February 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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Radar
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Re: February 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Radar »

PortKells wrote: Sat Feb 18, 2023 12:07 pm Using the bli location to avoid resolution issues, the GFS meteograms are somewhat compelling.

gfs-ensemble-all-KBLI-indiv_snow-6721600.png
Ya it’s over a week away. Lots of time to change and have pineapple power push it away.
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24/25 snow total: 29cm
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PortKells
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Re: February 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by PortKells »

Looking like Portland might actually get something out of this one.
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PortKells
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Re: February 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by PortKells »

Radar wrote: Sat Feb 18, 2023 8:10 pm Ya it’s over a week away. Lots of time to change and have pineapple power push it away.
Thank goodness you said that. I was getting exhausted from believing that every snow map I ever saw was going to verify.
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PortKells
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Re: February 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by PortKells »

Hmmm
gfs-deterministic-vancouverski-total_snow_10to1_cm-7186000.png
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VanCitySouth
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Re: February 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by VanCitySouth »

GEM seems to like next Saturday
2025-26 season stats:
Climo :cancel: ∞ to 0.5 :14clown: GFS

Season total: 0.5 cm and TWO traces!
Peak depth: 0.5 cm (01/07/2026)
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Re: February 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

00z GFS ensembles:
ens_image.png
00z ECMWF ensembles:
ens_image (1).png
00z GEM ensembles:
ens_image (2).png
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:typing: :type3:
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Re: February 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

20230219102012-b1f0402311a5b545c5405602c6e6e14f525de2b7.png
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:typing: :type3:
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Re: February 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

Still looking pretty good. There has even been a trend since yesterday afternoon of the Euro and GFS showing an increasing chance of getting a little something as the front sweeps in.
ecmwf-ensemble-CYVR-indiv_snow-6764800.png
ecmwf-ensemble-CYVR-indiv_snow-6786400.png
gfs-ensemble-all-CYVR-indiv_snow-6786400.png
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It's called clown range for a reason.
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Re: February 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Hawk »

PortKells wrote: Sat Feb 18, 2023 6:28 pm Another Vancouver special would make this an A+++ winter here.
Yes but will these snows be mixed, sloppy snows? Or start to finish snows? >sloppy snows, cut those totals in half at least..likely <25% for lower levels and water folk as usual. If the models are even correct. only 7 days to go! :roll:
I'm drinking coffee right now..an excellent morning brew i might add :thumbup:
Nito? Did you purchase another shovel and invest in Michelin stock? :think:
Looking forward to our first 3 day stretch of sun and 20c++ 8-)
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Re: February 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Hawk »

One thing is for certain. The 850s say 100% snow in the Simikameens. Although we need to thread the needle here too for heavier snows. But it looks great (based on the models) until into early March :clap:
Just need to land a cupla Similkameeens Smashers in there and it will be a golden end to the snowpack! And extended Snowmobiling season! :thumbup:
Looking forward to our first 3 day stretch of sun and 20c++ 8-)
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Re: February 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Storm »

North Burnaby/Burquitlam
Elevation - 64 M./210 Feet
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PortKells
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Re: February 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by PortKells »

1951 alert :alert:
gfs-deterministic-vancouverski-t2m_c-8190400.png
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Re: February 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by PortKells »

Sub freezing on Friday
ecmwf-deterministic-vancouverski-t2m_c-7261600.png
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Re: February 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by PortKells »

So I'm thinking this might just be the beginning..

gfs-ensemble-all-avg-namer-z500_anom-8168800.png
cmc-ensemble-all-avg-namer-z500_anom-8190400.png
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Re: February 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

GFS, ECMWF, and GEM now all show a little something in the way of snow as the arctic front sweeps in (or soon thereafter).
ecmwf-deterministic-vancouverski-total_snow_kuchera_cm-7110400.png
gfs-deterministic-vancouverski-total_snow_kuchera_cm-7110400.png
gem-all-vancouverski-total_snow_kuchera_cm-7110400.png
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It's called clown range for a reason.
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