September 2023 Forecasts and Discussions

[Typeing3]

00z GFS ensembles:

ens_image (6).png

00z ECMWF ensembles:

ens_image (7).png

00z GEM ensembles:

ens_image (8).png

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20230922133007-b1b388d29102a4908139cb5edf973476c0d3c170.png

20230922133031-63ad1604b103d386c0c0c9b89d866b089c163cf1.png

[Typeing3]

Next 15-16 days total precip on the ensembles


00z GEFS (GFS ensembles)

gfs-ens_apcpn_wus_64.png

00z EPS (ECMWF ensembles)

eps_apcpn_wus_60.png

00z GEPS (GEM ensembles)

gem-ens_apcpn_wus_64.png

[Weather101]

Not promising for winter. Good read tho.

https://www.msn.com/en-CA/weather/topst ... reappshare


BC
" However, the wet pattern during the final week of September is not a sign of what is to come for the rest of the season. We expect that a mild and dry pattern will return and be the dominant pattern for the fall season."

[stuffradio]

Well everyone, Summer is going out like a lamb. Fall is coming in like a lion starting this weekend. I don't believe TWN is 100% accurate. I do agree we will be seeing a lot of periods of dry/mild temps. Do people think we will be seeing a lot of inversion fog this Fall?

[Roberts Creeker]

Next 15-16 days total precip on the ensembles

Thanks for the maps Typer, most appreciated!

[Hawk]

Well everyone, Summer is going out like a lamb. Fall is coming in like a lion starting this weekend. I don't believe TWN is 100% accurate. I do agree we will be seeing a lot of periods of dry/mild temps. Do people think we will be seeing a lot of inversion fog this Fall?

Anyones guess..mine is "normal" amounts. Hopefully no NitoDeathRidges with Fog/Inversions #patternlock for +/-8 weeks. That would really suck

[Rubus_Leucodermis]

Anyones guess..mine is "normal" amounts. Hopefully no NitoDeathRidges with Fog/Inversions #patternlock for +/-8 weeks. That would really suck

Midwinter death ridges are more likely than spring or fall ones this time ’round.

[Hawk]

Midwinter death ridges are more likely than spring or fall ones this time ’round.

i know..we been there done that in Nino years past..but Jr says not so fast this year
Where there is a future, there is always Hope

[tyweather]

Looks wet along the mountains!

[Catnip]

Mr. Stuffy bologna please delete the extra Winter 23/24 topic that Jr.man made by mistake thanks it's nice to keep the forum clean. It's currently 26c @ the pond in south Sardis.

Might as well close both Slim Fish. Winter is cancelled this year.

[wetcoast91]

Not promising for winter. Good read tho.

https://www.msn.com/en-CA/weather/topst ... reappshare


BC
" However, the wet pattern during the final week of September is not a sign of what is to come for the rest of the season. We expect that a mild and dry pattern will return and be the dominant pattern for the fall season."

+12C and sunny Christmas is back on the table.

Anyone hoping for a repeat of 2015-16?

[Catnip]

+12C and sunny Christmas is back on the table.

Anyone hoping for a repeat of 2015-16?

Other than you..... Not too sure.

[Weather101]

+12C and sunny Christmas is back on the table.

Anyone hoping for a repeat of 2015-16?

If it ain't going to snow then give me sunny and plus 12 all day long.

[Catnip]

Lock it in Neetz!!!

cfs_t2m_anom_northamerica_202312_1.png

[Bonovox]

I think Nito is trying to use some reverse psychology. I bet he already stocked up on salt.