February 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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AbbyJr
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Re: February 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

PortKells wrote: Fri Feb 24, 2023 8:30 pm You're getting a ton of snow no matter which way you slice it. The only people with a shadow of doubt are closest to the border and I'm starting to think they are going to kill it. Man this is so f***ing exciting
Not to mention there is a real chance that this isn't our last region wide snowfall this winter. :clap: :D :flakey:
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2022/23 season snowfall: 76.8cm

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HarrisonSasquatchWx
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Re: February 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

PortKells wrote: Fri Feb 24, 2023 8:38 pm Should be ok but your commute home will be in light to moderate snow. On a weekend you might be ok depending on the roads you take and how far you have to go. And your driving skills...but based on your username they are probably 10/10 ;)
:lol: Granddaddyp2233 is the best of the best Kells. :thumbup:
Current conditions in Harrison Hot Springs:
https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/ ... wx_pwsdash
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Typeing3
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Re: February 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

VanCitySouth wrote: Fri Feb 24, 2023 8:37 pm Did Dec 20 not make it on here? I thought it did even though some of it was split out to the 19th.
December 20, 2022: 24.2cm @ YVR
:typing: :type3:
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HarrisonSasquatchWx
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Re: February 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

AbbyJr wrote: Fri Feb 24, 2023 8:39 pm Not to mention there is a real chance that this isn't our last region wide snowfall this winter. :clap: :D :flakey:
Well Jr. man perhaps you'll see an exciting late Feb early Mar. 1951 or bust.
Current conditions in Harrison Hot Springs:
https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/ ... wx_pwsdash
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VanCitySouth
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Re: February 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by VanCitySouth »

Typeing3 wrote: Fri Feb 24, 2023 8:42 pm December 20, 2022: 24.2cm @ YVR
Damn juuuust missed
2025-26 season stats:
Climo :cancel: ∞ to 0.5 :14clown: GFS

Season total: 0.5 cm and TWO traces!
Peak depth: 0.5 cm (01/07/2026)
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Re: February 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by jollyrogerv8 »

Time to put the snow plow blade back on the atv I guess.
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Re: February 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

How's the Puget Sounders Mr. M? :wtf: :cryhard: :damn: :wish: :lol:
Current conditions in Harrison Hot Springs:
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Re: February 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

Granddaddyp2233 wrote: Fri Feb 24, 2023 8:36 pm What time do we expect this to start tomorrow? Trying to figure out if driving to my 9-5 shift is smart.
5 pm is a little sketchy, may well have kicked in by then already.
It's called clown range for a reason.
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Re: February 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Roberts Creeker »

jollyrogerv8 wrote: Fri Feb 24, 2023 8:44 pm Time to put the snow plow blade back on the atv I guess.
From the sounds of things, you might want one of those long flag things too, just so you don't lose your atv in the mountain loads of snow that are coming. :lol: :lol:
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Snow total: 1cm Dec 24, 1cm Feb 19
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Re: February 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Roberts Creeker »

PortKells wrote: Fri Feb 24, 2023 8:02 pm Crazy it's been so consistent for over a week. Never seen a snowfall I've been this sure about.
The consistency makes me worried. These well predicted forecasts seem to be more miss than the out of the blue surprises...from what I remember at least. Could just be my expectation of tons of snow and only getting a couple of cm makes it a miss instead of the surprise when a couple of unexpected cm's is a win. :shrug: :shrug: But I've got the :14popcorn: :14popcorn: ready. Had to wait in line forever as everyone else seemed to be stocking up on food too.
:team: :flakey: :flakey:

Snow total: 1cm Dec 24, 1cm Feb 19
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Re: February 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Roberts Creeker »

wetcoast91 wrote: Fri Feb 24, 2023 4:49 pm Ok fine....1 last snowstorm and then it's on to spring.

Deal?

:dancepine:
How's your lawn look?
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:team: :flakey: :flakey:

Snow total: 1cm Dec 24, 1cm Feb 19
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Re: February 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

Roberts Creeker wrote: Fri Feb 24, 2023 8:52 pm The consistency makes me worried. These well predicted forecasts seem to be more miss than the out of the blue surprises...from what I remember at least. Could just be my expectation of tons of snow and only getting a couple of cm makes it a miss instead of the surprise when a couple of unexpected cm's is a win. :shrug: :shrug: But I've got the :14popcorn: :14popcorn: ready. Had to wait in line forever as everyone else seemed to be stocking up on food too.
Snow wars coming to a town near you Ms. Snowedincreeks.
Last edited by HarrisonSasquatchWx on Fri Feb 24, 2023 9:07 pm, edited 1 time in total.
Current conditions in Harrison Hot Springs:
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Re: February 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by VanCitySouth »

Roberts Creeker wrote: Fri Feb 24, 2023 8:52 pm The consistency makes me worried. These well predicted forecasts seem to be more miss than the out of the blue surprises...from what I remember at least. Could just be my expectation of tons of snow and only getting a couple of cm makes it a miss instead of the surprise when a couple of unexpected cm's is a win. :shrug: :shrug: But I've got the :14popcorn: :14popcorn: ready. Had to wait in line forever as everyone else seemed to be stocking up on food too.
The fails invariably have a ? on them in some sort of model disagreement or a slow trend away in the last couple days, or very marginal surface and upper temps. Tomorrow looks far more solid than any fails we have seen.
2025-26 season stats:
Climo :cancel: ∞ to 0.5 :14clown: GFS

Season total: 0.5 cm and TWO traces!
Peak depth: 0.5 cm (01/07/2026)
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Re: February 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by PortKells »

Roberts Creeker wrote: Fri Feb 24, 2023 8:52 pm The consistency makes me worried. These well predicted forecasts seem to be more miss than the out of the blue surprises...from what I remember at least. Could just be my expectation of tons of snow and only getting a couple of cm makes it a miss instead of the surprise when a couple of unexpected cm's is a win. :shrug: :shrug: But I've got the :14popcorn: :14popcorn: ready. Had to wait in line forever as everyone else seemed to be stocking up on food too.
True, anything can bust. Good reminder of that. If this were to bust then that would be an all time bust - a modelled snowstorm for over a week.
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Re: February 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Monty »

SouthSardiswx wrote: Fri Feb 24, 2023 8:44 pm How's the Puget Sounders Mr. M? :wtf: :cryhard: :damn: :wish: :lol:
Not sure. Was busy this afternoon. This is clearly going to be a victory for the LM. A little too warm down south and probably a fair bit of shadowing on the east island.
North end of Shawnigan Lake. Southern Vancouver island. 500ft
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