November 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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VanCitySouth
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Re: November 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by VanCitySouth »

wetcoast91 wrote: Mon Nov 28, 2022 2:28 pm Cliff 'Nito Sr' Mass is not onboard.
For Seattle, he's not, which is quite reasonable. But his baby the mm5 has 8+" over most of Metro Vancouver so...
2025-26 season stats:
Climo :cancel: ∞ to 0.5 :14clown: GFS

Season total: 0.5 cm and TWO traces!
Peak depth: 0.5 cm (01/07/2026)
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Catnip
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Re: November 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

:alert:

Weather Network is all in.

30-40cm!

+ 5-10 Weds

Let’s GOOOOOOOOOOOOOO!

:lol:
AE3E50C2-B6E0-4B56-BFAA-EB09DFDBE620.jpeg
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*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2025-2026 Snowfall - ZERO.OOcm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
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Re: November 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

VanCitySouth wrote: Mon Nov 28, 2022 2:32 pm For Seattle, he's not, which is quite reasonable. But his baby the mm5 has 8+" over most of Metro Vancouver so...
10-25cm
Image
:typing: :type3:
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wetcoast91
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Re: November 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

Catnip wrote: Mon Nov 28, 2022 2:36 pm :alert:

Weather Network is all in.

30-40cm!

+ 5-10 Weds

Let’s GOOOOOOOOOOOOOO!

:lol:

AE3E50C2-B6E0-4B56-BFAA-EB09DFDBE620.jpeg
Half a meter? :lol: :lol: :lol:
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Re: November 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

wetcoast91 wrote: Mon Nov 28, 2022 2:39 pm Half a meter? :lol: :lol: :lol:
:clap: :lol:

Go big or go home Neetz!

:thumbup: :mrgreen:
*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2025-2026 Snowfall - ZERO.OOcm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
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Re: November 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

Catnip wrote: Mon Nov 28, 2022 2:36 pm :alert:

Weather Network is all in.

30-40cm!

+ 5-10 Weds

Let’s GOOOOOOOOOOOOOO!

:lol:

AE3E50C2-B6E0-4B56-BFAA-EB09DFDBE620.jpeg
The weather network is all GFS no questions asked. Its as bad as EC just a different model.
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Re: November 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

Catnip wrote: Mon Nov 28, 2022 2:40 pm :clap: :lol:

Go big or go home Neetz!

:thumbup: :mrgreen:
Still waiting for my 75cm from last December.
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Re: November 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

PortKells wrote: Mon Nov 28, 2022 2:41 pm The weather network is all GFS no questions asked. Its as bad as EC just a different model.
The GFS will sober up tonight. Cut the snow totals in half, in line with all the other models.
:typing: :type3:
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Re: November 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Storm »

If this storm is all set ~ half a meter, we should looking to the problematic Monday morning commute. Shall we.
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Re: November 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

Typeing3 wrote: Mon Nov 28, 2022 2:49 pm The GFS will sober up tonight. Cut the snow totals in half, in line with all the other models.
So negative.

May as well say "The most likely outcome is the dry low level cold and outflow preventing moisture from penetrating Inland which will lead to mostly dry conditions to start, with flurries starting up later than modeled leading to maybe a dusting before the precip shuts off which allows the S winds to warm us up to +4C with scattered showers by mid day Wednesday. Temps will likely drop but most moisture will depart the region."
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Re: November 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by stuffradio »

I don't know if this was posted yet because the forum has been hopping today, but the latest weeklies has the coldest anomalies for the month of December north of the border and focus over BC, AB and SK.
ecmwf-weeklies-avg-namer-t2m_c_anom_30day-2185600.png
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Re: November 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Storm »

wetcoast91 wrote: Mon Nov 28, 2022 2:54 pm So negative.

May as well say "The most likely outcome is the dry low level cold and outflow preventing moisture from penetrating Inland which will lead to mostly dry conditions to start, with flurries starting up later than modeled leading to maybe a dusting before the precip shuts off which allows the S winds to warm us up to +4C with scattered showers by mid day Wednesday. Temps will likely drop but most moisture will depart the region."
Now you are being negative. I can see you giggle about the big dump coming up.
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Re: November 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Storm »

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Re: November 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

wetcoast91 wrote: Mon Nov 28, 2022 2:54 pm So negative.

May as well say "The most likely outcome is the dry low level cold and outflow preventing moisture from penetrating Inland which will lead to mostly dry conditions to start, with flurries starting up later than modeled leading to maybe a dusting before the precip shuts off which allows the S winds to warm us up to +4C with scattered showers by mid day Wednesday. Temps will likely drop but most moisture will depart the region."
Flash freeze! Get ready to slip n slide! :thumbup:
:typing: :type3:
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Re: November 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

Storm wrote: Mon Nov 28, 2022 2:59 pm Now you are being negative. I can see you giggle about the big dump coming up.
10-15cm with local blowing snow. That's my call.
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