September 2023 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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HarrisonSasquatchWx
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Re: September 2023 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

Geesh the forum has become a coffin of silence kinda sad really hoping the members that keep it interesting comeback.
Even Skipper Grumps has disappeared back to Gilligan's Island. :(
Current conditions in Harrison Hot Springs:
https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/ ... wx_pwsdash
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Re: September 2023 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by VanCitySouth »

Glacier wrote: Tue Sep 12, 2023 2:55 pm I think my dad's trapline cabins burned down. Won't know until the smoke clears.
I am sorry to hear that Glacier. Praying for a better outcome for you.
2025-26 season stats:
Climo :cancel: ∞ to 0.5 :14clown: GFS

Season total: 0.5 cm and TWO traces!
Peak depth: 0.5 cm (01/07/2026)
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Re: September 2023 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

00z GFS ensembles:
ens_image (6).png
00z ECMWF ensembles:
ens_image (7).png
00z GEM ensembles:
ens_image (8).png
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Re: September 2023 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

20230913133217-f6f6ca653ef05f49e2a6bda26354451681cfaa2b.png
20230913133236-d0719bc80fe8285a8ab4b2a0c555e85db2c3e308.png
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:typing: :type3:
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Re: September 2023 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Next 15-16 days total precip on the ensembles


00z GEFS (GFS ensembles)
gfs-ens_apcpn_wus_64.png


00z EPS (ECMWF ensembles)
eps_apcpn_wus_60.png


00z GEPS (GEM ensembles)
gem-ens_apcpn_wus_64.png
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Re: September 2023 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by stuffradio »

SouthSardiswx wrote: Tue Sep 12, 2023 8:09 pm Geesh the forum has become a coffin of silence kinda sad really hoping the members that keep it interesting comeback.
Even Skipper Grumps has disappeared back to Gilligan's Island. :(
Once we're getting more active rain/wind storms, the forum will become hopping again. Until that happens, the only thing people have to focus on is the negatives of the current weather which is why we have been having issues of bickering.
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Re: September 2023 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Weather101 »

stuffradio wrote: Wed Sep 13, 2023 7:47 am Once we're getting more active rain/wind storms, the forum will become hopping again. Until that happens, the only thing people have to focus on is the negatives of the current weather which is why we have been having issues of bickering.
Agreed. In a boring weather pattern at the moment. Once the storm train ramps up it will go back to normal.
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Re: September 2023 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

Typeing3 wrote: Wed Sep 13, 2023 6:38 am Next 15-16 days total precip on the ensembles


00z GEFS (GFS ensembles)
gfs-ens_apcpn_wus_64.png



00z EPS (ECMWF ensembles)
eps_apcpn_wus_60.png



00z GEPS (GEM ensembles)
gem-ens_apcpn_wus_64.png
The ECMWF is the most accurate model shown, and it is only calling for around an inch in the metro area. Spread over two weeks, that’s really not very much rain.
It's called clown range for a reason.
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Re: September 2023 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

Rubus_Leucodermis wrote: Wed Sep 13, 2023 9:02 am The ECMWF is the most accurate model shown, and it is only calling for around an inch in the metro area. Spread over two weeks, that’s really not very much rain.
Ya, not much rain at all. Might be waiting until October again this year.
epsprecip.png
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*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2025-2026 Snowfall - ZERO.OOcm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
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Re: September 2023 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

Just for fun... the latest extended eps precip anom.
weeklyprecip.png
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*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2025-2026 Snowfall - ZERO.OOcm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
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Re: September 2023 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by stuffradio »

Catnip wrote: Wed Sep 13, 2023 9:13 am Just for fun... the latest extended eps precip anom.

weeklyprecip.png
I'll be curious to see what it looks like when we get closer to October or the first week of October.
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Re: September 2023 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Weather101 »

All about them Cowboys !!! 🤠 🤠
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Re: September 2023 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Catnip wrote: Wed Sep 13, 2023 9:10 am Ya, not much rain at all. Might be waiting until October again this year.

epsprecip.png
7mm of rain last September @ YVR.
0.6mm thus far this September @ YVR.
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Re: September 2023 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Weather101 »

2 days and counting :lol:
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Re: September 2023 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Weather101 »

:thumbdown:
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