January 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

[Roberts Creeker]

January climo!!!!



(Since 1993)

I always get excited about starting seeds because it's so warm and spring-like and then winter comes back...I'm learning to hold off until after our second winter.

[wetcoast91]

I would say it's safe to stash away the shovels and swap to all season tires again.

[Roberts Creeker]

I would say it's safe to stash away the shovels and swap to all season tires again.

That and another sacrificial plane or two will bring for sure. I'm not ready to give up on winter yet...

Interesting article on the 633 tiny, unfelt earthquakes on Vancouver Island end of December: https://www.cheknews.ca/more-than-600-t ... t-1129608/

[Typeing3]

I would say it's safe to stash away the shovels and swap to all season tires again.

Careful what you wish for!

Fraser River, Vancouver, February 1936....

[PortKells]

I would say it's safe to stash away the shovels and swap to all season tires again.

Are you purposely trying to jinx it?

#TEAMSNOW #BeginningofFEB

[VanCitySouth]

January climo!!!!



(Since 1993)

Juneuary: a new month in the Vancouver calendar occurring twice a year, in the form of a tropical January and a cold damp June.

[Hawk]

Are you purposely trying to jinx it?

#TEAMSNOW #BeginningofFEB

..and by mid Feb i like to see a nice #NitoRidge and 14c. Lock it in for 60 days!
Otherwise most snow becomes a slush festival in these parts. I mean let's face the facts here. The only drawback is that the Similkameens snowpack would suffer. So maybe not..lets keep it cool and wet instead

[PortKells]

..and by mid Feb i like to see a nice #NitoRidge and 14c. Lock it in for 60 days!
Otherwise most snow becomes a slush festival in these parts. I mean let's face the facts here. The only drawback is that the Similkameens snowpack would suffer. So maybe not..lets keep it cool and wet instead

Great snowfalls in late February in recent years. 2011, 2014, 2018, 2019. 2021 just missed. Maybe once March gets going it's game over.

[Glacier]

Average JANUARY temperature as you drive from the US border up to Whitehorse...

avgdistances2.png

[Catnip]

I would say it's safe to stash away the shovels and swap to all season tires again.

The current weather pattern is boooooooooooring.

As for the future.....

20-25.png

25-30.png

[Catnip]

#patternchange

Cdn Ensembles

Day 10

240.png

Day 13

312h.png

312t.png

[Catnip]

GEFS looks similar.

Day 10

gefs_z500_anom_noram_240.png

Day 13

gefs_z500_anom_noram_312.png

[PortKells]

Very close to a great pattern. More tilt and higher southeast heights, keep that Kona low and wham.

[AbbyJr]

Great snowfalls in late February in recent years. 2011, 2014, 2018, 2019. 2021 just missed. Maybe once March gets going it's game over.

March 1951 was absolutely epic. Abbotsford recorded 102.6cm of snow in 5 days during that arctic blast. Here are the stats:

https://climate.weather.gc.ca/climate_d ... &Year=1951

On March 5th 1951, the daytime high was -6.0C with a low of -10C. The two day snowfall for March 5th and 6th was 63.5cm and this was in March! A top tier event like that in March is unheard of around here. Would be a dream come true to see a repeat but it's highly unlikely.

The rest of the lower mainland got lots of snow too. Even Vancouver (YVR) got a decent amount of snow but not nearly as much as inland areas.

Here are the stats for New Westminster and Vancouver:

New Westminster:
https://climate.weather.gc.ca/climate_d ... &Year=1951

Vancouver:
https://climate.weather.gc.ca/climate_d ... &Year=1951

Finally, here was the 500mb pattern for March 5th, 1951:

march5th1951500mb.gif

Look at that ridge bridge and polar low! Top tier pattern for sure.

[tyweather]

January weather around here may be warm, but then there is Europe.


https://www.cbc.ca/news/world/photos/eu ... -1.6705657

I wonder when our turn comes next.