February 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

[Hawk]

I didn't realize that the upcoming storm already had a name. Not sure if I would have gone with snow storm HUGH.

Low Blow but..


Like HugeCorn in Abbotsford of all cities

[Pumpkin Seed]

I didn't realize that the upcoming storm already had a name. Not sure if I would have gone with snow storm HUGH.

Damn, I should use the spell check!

[Catnip]

From EC

Alerts for: Metro Vancouver
Statements
4:39 PM PST Thursday 23 February 2023
Special weather statement in effect for:

Metro Vancouver - central including the City of Vancouver Burnaby and New Westminster
Metro Vancouver - North Shore including West Vancouver and North Vancouver
Metro Vancouver - northeast including Coquitlam and Maple Ridge
Metro Vancouver - southeast including Surrey and Langley
Metro Vancouver - southwest including Richmond and Delta
Heavy snow is expected Saturday night.

Where: Metro Vancouver, the Fraser Valley, Howe Sound, Sunshine Coast, Whistler, and Sea to Sky highway - from Squamish to Whistler.

When: Saturday night.

Hazards: Total snowfall amounts ranging from 10 to 30 cm.

Remarks: A significant weather system will push across the South Coast this weekend bringing widespread snow to the region. Periods of light snow will start on Saturday and intensify to heavy snow Saturday night. Heavy snow is expected to ease Sunday morning for most regions.

Due to the variability in the track of the low pressure system and the strength of the Arctic outflow winds, there is some uncertainty associated with the exact snowfall amounts. Current guidance suggests total snow accumulations of 10 to 20 cm with near 30 cm possible over upslope regions and higher terrain.

Warnings will be issued as the event draws closer. Be prepared for challenging travel conditions Saturday night to Sunday.

Please continue to monitor alerts and forecasts issued by Environment Canada. To report severe weather, send an email to BCstorm@ec.gc.ca or tweet reports using #BCStorm.

[Typeing3]

From EC

Seems as though EC is predicting an eerily similar snowfall totals spread over the region as the February 23, 2018 snowstorm.

[Typeing3]

12z GFS ensembles:

ens_image (3).png

12z ECMWF ensembles:

ens_image (4).png

12z GEM ensembles:

ens_image (5).png

[Typeing3]

20230224013609-c8d2d7cf20973f908f968e9d534e49c36eacde72.png

[Typeing3]

12z WRF-GFS (1.33km resolution)

Low temps tomorrow morning:

wa_tsfc.28.0000.gif

High temps tomorrow afternoon:

wa_tsfc.35.0000.gif

Low temps Saturday morning:

wa_tsfc.48.0000.gif

High temps Saturday afternoon:

wa_tsfc.57.0000.gif

[Typeing3]

12z WRF-GFS (1.33km resolution)
Total accumulated snowfall thru Sunday 4am.

wa_snowacc.72.0000.gif

[AbbyJr]

Seems as though EC is predicting an eerily similar snowfall totals spread over the region as the February 23, 2018 snowstorm.

Yeah the late February 2018 storm has come to my mind as a possible comparison to this upcoming snowfall.

[Weather101]

Nito you ready ?

[Roberts Creeker]

SWS for Sechelt and Gibsons!

[Rubus_Leucodermis]

Still looking very snowy for Saturday night into Sunday morning.

ecmwf-deterministic-vancouverski-snow_24hr_kuchera_cm-7434400.png

gfs-deterministic-vancouverski-snow_24hr_kuchera_cm-7445200.png

gem-all-vancouverski-snow_24hr_kuchera_cm-7445200.png

[Rubus_Leucodermis]

Ensembles also look very snowy.

ecmwf-ensemble-CYVR-indiv_snow-7175200.png

gfs-ensemble-all-CYVR-indiv_snow-7175200.png

cmc-ensemble-all-CYVR-indiv_snow-7153600.png

[PortKells]

The RGEM appears overly optimistic, but for fun here it is.

rgem-all-vancouverski-snow_24hr_kuchera_cm-7430800.png

[Leighbugs]

Hi everyone. I'm sorry I've been gone again. My health took a bad turn again and because of it my mental health has suffered greatly. I just haven't even cared about the weather, which is so unlike me. Plus, the weather hasn't exactly been exciting since December anyway. But, I have heard whisperings of snow on the way and I find myself intrigued with what's going to potentially happen so maybe there's a spark of light left in this ol' brain yet.

At this point I would be happy with an epic snowstorm for the end of February or an early spring. If it's just going to be slop or cold rain, then bring on warmth and sun. But if we are in for some amazing snow totals then I am on Team Snow.

I hope you all can forgive my absence. As always I am hopeful I will be on the mend soon. I just have to take it one day at a time.