December 2022 Forecasts And Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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Hawk
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Re: December 2022 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Hawk »

wetcoast91 wrote: ↑Mon Dec 12, 2022 11:30 am I'll be back in 13 days.

Image

:roll:
Looks like a classic Similkameen Smasher :clap: :clap:
Thx Nito!
Looking forward to our first 3 day stretch of sun and 20c++ 8-)
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Re: December 2022 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by stuffradio »

Hawk wrote: ↑Mon Dec 12, 2022 12:00 pm Looks like a classic Similkameen Smasher :clap: :clap:
Thx Nito!
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Re: December 2022 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Hound »

Catnip wrote: ↑Mon Dec 12, 2022 8:31 am Could you imagine the outflow!!!!

192 press.png
Yes! Like the one in around 1990ish, where the winds were nasty for 5 days straight and everything was frozen solid, power outages, trees down, and this was in Surrey, I can remember it was really bad in the valley as well and even in Vancouver proper. Then we had a huge overrunning event. Such sweet times. :clap:
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Re: December 2022 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Hound »

wetcoast91 wrote: ↑Mon Dec 12, 2022 9:43 am Debating on whether I should create a WX Twitter account to hype this up.

"Major Arctic blast headed for the South Coast. Snow amounts in excess of 1 meter should fall by next week."
Yes, then add things like "Seattle through Oregon look to get 'cold rain' with no snow .. etc.
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Re: December 2022 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Hound »

Bonovox wrote: ↑Mon Dec 12, 2022 11:20 am Where is the Catman?
Image

:lol: :lol: :lol: :lol:
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Rubus_Leucodermis
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Re: December 2022 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

wetcoast91 wrote: ↑Mon Dec 12, 2022 11:30 am I'll be back in 13 days.

Image

:roll:
Sorta disappointing actually. Surface temps only 4ËšC. Was hoping for 10 or better.
gfs-deterministic-vancouverski-t2m_c-2077600.png
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Last edited by Rubus_Leucodermis on Mon Dec 12, 2022 12:18 pm, edited 1 time in total.
It's called clown range for a reason.
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Re: December 2022 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

:shock: :shock: :shock:

12Z GFS for Tuesday December 20th at 9:00 AM:
xx_model-en-196-0_modusa_2022121212_195_5583_149.png
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Central Abbotsford
50m (164ft)

2022/23 season snowfall: 76.8cm

:team: :snowwindow: :snowman:
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Re: December 2022 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by PortKells »

AbbyJr wrote: ↑Mon Dec 12, 2022 12:18 pm :shock: :shock: :shock:

Tuesday December 20th at 9:00 AM:

xx_model-en-196-0_modusa_2022121212_195_5583_149.png
giphy (2).gif
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Re: December 2022 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by John »

Most likely (95%), this will all shift a bit east but the maps and charts are cool to look at.
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Re: December 2022 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

Hound wrote: ↑Mon Dec 12, 2022 12:11 pm Yes, then add things like "Seattle through Oregon look to get 'cold rain' with no snow .. etc.
"Local weather enthusiasts starts Cascadia War."
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Re: December 2022 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

:tumbleweed2:
AbbyJr wrote: ↑Mon Dec 12, 2022 12:18 pm :shock: :shock: :shock:

12Z GFS for Tuesday December 20th at 9:00 AM:

xx_model-en-196-0_modusa_2022121212_195_5583_149.png
:tumbleweed2:
It's called clown range for a reason.
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PortKells
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Re: December 2022 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by PortKells »

John wrote: ↑Mon Dec 12, 2022 12:26 pm Most likely (95%), this will all shift a bit east but the maps and charts are cool to look at.
A bit east, maybe. When every model is pounding us with an arctic air mass I think that's the likeliest scenario.
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Re: December 2022 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

PortKells wrote: ↑Mon Dec 12, 2022 12:34 pm A bit east, maybe. When every model is pounding us with an arctic air mass I think that's the likeliest scenario.
I think a classic arctic blast is pretty much locked in. Timing, duration, and snow is still uncertain. But it's likely going to get very cold.


:team: :chilly: :snowman:
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Re: December 2022 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by VanCitySouth »

I'm just hoping that we keep the surface cold until Christmas if any snow falls.
2025-26 season stats:
Climo :cancel: ∞ to 0.5 :14clown: GFS

Season total: 0.5 cm and TWO traces!
Peak depth: 0.5 cm (01/07/2026)
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Re: December 2022 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

ecmwf-deterministic-vancouverski-total_snow_kuchera-1710400.png
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Central Abbotsford
50m (164ft)

2022/23 season snowfall: 76.8cm

:team: :snowwindow: :snowman:
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