February 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
Post Reply
User avatar
PortKells
Storm Chaser
Storm Chaser
Posts: 7726
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 4:08 pm
Location: Port Kells
Elevation: 78m
Has thanked: 589 times
Been thanked: 13672 times

Re: February 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by PortKells »

Forrest Gump wrote: Fri Feb 17, 2023 7:57 pm Never , it ain't over til it's over. I've thrown a snowball challenge on Sardineman's alleged 3cm from last night's game. At 3:07am he posted he got 3cm, at 6:10am he posted he just got home from work. Something smells fishy. With his wife fast asleep and Sardineman just putting slytyguy on waivers for being MIA , I ask, who did the measuring? His dog?

And if that fails I'll claim slytyguy off waivers, maybe he just needs a change of scenery and add some weight. Some nice and greasy fishn chips from Moby Dicks at White Rock beach should do the trick. I also might trade my 1st round pick for 97 year old John Chilliwack, a little long in the tooth but good in the corners and always gives 110%.
Actually the more I actually think about it...his 3 cm is a massive outlier for yesterday and if he wasn't even home what the heck? Seems like the refs from the Boston Vancouver series have made a re-appearance to judge this one.

Then again we've known for years those measurements can be taken with a grain of salt :lol: ( sorry Sardis all in good fun, please don't sick Milan Lucic on me)
User avatar
PortKells
Storm Chaser
Storm Chaser
Posts: 7726
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 4:08 pm
Location: Port Kells
Elevation: 78m
Has thanked: 589 times
Been thanked: 13672 times

Re: February 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by PortKells »

Storm wrote: Fri Feb 17, 2023 6:50 pm:lol: John
Some serious sass going on, we gonna have a dust up here?
User avatar
PortKells
Storm Chaser
Storm Chaser
Posts: 7726
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 4:08 pm
Location: Port Kells
Elevation: 78m
Has thanked: 589 times
Been thanked: 13672 times

Re: February 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by PortKells »

The GFS is making this a theme.
gfs-deterministic-washington-snow_24hr_kuchera-7315600.thumb.png.88ae157edfe605389b4bb800095686b1.png
You do not have the required permissions to view the files attached to this post.
User avatar
VanCitySouth
Weather Enthusiast
Weather Enthusiast
Posts: 3922
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:21 pm
Location: Vancouver (Langara)
Elevation: 72 m/236 ft
Has thanked: 4164 times
Been thanked: 8316 times

Re: February 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by VanCitySouth »

wetcoast91 wrote: Fri Feb 17, 2023 9:05 pm It will trend towards a dry overrunning event where the outflow shreds the initial precip band...before the 2nd surge of precip comes onshore for +1C rain.
:pushpin: this for when it ages like milk please
2025-26 season stats:
Climo :cancel: ∞ to 0.5 :14clown: GFS

Season total: 0.5 cm and TWO traces!
Peak depth: 0.5 cm (01/07/2026)
User avatar
VanCitySouth
Weather Enthusiast
Weather Enthusiast
Posts: 3922
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:21 pm
Location: Vancouver (Langara)
Elevation: 72 m/236 ft
Has thanked: 4164 times
Been thanked: 8316 times

Re: February 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by VanCitySouth »

PortKells wrote: Fri Feb 17, 2023 9:15 pm The GFS is making this a theme.

gfs-deterministic-washington-snow_24hr_kuchera-7315600.thumb.png.88ae157edfe605389b4bb800095686b1.png
GEM has the same storm with similar amounts!
2025-26 season stats:
Climo :cancel: ∞ to 0.5 :14clown: GFS

Season total: 0.5 cm and TWO traces!
Peak depth: 0.5 cm (01/07/2026)
User avatar
wetcoast91
Storm Chaser
Storm Chaser
Posts: 7099
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 3:12 pm
Location: New Westminster
Elevation: 106m
Has thanked: 6962 times
Been thanked: 16341 times

Re: February 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

VanCitySouth wrote: Fri Feb 17, 2023 9:17 pm :pushpin: this for when it ages like milk please
:think:
Image
User avatar
PortKells
Storm Chaser
Storm Chaser
Posts: 7726
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 4:08 pm
Location: Port Kells
Elevation: 78m
Has thanked: 589 times
Been thanked: 13672 times

Re: February 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by PortKells »

VanCitySouth wrote: Fri Feb 17, 2023 9:18 pm GEM has the same storm with similar amounts!
It's definitely getting there.
gem-all-vancouverski-total_snow_10to1_cm-7542400.png
You do not have the required permissions to view the files attached to this post.
User avatar
Weather101
Storm Chaser
Storm Chaser
Posts: 5647
Joined: Fri Feb 22, 2019 7:27 am
Location: Richmond
Elevation: 3 Ft
Has thanked: 5273 times
Been thanked: 7888 times

Re: February 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Weather101 »

