July 2023 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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Rubus_Leucodermis
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Re: July 2023 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

Mattman wrote: Fri Jul 21, 2023 10:06 pm It may be weasel-like, but it is a July observation l’ll get to here. If the post is moved or deleted, oh well.

Port Kells, Phil on the AF yesterday addressed the rate of change. It is negligible and easily adaptable compared to the rate of warming ~ 6k years ago. And I would posit it’s hubris to think we can adjust the rate of change like a thermostat. Well, the god-players think we can adjust it. That’s why I think it’s important to speak up. It’s not just I think others are wrong and I’m right. Those who hold political power can devastate our lives (and the lives of the child slave labour mining cobalt for electric cars). And if you’ll indulge me further on the cult-like aspect to all this, someone, anyone, has to call that dangerous garbage out. Fortunately guys with more smarts and influence than me like Bjørn Lomborg have spoken up with rational solutions.

You said the science makes sense to you. Something can on the surface make sense until contrary evidence comes along. I retract part of my earlier comment about objective data re: July observations. I should know better. The data are incomplete, misunderstood, or flat-out dishonest garbage. That’s the case with the supposed records broken in July:

https://apnews.com/article/global-heat- ... b1a37efe23

https://climaterealism.com/2023/07/eart ... erate-lie/

https://climaterealism.com/2023/07/wron ... is-summer/


If this is a thread about July observations, I humbly posit it is manipulated, dishonest data posted the last few days. I won’t ascribe ill motives to those on the forum, but I will ascribe nefarious motives about those that were posted from social media . And since this forum has a science-like bent, we should call it for what it is and banter back and forth. I will give Phil on the AF credit for posting yesterday that the message and messengers in media and social media damage—for lack of a better term—the cause. At least he’s willing to admit the steaming manure pile of bad data and unethical spouting off. He didn’t take the next step, however, that the academy is complicit at best about such lapses. And it was disturbing not that he was getting pushback, but pushback that the ends (societal compliance) justified the means (lying). Actually, that’s cultish. And it’s cultish to see the academy, politicians, and media slander and try to destroy those drawing attention to the issues with data. It is cult-like to be critical of those who are rightly critical of the data without being critical of the data themselves.

I’m not special. Many like me remember the massaged data of “hide the decline” from 14 years ago, the garbage Cook et al study of “96% of scientists agree….” We know enough to know there are valid counterpoints. So we look elsewhere for a counterpoint to the firehouse of bad data in our in faces whenever we check the news. And we know the stories media and other run with turn out to not be what they appear. The numbers of those that think like me will grow in number if this pile of manure isn’t dealt with by those who should know better.

Glacier, you made some good points I mostly agree with.

Lastly, and with this I’ll end it. I’m not into a gotcha shaming. I think it’s cheap moralizing to say to someone, “Oh, your clothes were made in Malaysia. You bastard! You support slavery.” Or, “You’re not eating locally grown organic food. Shame!” In day-to-day life you make those casual purchases to get by. I can’t avoid life without lithium ion batteries. They’re in my phone, laptop, and the battery pack in my chest that feeds a constant electric current to my brain to quell the Parkinson’s symptoms (DBS surgery). The rare earth elements in those items are minuscule compared to what’s needed for EVs. And an EV isn’t a casual living expense. Not only do I question that we have enough rare earth elements to “go green,” but what looks to be child slavery tut-tutted by the elites really pisses me off for more than disagreements about anthropogenic climate change. I’ll fight like hell to keep my ICE vehicles. Cobalt mining is one of a few of green energy’s dirty secrets. That’s the main reason this law-and-order, right wing capitalist is with an anarchic zeal rooting for the total demise of this quasi-socialist, distorted EV/green economy. I’ll stick with comparatively ethical Alberta oil, thank you.
Ah, yes, Phil the Trump voter who never misses a beat to not not criticize the most extreme lies a climate denier says while putting everything from any environmentalist under a microscope. Real classy source, there.

Right up the alley with Lomborg, whose rep isn't exactly stellar within climate science, either.

There were scientists who did the bidding of the tobacco and asbestos industries at one time, too. Every status quo has its sycophants.
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Re: July 2023 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Weather101 »

Mattman wrote: Fri Jul 21, 2023 10:06 pm It may be weasel-like, but it is a July observation l’ll get to here. If the post is moved or deleted, oh well.

Port Kells, Phil on the AF yesterday addressed the rate of change. It is negligible and easily adaptable compared to the rate of warming ~ 6k years ago. And I would posit it’s hubris to think we can adjust the rate of change like a thermostat. Well, the god-players think we can adjust it. That’s why I think it’s important to speak up. It’s not just I think others are wrong and I’m right. Those who hold political power can devastate our lives (and the lives of the child slave labour mining cobalt for electric cars). And if you’ll indulge me further on the cult-like aspect to all this, someone, anyone, has to call that dangerous garbage out. Fortunately guys with more smarts and influence than me like Bjørn Lomborg have spoken up with rational solutions.

You said the science makes sense to you. Something can on the surface make sense until contrary evidence comes along. I retract part of my earlier comment about objective data re: July observations. I should know better. The data are incomplete, misunderstood, or flat-out dishonest garbage. That’s the case with the supposed records broken in July:

https://apnews.com/article/global-heat- ... b1a37efe23

https://climaterealism.com/2023/07/eart ... erate-lie/

https://climaterealism.com/2023/07/wron ... is-summer/


If this is a thread about July observations, I humbly posit it is manipulated, dishonest data posted the last few days. I won’t ascribe ill motives to those on the forum, but I will ascribe nefarious motives about those that were posted from social media . And since this forum has a science-like bent, we should call it for what it is and banter back and forth. I will give Phil on the AF credit for posting yesterday that the message and messengers in media and social media damage—for lack of a better term—the cause. At least he’s willing to admit the steaming manure pile of bad data and unethical spouting off. He didn’t take the next step, however, that the academy is complicit at best about such lapses. And it was disturbing not that he was getting pushback, but pushback that the ends (societal compliance) justified the means (lying). Actually, that’s cultish. And it’s cultish to see the academy, politicians, and media slander and try to destroy those drawing attention to the issues with data. It is cult-like to be critical of those who are rightly critical of the data without being critical of the data themselves.

