February 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

[Rubus_Leucodermis]

Too localized and variable. Not gonna happen

West metro area special, driven by high precip rates dragging the snow level down.

You should be pleased. Your rain forecast will verify in your backyard and the rest of us get to score snow. Win/win!

[Michael1]

This event was a bust for us, but we were pleasantly surprised on Wed/Thur. so, no complaints here.

[Typeing3]

26cm storm total in east Coquitlam. It's compacted to about 15-20cm now.

[Rubus_Leucodermis]

26cm storm total in east Coquitlam. It's compacted to about 15-20cm now.

Another success for engaging the weenie mode yesterday evening!

[Hawk]

26cm storm total in east Coquitlam. It's compacted to about 15-20cm now.

This is a massive victory for the banana belt at the end of february. At the start of this yesterday in your area... who would have thought?

[Hawk]

Okay let's focus on the next event now. All together now let's see what happens.
#TeamSnow

I will try not to have such negative thinking this time so that a few members on here don't get upset and start crying

[Hawk]

I mean let's face the facts here. The temperature went above zero...the heavy precip was delayed slightly. The west def scored early. Front seemed to stall out a bit..then BAMMMM. Kudos to the models. I'm more of a believer everytime they get it right!

[VanCitySouth]

I will try not to have such negative thinking this time so that a few members on here don't get upset and start crying

This is such pass-agg BS

[PortKells]

Another success for engaging the weenie mode yesterday evening!

I really don't have a great grasp on weather compared to many here. For example I don't truly understand dew points and their effects on snowfalls among many other things.

However I do kinda understand probabilities and after looking at literally hundreds of snow maps over the course of ten or so days, I could not understand how anyone thought there was widespread bust potential last night. That thing was picked and loaded on all models for most sections in the lm.

It's a good lesson in patience - no it's not busting because the snow didn't start 12 hours early, or because temps are .3 C warmer than modelled. And when there is model consensus, it's essentially happening. Models aren't always reliable but when there's consensus, they are.

[Weather Dude]

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[Lisa0527]

West metro area special, driven by high precip rates dragging the snow level down.

You should be pleased. Your rain forecast will verify in your backyard and the rest of us get to score snow. Win/win!

Nothing wrong with that

[PortKells]

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Actually on second thought that is a counter example to everything I just said. For my memory dec 22 is one of the biggest busts here in a long time. So you could point to that and say model consensus fails. But it is exceedingly rare imo.

[Hawk]

To add to the discussion if models were 100% accurate every single time I would believe them. But taking a few factors into consideration with one of them being the time of year being February 25 almost into March. Another one being temperatures being slightly warmer than forecast. And 0c snow. It wasnt -3c to start..it was +3c. Pitt Meadows read +4c on my vehicle actually. I didnt think we would get a pumbling like that
That was a tremendous event looking back now. Hindsight is 20/20 right?

[Rubus_Leucodermis]

Actually on second thought that is a counter example to everything I just said. For my memory dec 22 is one of the biggest busts here in a long time. So you could point to that and say model consensus fails. But it is exceedingly rare imo.

It was, sort of. Busts happen. But there wasn’t the level of model consensus there was with this one. The Euro had been on board for a big dumping for most of a week and the GFS for a week or more with last night’s snowfall. December’s snowfall involved more flipping and flopping in the lead-in.

[Hawk]

What an amazing beautiful day out there! Tremendous score for Feb 26!
Glad to see the banana belts got lots too