December 2022 Forecasts And Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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wetcoast91
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Re: December 2022 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

:think:
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Bonovox
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Re: December 2022 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

AbbyJr wrote: ↑Mon Dec 05, 2022 12:09 pm Personally, I wouldn't take the models for the extended seriously for now. There is very little consistency and my guess is that that stratospheric warming in Siberia is part of the problem. Models often struggle during stratospheric warming events. :thumbup:
Is this being described as a legitimate SSW event? I genuinely don't know and haven't been paying close enough attention.
Spring/Summer :sick: Fall/Winter :thumbup:

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PortKells
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Re: December 2022 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by PortKells »

wetcoast91 wrote: ↑Mon Dec 05, 2022 12:21 pm :think:
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I remember chasing hour 360 for weeks on end :wave:
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AbbyJr
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Re: December 2022 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

Bonovox wrote: ↑Mon Dec 05, 2022 12:22 pm Is this being described as a legitimate SSW event? I genuinely don't know and haven't been paying close enough attention.
I don't think so but I'm sure it would still cause the models some trouble.
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Re: December 2022 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Hound »

Guy on Reddit posted this map.. kinda interesting.

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https://www.reddit.com/r/SurreyBC/comme ... ng_summer/
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Re: December 2022 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by PortKells »

ecmwf-weeklies-avg-nw-snow_46day-4172800.thumb.png.2e2b887eea87c202ac8b4b36084dedeb.png
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wetcoast91
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Re: December 2022 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

PortKells wrote: ↑Mon Dec 05, 2022 1:47 pm ecmwf-weeklies-avg-nw-snow_46day-4172800.thumb.png.2e2b887eea87c202ac8b4b36084dedeb.png
Terrain hemorrhage. A better resolution map would only show grey over the Lower Mainland.
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walthz
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Re: December 2022 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by walthz »

We've got a few flakes :wave: (just enough to see)
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Re: December 2022 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Storm »

walthz wrote: ↑Mon Dec 05, 2022 2:00 pm We've got a few flakes :wave: (just enough to see)
Something is moving in.
CASAG - Precipitation Depiction, 1_53 PM.gif
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Re: December 2022 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Catnip »

walthz wrote: ↑Mon Dec 05, 2022 2:00 pm We've got a few flakes :wave: (just enough to see)
Bono was right.

:thumbup:
*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

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Re: December 2022 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Storm »

Pure joy.
gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_nwus_19.png
gfs_T2m_nwus_19.png
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Re: December 2022 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Hawk »

Storm wrote: ↑Mon Dec 05, 2022 2:02 pm Something is moving in.
CASAG - Precipitation Depiction, 1_53 PM.gif
Starting earlier than forecasted...good sign that the lower levels are already saturated.
Tell em Nito? :think:
Looking forward to our first 3 day stretch of sun and 20c++ 8-)
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VanCitySouth
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Re: December 2022 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by VanCitySouth »

I see the GFS wants to do the weird quadruple+ barrel low thing too. What fun!

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Re: December 2022 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

12z GFS ensembles:
ens_image.png
12z ECMWF ensembles:
ens_image (1).png
12z GEM ensembles:
ens_image (2).png
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Re: December 2022 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

20221205222255-99d7f74704019af130c6f1dcc37be53858569d20.png
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:typing: :type3:
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