February 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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wetcoast91
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Re: February 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

PortKells wrote: Sun Feb 12, 2023 7:08 am That's what I've been doing too. I think there's just less excitement for a late winter blast up here especially after getting nailed earlier. Maybe it'll pick up soon if the models actually hold.
Looks mostly dry up here as well with better snowfall chances down South for early next week.

The 300+ hour stuff keeps also getting pushed back.
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Re: February 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by PortKells »

wetcoast91 wrote: Sun Feb 12, 2023 11:11 am Looks mostly dry up here as well with better snowfall chances down South for early next week.

The 300+ hour stuff keeps also getting pushed back.
You sure?
image.thumb.png.483d4dacb48a6668d344542b8bb46b8d.png
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Re: February 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by VanCitySouth »

PortKells wrote: Sun Feb 12, 2023 11:44 am You sure?

image.thumb.png.483d4dacb48a6668d344542b8bb46b8d.png
By pushed back he actually means moved up
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Re: February 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

Weather101 wrote: Sun Feb 12, 2023 8:55 am The ferry to Victoria tomorrow do you think it will be canceled due to the winds ?
Unlikely in the morning, but I could see the evening sailings at risk.
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Re: February 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

SouthSardiswx wrote: Sat Feb 11, 2023 7:36 pm Right now having to read the AF is a bit deflating but it's where all the action is. :x not many members on our site seem excited at the moment.
3 kids and shift work. I just don't have the time unless I'm on leave. :dunno:
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Re: February 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by tyweather »

30 cm of snow on Friday??
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Why not try cycling to work, grocery store, anywhere!
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Re: February 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by PortKells »

tyweather wrote: Sun Feb 12, 2023 1:08 pm 30 cm of snow on Friday??
Is this affected by terrain bleed? I haven't seen any other evidence of lowland snow before the 22nd or so, and those temps don't exactly scream snow.
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Re: February 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

Thursday night and Friday morning might be interesting.
gfs-deterministic-vancouverski-snow_24hr_kuchera_cm-6667600.png
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It's called clown range for a reason.
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Re: February 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by PortKells »

Rubus_Leucodermis wrote: Sun Feb 12, 2023 2:07 pm Thursday night and Friday morning might be interesting.

gfs-deterministic-vancouverski-snow_24hr_kuchera_cm-6667600.png
Do you mind posting the temperature maps? I'm feeling skeptical about that one.
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Re: February 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

Oh, I checked that already! +1 at the surface, -2 at 925 mbar in the same model. Here you go:
gfs-deterministic-vancouverski-t2m_c-6646000.png
gfs-deterministic-vancouverski-t925-6646000.png
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It's called clown range for a reason.
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Re: February 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by PortKells »

Rubus_Leucodermis wrote: Sun Feb 12, 2023 2:52 pm Oh, I checked that already! +1 at the surface, -2 at 925 mbar in the same model. Here you go:

gfs-deterministic-vancouverski-t2m_c-6646000.png
gfs-deterministic-vancouverski-t925-6646000.png
Could be something. Most likely a pomoman Westworld plateau special imo, with splats and slush in a few spots.
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Re: February 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

12z GFS ensembles:
ens_image (75).png
12z ECMWF ensembles:
ens_image (76).png
12z GEM ensembles:
ens_image (77).png
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Re: February 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

20230212233252-ff3e7d0a2e17f81fc47023b638c2f0acd00080bd.png
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:typing: :type3:
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Re: February 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Weather101 »

Bonovox wrote: Sun Feb 12, 2023 12:51 pm Unlikely in the morning, but I could see the evening sailings at risk.
Thank you
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Re: February 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

Bonovox wrote: Sun Feb 12, 2023 12:55 pm 3 kids and shift work. I just don't have the time unless I'm on leave. :dunno:
Totally understand Bones guess just missing the chatter we have up here when things are happening.
However l just check the maps on the AF and try to stay away from all the shots they take at each other it can be entertaining but usually it's stupid. :roll:
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