to a fall wonderland. Blowing rain and drifting branches and leaves with temps somehow near +8C.
Image
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Re: November 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

0C8D75B7-D356-41A5-B460-CC8544F0D76E.png
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*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2025-2026 Snowfall - ZERO.OOcm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
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Re: November 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by VanCitySouth »

Catnip wrote: ↑Mon Nov 28, 2022 12:27 pm Yup

:thumbdown:

Hopefully the 18z runs start trending the other way.
Take a deep breath. We're gonna be okay. If we're disappointed that we're tracking 4-6" of snow instead of 8-12" on November 29, the winter is going well.
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Climo :cancel: ∞ to 0.5 :14clown: GFS

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Peak depth: 0.5 cm (01/07/2026)
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Re: November 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Monty »

wetcoast91 wrote: ↑Mon Nov 28, 2022 12:29 pm We will all go to sleep tomorrow evening and wake up Wednesday morning to a fall wonderland. Blowing rain and drifting branches and leaves with temps somehow near +8C.
Could be. EC says a high of 7C here on Wednesday :raindrip:
North end of Shawnigan Lake. Southern Vancouver island. 500ft
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Re: November 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

Monty wrote: ↑Mon Nov 28, 2022 12:33 pm Could be. EC says a high of 7C here on Wednesday :raindrip:
Break out the shorts :thumbup:
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Re: November 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Feetz of Snow »

wetcoast91 wrote: ↑Mon Nov 28, 2022 12:29 pm We will all go to sleep tomorrow evening and wake up Wednesday morning to a fall wonderland. Blowing rain and drifting branches and leaves with temps somehow near +8C.
Omg , I hope not
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Re: November 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Monty »

Given the cold air trying to move in it would have been nice to see this storm make landfall around Forks. That would have given us our blizzard
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Re: November 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Storm »

Monty wrote: ↑Mon Nov 28, 2022 12:33 pm Could be. EC says a high of 7C here on Wednesday :raindrip:
18z is a bit colder than 12z just a bit dryer I think which is the part of the models to figure out. Cool down fairly quickly Wednesday afternoon.
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Re: November 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

18Z NAM going the way of the ECMWF. Less precip and a SE wind signature leading to milder near SL along western sections but colder in the Valley. Very much an elevation event now.
Last edited by wetcoast91 on Mon Nov 28, 2022 12:38 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: November 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Feetz of Snow »

Monty wrote: ↑Mon Nov 28, 2022 12:36 pm Given the cold air trying to move in it would have been nice to see this storm make landfall around Forks. That would have given us our blizzard
Fork this climate!!
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