February 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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HarrisonSasquatchWx
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Re: February 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

Wow insane temps for the Cariboo. :shock:
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Re: February 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by PortKells »

gem-all-vancouverski-total_snow_10to1_cm-7456000.png
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Re: February 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

Drive back to the central valley this morning no snow from Abbs until l hit well not literally the Vedder bridge east bound.
Pond cam view when l arrived home, Chilliwack to Hope got a nice accumulation.
20230217_060558.jpg
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Re: February 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by PortKells »

SouthSardiswx wrote: Fri Feb 17, 2023 3:07 am 3cm fell @ the pond in south Sardis. :thumbup: padding to my February total.
Time for gumps to tank for a better draft pick.
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Re: February 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

VanCitySouth wrote: Thu Feb 16, 2023 11:47 pm Drove home from Coquitlam, detoured up SFU.
Definitely snowy up top.

Snow cover on Hastings until Holdom, splats all the way home after. Splats more prominent locally near Joyce.
One of those nights that really make me ponder moving up there, despite my place being an easy bike commute to work, having friends nearby, and it meaning a rent increase.
It's called clown range for a reason.
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Re: February 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by John »

PortKells wrote: Fri Feb 17, 2023 6:03 am gem-all-vancouverski-total_snow_10to1_cm-7456000.pnggfs-deterministic-vancouverski-total_snow_10to1_cm-7520800.png

ecmwf-deterministic-vancouverski-total_snow_10to1_cm-7456000.png
Gut feeling the euro is correct
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Rubus_Leucodermis
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Re: February 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

John wrote: Fri Feb 17, 2023 7:01 am Gut feeling the euro is correct
Yeah, I find 8–15 cm a much more believable forecast than 20–40.
It's called clown range for a reason.
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Re: February 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

PortKells wrote: Fri Feb 17, 2023 6:49 am Time for gumps to tank for a better draft pick.
:lol: Skipper just needs elevation.
Speaking of draft pick how convenient that Demko pulls up lame in practice on Thursday perhaps another player shutting down for the season.
I'm actually getting stoked for a better draft pick.TBH
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Re: February 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

John wrote: Fri Feb 17, 2023 7:01 am Gut feeling the euro is correct
O.k.
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Re: February 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by PortKells »

John wrote: Fri Feb 17, 2023 7:01 am Gut feeling the euro is correct
I still think we're at the time frame where the only question is will it snow vs will it not snow. The amounts could not possibly be accurately modeled with all the variables.

I'm going to always remember December 19 2022 and December 30 2021. Great snowfalls that really only came into view in the last day or two. In the case of 2022 it was like the last 12 hours when we went from expecting 5-10 cm to suddenly something special was possible.

That said, you can't go wrong playing it safe and setting your expectations low.
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Re: February 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

Rubus_Leucodermis wrote: Fri Feb 17, 2023 6:54 am One of those nights that really make me ponder moving up there, despite my place being an easy bike commute to work, having friends nearby, and it meaning a rent increase.
l don't know Rubes for the amount of times we get this step up personally l wouldn't if our climate produced these events more often then perhaps save your hard earned cash man. :thumbup:
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Re: February 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

PortKells wrote: Fri Feb 17, 2023 7:20 am I still think we're at the time frame where the only question is will it snow vs will it not snow. The amounts could not possibly be accurately modeled with all the variables.

I'm going to always remember December 19 2022 and December 30 2021. Great snowfalls that really only came into view in the last day or two. In the case of 2022 it was like the last 12 hours when we went from expecting 5-10 cm to suddenly something special was possible.

That said, you can't go wrong playing it safe and setting your expectations low.
Agreed issue is can we pull one more rabbit out of a hat once in a season is special like you said Dec 18th 2022, once more and l give this winter a A+, it was at a C+ in January but end of January's snowfall and now this mornings has bumped it up to an A with next week still pending.
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Re: February 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

SouthSardiswx wrote: Fri Feb 17, 2023 7:22 am l don't know Rubes for the amount of times we get this step up personally l wouldn't if our climate produced these events more often then perhaps save your hard earned cash man. :thumbup:
Oh, it's just idle pondering, the odds of my acting on it are remote. Despite my occasional grumbling, my neighbourhood isn’t bad at all when it comes to an in-city location, something I get reminded of every time I commute to the office downtown after a snowfall.
It's called clown range for a reason.
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Re: February 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

Rubus_Leucodermis wrote: Fri Feb 17, 2023 7:28 am Oh, it's just idle pondering, the odds of my acting on it are remote. Despite my occasional grumbling, my neighbourhood isn’t bad at all when it comes to an in-city location, something I get reminded of every time I commute to the office downtown after a snowfall.
I have a 30km commute to work in east Abbs as much as l love snow l hope any major snowfall is when l'm off and if not hoping highway 1 is in good condition your set there perfect no worries.
Luckily in November and the big blast in December was all good these little dumps are good just minor slush on the roads.
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Re: February 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

One more pic from the pond cam before higher sun angles melt it all away. :x
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