November 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

[Typeing3]

South wind.

Looks like it keeps E surface winds

[HarrisonSasquatchWx]

That's mighty kind of you but if I was I'd be ineligible for the 60+ SBL (Snowfall Beer League).

You qualify by looks skipper.

[HarrisonSasquatchWx]

Looks like it keeps E surface winds

Central valley snow eater then Tpee.

[wetcoast91]

Hmm. Some models suggesting a double barrel low tomorrow night as it approaches the coast. Rgem and icon had this well developed 2nd more southerly low. Could possibly delay any warm southerly winds or produce a little stronger outflow initially. Something to watch.

DCDE0A8C-17D0-40B2-88A2-BB809315F069.png

Not only delay warming but limit the dry mid layer winds leading to more saturation. This would be a near perfect recipe to get your 40cm snow totals.

[Typeing3]

NAM keeping a cold low in the picture Wednesday and Thursday.

This is going to be difficult to track.

Cold lows = potential

[VanCitySouth]

Not only delay warming but limit the dry mid layer winds leading to more saturation. This would be a near perfect recipe to get your 40cm snow totals.

HRDPS also seems to be hinting at the double barrel

[wetcoast91]

HRDPS also seems to be hinting at the double barrel

A weaker feature on the GEM as well.
https://twitter.com/ensembleator/status ... xFVgQ&s=19

[Typeing3]

00z GFS... brush of modified arctic air Wed evening. Dries us out in a hurry with gusty outflow winds Wed overnight through Thu.

gfs_mslp_wind_nwus_fh48-72.gif

[HarrisonSasquatchWx]

Kinda perhaps more like Weeds reaction to seeing a snowflake.

[AbbyJr]

Nice trends tonight. The GFS still won't cave. Continues to show those unrealistic ridiculous totals.

gfs-deterministic-vancouverski-total_snow_kuchera-9842000.png

gem-all-vancouverski-total_snow_kuchera-9831200.png

hrdps-vancouverski-total_snow_kuchera-9824000.png

rgem-all-vancouverski-total_snow_kuchera-9820400.png

nam-nest-vancouverski-total_snow_kuchera-9809600.png

nam-218-all-vancouverski-total_snow_kuchera-9820400.png

[Catnip]

Not only delay warming but limit the dry mid layer winds leading to more saturation. This would be a near perfect recipe to get your 40cm snow totals.

50cm or bust!

Ok 40 is fine too.

[Rubus_Leucodermis]

HRRR Calling for Late Morning Snow Tomorrow

hrrr-vancouverski-refc_ptype-9748400.png

[Nordelian]

BF3D5668-49EE-4B12-8E0E-224B9981C163.png

Caution using GFS at this point. It has a much larger resolution and will not pick up elevation details. Use the higher res models when they're available (like now)

Still seems in track for 10-20 cm across the lower mainland. I do wonder if the valley will have dry air issues.

Coquitlam looks to be the sweet spot for this event.

[PortKells]

Caution using GFS at this point. It has a much larger resolution and will not pick up elevation details. Use the higher res models when they're available (like now)

Still seems in track for 10-20 cm across the lower mainland. I do wonder if the valley will have dry air issues.

Coquitlam looks to be the sweet spot for this event.

We do it for entertainment and fantasy

[HarrisonSasquatchWx]

Caution using GFS at this point. It has a much larger resolution and will not pick up elevation details. Use the higher res models when they're available (like now)

Still seems in track for 10-20 cm across the lower mainland. I do wonder if the valley will have dry air issues.

Coquitlam looks to be the sweet spot for this event.

Yes l'm going with 5cm for the central valley
Chilliwack area.