December 2022 Forecasts And Discussions

[Rubus_Leucodermis]

Nito!

ecmwf-deterministic-or_wa-t2m_f_max6-2963200.png

[stuffradio]

Happy New Years Eve!

[tyweather]

I believe that was taken in Agassiz.

You are correct
https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/british- ... -1.6700526

[PortKells]

The retrogression theme continues on the ensemble. #extrapolation

gfs-ens_z500a_namer_65 (1).png

[Canada Goose]

Do you have temps as well?

Capture d’écran 2022-12-31 à 13.55.32.jpg

[Typeing3]

Capture d’écran 2022-12-31 à 13.55.32.jpg

I would assume the warming is overwhelmingly due to the increase in Tmins?

Likely would see it even more prominently at YXX.

[PortKells]

This looks better too. This looks very familiar to what we were seeing around the start of December as the precursor to our big event.

eps_z500a_namer_61 (3).png

[Typeing3]

12z GFS ensembles:

ens_image (69).png

12z ECMWF ensembles:

ens_image (70).png

12z GEM ensembles:

ens_image (71).png

[Typeing3]

20221231222023-dbc9d0aa0f778c595afe283b2da9da6948b060d8.png

[AbbyJr]

This looks better too. This looks very familiar to what we were seeing around the start of December as the precursor to our big event.

eps_z500a_namer_61 (3).png

It’s nice to see signs of winter returning on the models. No guarantees but the trend is our friend at this point.

[PortKells]

It’s nice to see signs of winter returning on the models. No guarantees but the trend is our friend at this point.

One thing I found interesting about the recent event was the model progression from backdoor dry blast to suddenly a pure north south blast. Shows how unclear the models are that far out. Maybe this will turn out similarly. Or not.

[Catnip]

As PortMan mentioned... some signs/hints/teasers of a pattern change as we get later into Jan.

1.png

1t.png

2.png

2t.png

[Catnip]

6z GFS range spit this out for mid-Jan.

clown.png

[Catnip]

FS

15-25.png

20-30.png

[Catnip]

#extrapolate

PNA GEFS.png

PNAEPS.png