September 2023 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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stuffradio
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Re: September 2023 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by stuffradio »

The plot thickens…
8A295D67-BD8D-405A-BE2E-8B03973BE251.png
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Re: September 2023 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Weather101 »

:think:
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Re: September 2023 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Weather101 »

:problem:
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Re: September 2023 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hawk »

stuffradio wrote: Sun Sep 24, 2023 8:02 am Maybe I should start saying I live in the Similkameeens!
I do live in Langley right now though
Highly recommend a winter vacation there..5 to 7 days would be good. Its close. Hopefully you catch some true winter weather while there :thumbup:
Looking forward to our first 3 day stretch of sun and 20c++ 8-)
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Re: September 2023 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

00z GFS ensembles:
ens_image - 2023-09-24.png
00z ECMWF ensembles:
ens_image - 2023-09-24T.png
00z GEM ensembles:
ens_image - 2023-09-24T1.png



---------------------------------------
20230924182122-6ee06241550706aecb490af577ea9f1f9b16e4d6.png
20230924182133-556e451278c8f5d3713db096c451abea350c27a6.png
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:typing: :type3:
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Re: September 2023 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

Precip through Tuesday evening:
ecmwf-deterministic-vancouverski-total_precip_mm-5772800.png
gfs-deterministic-vancouverski-total_precip_mm-5772800.png
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It's called clown range for a reason.
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Re: September 2023 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Coquitlam79 »

This rainy period over the next few days is welcomed and desperately needed but its a blip and not an overall pattern shift. Ridge looks to rebuild and October patterns tend to get stuck for weeks.
GZ_D5_PN_240_0000-2.gif
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Re: September 2023 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Coquitlam79 wrote: Sun Sep 24, 2023 12:43 pm This rainy period over the next few days is welcomed and desperately needed but its a blip and not an overall pattern shift. Ridge looks to rebuild and October patterns tend to get stuck for weeks.
GZ_D5_PN_240_0000-2.gif
October 2013 repeat!
:typing: :type3:
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Re: September 2023 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

Rubus_Leucodermis wrote: Sun Sep 24, 2023 8:12 am 20 in 125 years, on average about one every 6 years. I’m sure there’s a lot more in the 20–24 cm range, so maybe one 20+ cm snowfall every two or three years?

Like I said earlier, we have done very well to get three major snowfalls in the past two winters.
The past two winters have been very good. Both featured genuine arctic blasts with the cold dropping straight from the north. Similar to what was much more common in the 50’s and 60’s. :clap: :thumbup:
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Re: September 2023 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by John »

AbbyJr wrote: Sun Sep 24, 2023 2:41 pm The past two winters have been very good. Both featured genuine arctic blasts with the cold dropping straight from the north. Similar to what was much more common in the 50’s and 60’s. :clap: :thumbup:
Yes they saw both saw coldest temperatures in 30 years!
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Re: September 2023 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by John »

Coquitlam79 wrote: Sun Sep 24, 2023 12:43 pm This rainy period over the next few days is welcomed and desperately needed but its a blip and not an overall pattern shift. Ridge looks to rebuild and October patterns tend to get stuck for weeks.
GZ_D5_PN_240_0000-2.gif
I like it
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Re: September 2023 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

Weather101 wrote: Sun Sep 24, 2023 8:32 am:think:
Thank goodness rivers are rock bottom at present in the central valley Sumas lake is not expected to form. :o :D
Current conditions in Harrison Hot Springs:
https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/ ... wx_pwsdash
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Re: September 2023 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

:alert:

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT

3:51 PM PDT Sunday 24 September 2023

Strong winds that may cause damage and power outages are expected.

Where: Metro Vancouver.

When: Monday morning to Monday night.

Weather Hazard: This is the first wind storm of this autumn with full foliage. The heavy tree branches are more prone to break in strong winds and it may lead to more damage and power outage than subsequent wind storms of similar wind speeds later in the season.

Remarks: A strong Pacific weather system will bring strong winds and rain starting this evening. Strong southeast winds at 30 km/h gusting to 50 will develop early Monday morning and continue though Tuesday. For Metro Vancouver regions near the water, strong southeast winds at 50 gusting to 70 km/h are expected from Monday morning to Monday evening.

Loose objects may be tossed by the wind and cause injury or damage. High winds may result in power outages and fallen tree branches.

Please continue to monitor alerts and forecasts issued by Environment Canada. To report severe weather, send an email to BCstorm@ec.gc.ca or tweet reports using #BCStorm.
It's called clown range for a reason.
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Re: September 2023 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

Typeing3 wrote: Sun Sep 24, 2023 1:48 pm October 2013 repeat!
Wasn't 2012 beautiful through thanksgiving Tfall.
Current conditions in Harrison Hot Springs:
https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/ ... wx_pwsdash
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Re: September 2023 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

Rubus_Leucodermis wrote: Sun Sep 24, 2023 12:16 pm Precip through Tuesday evening:

ecmwf-deterministic-vancouverski-total_precip_mm-5772800.png
gfs-deterministic-vancouverski-total_precip_mm-5772800.png
Not bad for the border areas and Fraser valley at least,
I'm still haunted by Nov. 2021. :sick:
Current conditions in Harrison Hot Springs:
https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/ ... wx_pwsdash
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