I’m not special. Many like me remember the massaged data of “hide the decline” from 14 years ago, the garbage Cook et al study of “96% of scientists agree….” We know enough to know there are valid counterpoints. So we look elsewhere for a counterpoint to the firehouse of bad data in our in faces whenever we check the news. And we know the stories media and other run with turn out to not be what they appear. The numbers of those that think like me will grow in number if this pile of manure isn’t dealt with by those who should know better.

Glacier, you made some good points I mostly agree with.

Lastly, and with this I’ll end it. I’m not into a gotcha shaming. I think it’s cheap moralizing to say to someone, “Oh, your clothes were made in Malaysia. You bastard! You support slavery.” Or, “You’re not eating locally grown organic food. Shame!” In day-to-day life you make those casual purchases to get by. I can’t avoid life without lithium ion batteries. They’re in my phone, laptop, and the battery pack in my chest that feeds a constant electric current to my brain to quell the Parkinson’s symptoms (DBS surgery). The rare earth elements in those items are minuscule compared to what’s needed for EVs. And an EV isn’t a casual living expense. Not only do I question that we have enough rare earth elements to “go green,” but what looks to be child slavery tut-tutted by the elites really pisses me off for more than disagreements about anthropogenic climate change. I’ll fight like hell to keep my ICE vehicles. Cobalt mining is one of a few of green energy’s dirty secrets. That’s the main reason this law-and-order, right wing capitalist is with an anarchic zeal rooting for the total demise of this quasi-socialist, distorted EV/green economy. I’ll stick with comparatively ethical Alberta oil, thank you.
Phil? Lol, the same guy who thinks the 2020 election was rigged even tho there's no proof of that? The same guy who makes up false narratives to fix his agenda ?

Yeah, he shouldn't be the voice of reason, lol

At the end of the day, you listed zero credible sources to prove climate change isn't real, lol

It's real. I'll take the endless data of evidence over climate deniers because they are scared of their big trucks and oil being taken away lmao

It's crazy how social media has given everyone a platform to think they know more than professionals in their respected industry
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Re: July 2023 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

Rubus_Leucodermis wrote: Fri Jul 21, 2023 10:14 pm Ah, yes, Phil the Trump voter who never misses a beat to not not criticize the most extreme lies a climate denier says while putting everything from any environmentalist under a microscope. Real classy source, there.

Right up the alley with Lomborg, whose rep isn't exactly stellar within climate science, either.

There were scientists who did the bidding of the tobacco and asbestos industries at one time, too. Every status quo has its sycophants.

I was going to stay out of this, but bingo. You hit the nail on the head.
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Re: July 2023 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

To lighten the mood, here’s another sunset!
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Spring/Summer :sick: Fall/Winter :thumbup:

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Re: July 2023 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

Bonovox wrote: Sat Jul 22, 2023 12:16 am To lighten the mood, here’s another sunset!
Absolutely insane and stunning pic. Bones in middle earth Richmond looks like the eye of Sauron has set. :o it's currently 18c at pond in south Sardis.
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Re: July 2023 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by John »

10-15mm in the forecast Monday :o
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Re: July 2023 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

Here you go Bones & Snifferdude there's hope around the corner :thumbup: It's the Farmers Almanac fall forecast.

https://dailyhive.com/canada/farmers-al ... -in-canada
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Re: July 2023 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

John wrote: Sat Jul 22, 2023 2:12 am 10-15mm in the forecast Monday :o
Really!
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Re: July 2023 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hawk »

John wrote: Sat Jul 22, 2023 2:12 am 10-15mm in the forecast Monday :o
Yup King Euro led the charge. Now what is the wetcoast rains overperform...and we get more like 20-30mm :shock: and :clap:
Looking forward to our first 3 day stretch of sun and 20c++ 8-)
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Re: July 2023 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by John »

Hawk wrote: Sat Jul 22, 2023 7:46 am Yup King Euro led the charge. Now what is the wetcoast rains overperform...and we get more like 20-30mm :shock: and :clap:
Could it be :wtf:
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Re: July 2023 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

00z GFS ensembles:
ens_image (10).png
00z ECMWF ensembles:
ens_image (11).png
00z GEM ensembles:
ens_image (12).png
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Re: July 2023 Forecasts and Discussions

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20230722154803-089fb4b55bc2c216dab27cd2f2923f87b7247664.png
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Re: July 2023 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

I am as giddy about the rain on Monday as I am about impending snowfalls!
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Re: July 2023 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

As we await the Monsoons on Monday. :wtf: :roll: it's time for another addition of "l didn't know that"
In the opening scene of Gilligan's Island a little known thing was left in the shot when the Minnow was leaving the marina without googling it what was it and why? l'll post the answer below.
Answer to follow this evening it's currently 27c @ the pond in south Sardis.
FtzUmvlaQAA3aXu.png
Answer: The flag at half mask was due to the assassination of JFK in Nov/63 the shows producer kept it in the shot.
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Re: July 2023 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Weather101 »

John wrote: Sat Jul 22, 2023 8:26 am Could it be :wtf:
I honestly feel Hawk isn't real and your behind that account :lol:
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