August 2023 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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HarrisonSasquatchWx
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Re: August 2023 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

AbbyJr wrote: Sat Aug 05, 2023 9:40 pm :sick: :sick: :sick:


gem-all-CYXX-daily_tmin_tmax-1280000.png


gem-all-namer-z500_norm_anom-2144000.png
l'll trade you a 37c for a mint condition never used 21c Jr. Man, it's currently a pleasant summer evening and 21c @ the pond in south Sardis.
Last edited by HarrisonSasquatchWx on Sun Aug 06, 2023 12:17 pm, edited 1 time in total.
Current conditions in Harrison Hot Springs:
https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/ ... wx_pwsdash
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Re: August 2023 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

Forrest Gump wrote: Sat Aug 05, 2023 10:14 pm Finally got rescued...by a beautiful mermaid.
IMG_5481.JPG
:lol: Now we seem to be missing Tripper last known location somewhere around Smithers. :o :shifty:
https://www.pinterest.ca/pin/103301385193627405/
Last edited by HarrisonSasquatchWx on Sat Aug 05, 2023 10:46 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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AbbyJr
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Re: August 2023 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

At least I'll be able to put my portable A/C to good use... :roll: :lol: :sick:

gfs-deterministic-CYXX-daily_tmin_tmax-1280000.png
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Re: August 2023 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

AbbyJr wrote: Sat Aug 05, 2023 10:28 pm At least I'll be able to put my portable A/C to good use... :roll: :lol: :sick:


gfs-deterministic-CYXX-daily_tmin_tmax-1280000.png
:wtf: :sick: :crazy: :x :thumbdown: That's absolutely insane if this verifies.
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Re: August 2023 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

SouthSardiswx wrote: Sat Aug 05, 2023 10:30 pm :wtf: :sick: :crazy: :x :thumbdown: That's absolutely insane if this verifies.
Not anymore. That is now totally normal and expected and what a heatwave means now.
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Re: August 2023 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by John »

PortKells wrote: Sun Aug 06, 2023 5:46 am Not anymore. That is now totally normal and expected and what a heatwave means now.
If we see 40 again this year, I will never deny climate change.

Ok I believe in it already lol

But doubt those temps will be close
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Re: August 2023 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

John wrote: Sun Aug 06, 2023 5:56 am If we see 40 again this year, I will never deny climate change.

Ok I believe in it already lol

But doubt those temps will be close
If we ever get another cool/average (long term average) summer I'm going to look at it like I look at last winter, a very rare glimpse at what our climate used to be.
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Re: August 2023 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

Today's GFS looks good for rain and for less extreme heat.
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Re: August 2023 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

John wrote: Sun Aug 06, 2023 5:56 am If we see 40 again this year, I will never deny climate change.

Ok I believe in it already lol

But doubt those temps will be close
That's what we laughed at in June 2021 John. :think: It's currently 25c John @ the pond in south Sardis.
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Re: August 2023 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

SouthSardiswx wrote: Sun Aug 06, 2023 12:16 pm That's what we laughed at in June 2021 John. :think: It's currently 25c John @ the pond in south Sardis.
Don't forget, Squamish hit 40 degrees less than two months after that. I believe the lower mainland capped out in the upper 38-39 range in the August edition.
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Re: August 2023 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by John »

PortKells wrote: Sun Aug 06, 2023 12:32 pm Don't forget, Squamish hit 40 degrees less than two months after that. I believe the lower mainland capped out in the upper 38-39 range in the August edition.
Is the euro still on team heat?
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Re: August 2023 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

For those concerned about the potential for extreme heat mid month, it’s not time to panic yet. Models are still undecided.

The Euro has backed off significantly the past few runs as it develops and keeps the ridge further west offshore. Much cooler solution.

The past couple GEM runs develop a heat dome right over BC. Very hot solution.

The GFS is different every run. :crazy: :roll:

Based on historical accuracy, the Euro is favoured and therefore, if the current trend continues, we may get lucky and avoid a major heatwave. But it’s still too soon to say for sure.
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Re: August 2023 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by John »

AbbyJr wrote: Sun Aug 06, 2023 2:35 pm For those concerned about the potential for extreme heat mid month, it’s not time to panic yet. Models are still undecided.

The Euro has backed off significantly the past few runs as it develops and keeps the ridge further west offshore. Much cooler solution.

The past couple GEM runs develop a heat dome right over BC. Very hot solution.

The GFS is different every run. :crazy: :roll:

Based on historical accuracy, the Euro is favoured and therefore, if the current trend continues, we may get lucky and avoid a major heatwave. But it’s still too soon to say for sure.
Ok thanks for the update !!
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Re: August 2023 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

12z GFS ensembles:
ens_image (100).png
12z ECMWF ensembles:
ens_image - 2023-08-06.png
12z GEM ensembles:
ens_image - 2023-08-06T.png
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Re: August 2023 Forecasts and Discussions

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