July 2023 Forecasts and Discussions

[Roberts Creeker]

We need .

My cacti plants continues to thrive outside.

My cedar trees are dying. I think I'll replace them with palm trees and cacti and maybe start farming antelope...or lizards.

A lovely breezy 20.0c here.

[Glacier]

Random question: Would you mofos consider Pemberton coastal or interior in terms of climate? I used to think of it as coastal, but I look at the diurnal temperature range, and it competes with the most extreme places in Canada, which are all interior spots...

Perhaps it's a truly transitional spot where it could be classified either way.

diruanljuly2023.png

[HarrisonSasquatchWx]

Random question: Would you mofos consider Pemberton coastal or interior in terms of climate? I used to think of it as coastal, but I look at the diurnal temperature range, and it competes with the most extreme places in Canada, which are all interior spots...

Perhaps it's a truly transitional spot where it could be classified either way.

diruanljuly2023.png

Good analysis Glace however it's neither it's more like the twilight zone. It's currently 26c @ the pond in south Sardis.

[HarrisonSasquatchWx]

My cedar trees are dying. I think I'll replace them with palm trees and cacti and maybe start farming antelope...or lizards.

A lovely breezy 20.0c here.

Now that would be interesting Ms. Desertcreeks perhaps afew desert creatures as well.

[Roberts Creeker]

Just read it's raining 'pretty good' in Sooke and several nice photos of mammatus clouds.

Hope it's coming this way!

[Glacier]

Good analysis Glace however it's neither it's mote like the twilight zone. It's currently 26c @ the pond in south Sardis.

I suppose there are a lot of fairly coastal locations with high summer diurnal variations. Eg. Port Alberni...

diruanljuly2023.png

Perhaps a better definition would be the seasonality of precipitation. A distinct dry summer season is coastal. But Lytton also has a distinct dry season, so maybe relative humidity? But even then, The relative humidity in Summer on the Lower Mainland and especially in the Fraser Valley is lower than much of Canada including most of the prairies. Or we could look at dew points, but that is even worse. It's actually lower on the coast than almost all of Canada outside of the BC interior and Yukon.

The only real way to measure coastal-ness is the winter, now that I think of it.

[Typeing3]

Very stubborn pattern. I can't remember another summer that had so many days with convective buildups over the mountains.

July 2012?

[Typeing3]

12z GFS ensembles:

ens_image (6).png

12z ECMWF ensembles:

ens_image (7).png

12z GEM ensembles:

ens_image (8).png

[Typeing3]

20230713002743-b74e0f1f060efc900074a37d92608701c68f4cb9.png

20230713002719-bf67cec124a270d550aefc8b6bd247f43e02a343.png

[wetcoast91]

My cedar trees are dying. I think I'll replace them with palm trees and cacti and maybe start farming antelope...or lizards.

A lovely breezy 20.0c here.

Good idea but you left out the tumbleweeds.

[Roberts Creeker]

Good idea but you left out the tumbleweeds.

Good point, I don't need to grow them, they're just tumbling by! Why, there goes a herd right now, rolling down the gravel road.

My immediate neighbours just had a bear kill 10 of their chickens. Too close! I have an electric fence I hope it keeps the bear out. They did too but it wasn't very strong.

[Coquitlam79]

Greet news for north and Central coasts and especially northern BC specifically the Peace region if this verifies . That's where most of the biggest fires are burning.

prec2-19.png

[Typeing3]

Next 15-16 days total precip on the ensembles


12z GEFS (GFS ensembles)

gfs-ens_apcpn_wus_64.png

12z EPS (ECMWF ensembles)

eps_apcpn_wus_60.png

12z GEPS (GEM ensembles)

gem-ens_apcpn_wus_64.png

[Roberts Creeker]

Next 15-16 days total precip on the ensembles

Thanks for sharing Typeing! Can you find some with more precip please? I appreciate all the maps you share.

[Roberts Creeker]

Is anyone else staying up tonight to see the aurora borealis? Looks like we may see some here: https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/auro ... e-forecast. The last few frames are current time.