PortKells wrote: Fri Feb 17, 2023 9:14 pm Some serious sass going on, we gonna have a dust up here?
John probably just forgot his afternoon nap today!
All about them Cowboys !!! 🤠 🤠
User avatar
Forrest Gump
Weather Enthusiast
Weather Enthusiast
Posts: 4701
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 3:11 pm
Location: South Surrey/White Rock
Elevation: 377 Ft. or 115 M
Has thanked: 12906 times
Been thanked: 8688 times

Re: February 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Forrest Gump »

PortKells wrote: Fri Feb 17, 2023 9:12 pm Actually the more I actually think about it...his 3 cm is a massive outlier for yesterday and if he wasn't even home what the heck? Seems like the refs from the Boston Vancouver series have made a re-appearance to judge this one.

Then again we've known for years those measurements can be taken with a grain of salt :lol: ( sorry Sardis all in good fun, please don't sick Milan Lucic on me)
:sherlock: I rest my case :justice: :catchfish:
7th Annual Over the Hill Grumpy Old Men Winter Classic
Wrinkle Rock Fish Pulverizers 15cm
South Sardis Stinkin Sardines 3.5cm
User avatar
Storm
Storm Chaser
Storm Chaser
Posts: 7094
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:09 pm
Location: North Burnaby/Burquitlam
Has thanked: 2493 times
Been thanked: 12532 times

Re: February 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Storm »

PortKells wrote: Fri Feb 17, 2023 9:14 pm Some serious sass going on, we gonna have a dust up here?
You have to give it to John, that was actually quite funny.
North Burnaby/Burquitlam
Elevation - 64 M./210 Feet
User avatar
Forrest Gump
Weather Enthusiast
Weather Enthusiast
Posts: 4701
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 3:11 pm
Location: South Surrey/White Rock
Elevation: 377 Ft. or 115 M
Has thanked: 12906 times
Been thanked: 8688 times

Re: February 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Forrest Gump »

SouthSardiswx wrote: Fri Feb 17, 2023 8:43 pm Footage from the City of Chilliwack traffic cams of the 3cm crossing the goal line skipper plus my measurement when l got home @ 6a.m. Slyts has been missing since New Years so he's on waivers John has been practicing one liners so he could be a good TNSS pick up (traumatic no snow syndrome)
That's quite amazing that a street cam can help you predict the precise amount of snow in your backyard. I haven't got a chance against your superpowers. No wonder slytyguy was expendable.
7th Annual Over the Hill Grumpy Old Men Winter Classic
Wrinkle Rock Fish Pulverizers 15cm
South Sardis Stinkin Sardines 3.5cm
User avatar
PortKells
Storm Chaser
Storm Chaser
Posts: 7726
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 4:08 pm
Location: Port Kells
Elevation: 78m
Has thanked: 589 times
Been thanked: 13672 times

Re: February 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by PortKells »

wetcoast91 wrote: Fri Feb 17, 2023 12:39 pm C.

Needed a few more inversions and +12C days to get to a B.
Good thing the weather is trending milder as you predicted........
User avatar
PortKells
Storm Chaser
Storm Chaser
Posts: 7726
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 4:08 pm
Location: Port Kells
Elevation: 78m
Has thanked: 589 times
Been thanked: 13672 times

Re: February 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by PortKells »

SouthSardiswx wrote: Fri Feb 17, 2023 7:36 am One more pic from the pond cam before higher sun angles melt it all away. :x 20230217_065654.jpg
Wait is this the 3 cms?! Dude.. :lol:
User avatar
AbbyJr
Storm Chaser
Storm Chaser
Posts: 6606
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:14 pm
Location: Abbotsford
Elevation: 50m(164ft)
Has thanked: 12860 times
Been thanked: 12308 times

Re: February 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

Typeing3 wrote: Fri Feb 17, 2023 8:33 pm 00z GFS: Arctic front passes through the region on Tuesday evening/overnight with moderate outflow. Scattered flurries possible but looks mostly dry. Cool, dry and windy on Wednesday and Thursday before an overrunning event on Friday.
If that were to verify, it would be a score in my opinion especially given how late it is in the season. :thumbup: :flakey:
Central Abbotsford
50m (164ft)

2022/23 season snowfall: 76.8cm

:team: :snowwindow: :snowman:
User avatar
Typeing3
Weather Psycho
Weather Psycho
Posts: 14198
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 3:02 pm
Location: Coquitlam
Elevation: 25M./80Ft.
Has thanked: 26799 times
Been thanked: 28397 times

Re: February 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

00z GFS ensembles:
ens_image.png
00z ECMWF ensembles:
ens_image (1).png
00z GEM ensembles:
ens_image (2).png
You do not have the required permissions to view the files attached to this post.
:typing: :type3:
East Coquitlam
Elevation 25M (80Ft)
#MrJanuary :geek: 8-)
Post Reply