September 2023 Forecasts and Discussions

[HarrisonSasquatchWx]

The plot thickens…

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Jr. man called it first.

[HarrisonSasquatchWx]

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT

3:51 PM PDT Sunday 24 September 2023

Strong winds that may cause damage and power outages are expected.

Where: Metro Vancouver.

When: Monday morning to Monday night.

Weather Hazard: This is the first wind storm of this autumn with full foliage. The heavy tree branches are more prone to break in strong winds and it may lead to more damage and power outage than subsequent wind storms of similar wind speeds later in the season.

Remarks: A strong Pacific weather system will bring strong winds and rain starting this evening. Strong southeast winds at 30 km/h gusting to 50 will develop early Monday morning and continue though Tuesday. For Metro Vancouver regions near the water, strong southeast winds at 50 gusting to 70 km/h are expected from Monday morning to Monday evening.

Loose objects may be tossed by the wind and cause injury or damage. High winds may result in power outages and fallen tree branches.

Please continue to monitor alerts and forecasts issued by Environment Canada. To report severe weather, send an email to BCstorm@ec.gc.ca or tweet reports using #BCStorm.

And it begins.

[HarrisonSasquatchWx]

Interesting thoughts?
https://www.severe-weather.eu/long-rang ... europe-fa/

[HarrisonSasquatchWx]

This can't be good forum friends.
https://www.theweathernetwork.com/en/ne ... ca-glacier

[HarrisonSasquatchWx]

I see A.I. Canada has a risk of Tshowers for Metro Vancouver and the Fraser valley tomorrow. no one seems to get excited much anymore.
Pouring rain at my work in Abbs down near Sumas.

[stuffradio]

It looks like the weather stations around downtown Langley have received roughly 1" of rain so far.

[Hawk]

It looks like the weather stations around downtown Langley have received roughly 1" of rain so far.

[Typeing3]

Wasn't 2012 beautiful through thanksgiving Tfall.

Yes but 2013 had a wet September followed by a dry October.

[Typeing3]

00z GFS ensembles:

ens_image.png

00z ECMWF ensembles:

ens_image (1).png

00z GEM ensembles:

ens_image (2).png

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[HarrisonSasquatchWx]

It looks like the weather stations around downtown Langley have received roughly 1" of rain so far.

Rip off 4.8mm at the pond in south Sardis.

[stuffradio]

Rip off 4.8mm at the pond in south Sardis.

I actually wonder if wunderground was reporting incorrect numbers? For example when I saw the map overview, it showed roughly 0.8-1" for various weather stations, but now when I clicked on one of those individual stations like here https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/ILANGLEY20, it shows 9.14mm.

[Coquitlam79]

I actually wonder if wunderground was reporting incorrect numbers? For example when I saw the map overview, it showed roughly 0.8-1" for various weather stations, but now when I clicked on one of those individual stations like here https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/ILANGLEY20, it shows 9.14mm.

Ya the rainfall totals have been unimpressive so far. More off than on in terms of the rain. More like intermittent rain At least in the metro Van region. Maybe up the coast and on Vancouver Island the rainfall is heavier.

[Coquitlam79]

Yes but 2013 had a wet September followed by a dry October.

Same with 2018 I believe.

[Coquitlam79]

This can't be good forum friends.
https://www.theweathernetwork.com/en/ne ... ca-glacier

Some of those glacier fed river are already seeing very low flows. I read somewhere that every single Alpine glacier in BC and Alberta (that's not connected to a major ice field) will dissappear in the next 30 years.

[stuffradio]

We have our first drunkle in the 00Z EPSgram... look at this whisker dropping down all the way to -5!

2023092500_054@007_E1_yxx_I_NAEFS@EPSGRAMS_tt@surf@nt@pr@ws@surf_360.png

2023092500_054@007_E1_north@america_I_NAEFS@TEMPERATURE_anomaly@probability@combined@week2_198.png