November 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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wetcoast91
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Re: November 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

Default pattern from end of Oct now going into Dec. Going to have to hope for a back loaded winter now to get some Mountain snow. No SSW expected for Dec.
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Re: November 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hound »

A warm 6.0 right now.
-9 Dewpoint.
34% Humidity. AT least things are drying out.
Got decently windy over night. Still moderately windy now. Nothing great though.
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Re: November 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Storm »

wetcoast91 wrote: ↑Wed Nov 27, 2019 11:02 am Default pattern from end of Oct now going into Dec. Going to have to hope for a back loaded winter now to get some Mountain snow. No SSW expected for Dec.
Careful there. Bold statement to say the least.
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Bear Golden
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Re: November 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Bear Golden »

I've given up on any kind of good skiing in December at this point, what a joke.

I just booked tickets to go visit my parents in California for 2+ weeks instead of the original plan of going up to whistler.

No point in skiing in depressing conditions
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Re: November 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hawk »

Storm wrote: ↑Wed Nov 27, 2019 11:04 am Careful there. Bold statement to say the least.
Lol. Yes..easy Nito. You're up 3-1, but the game isn't over yet. Winter doesn't even start until Dec 21, or Dec 1, depending on who you ask :whack:
:lol:
Looking forward to our first 3 day stretch of sun and 20c++ 8-)
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Re: November 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hawk »

Bear Golden wrote: ↑Wed Nov 27, 2019 11:07 am I've given up on any kind of good skiing in December at this point, what a joke.

I just booked tickets to go visit my parents in California for 2+ weeks instead of the original plan of going up to whistler.

No point in skiing in depressing conditions
Take your skis to Cali? :think:
Looking forward to our first 3 day stretch of sun and 20c++ 8-)
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Re: November 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

wetcoast91 wrote: ↑Wed Nov 27, 2019 11:02 am Default pattern from end of Oct now going into Dec. Going to have to hope for a back loaded winter now to get some Mountain snow. No SSW expected for Dec.
:lol: :lol:
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Re: November 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

Comparing last nights Euro run to todays:

Euro 00Z:
ecmwf-deterministic-namer-z500_anom-5676800 (1).png
Euro 12Z:
ecmwf-deterministic-namer-z500_anom-5676800.png
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Re: November 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

AbbyJr wrote: ↑Wed Nov 27, 2019 11:24 am Comparing last nights Euro run to todays:

Euro 00Z:

ecmwf-deterministic-namer-z500_anom-5676800 (1).png

Euro 12Z:

ecmwf-deterministic-namer-z500_anom-5676800.png
Not AS splitty.

:mrgreen:
*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

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Re: November 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

wetcoast91 wrote: ↑Wed Nov 27, 2019 11:02 am Default pattern from end of Oct now going into Dec. Going to have to hope for a back loaded winter now to get some Mountain snow. No SSW expected for Dec.
I'm still bullish on January delivering. The curse can't go on for much longer....or can it? :think:
:typing: :type3:
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Re: November 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

Seems like the trend in models since October has been to overdue precip in the mid and long term and then back off and revert to split flow. We need a pattern reset. Something to neutralize the background state, so to speak. The SSW event would have been nice, but it looks non existent now. Anyway, way too early to write anything off. I still like the end of December and early January. At some point climatology has to win out and we get into an active wet pattern, which will then set us up for something decent.
Spring/Summer :sick: Fall/Winter :thumbup:

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Re: November 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Canada Goose »

Typeing3 wrote: ↑Wed Nov 27, 2019 11:27 am I'm still bullish on January delivering. The curse can't go on for much longer....or can it? :think:
It can...
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Re: November 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

Catnip wrote: ↑Wed Nov 27, 2019 11:26 am Not AS splitty.

:mrgreen:
Definitely more potential on that run but I'm not inclined to believe any solution in the mid-long range at this point.
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Re: November 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

Canada Goose wrote: ↑Wed Nov 27, 2019 11:30 am It can...
1968/1969 :D :clap: 8-) :snowman: :snowman:
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Re: November 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

12Z GEM similar to 12Z Euro:
gem-all-namer-z500_anom-5676800.png
ecmwf-deterministic-namer-z500_anom-5676800.png
You do not have the required permissions to view the files attached to this post.
Central Abbotsford
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2022/23 season snowfall: 76.8cm

:team: :snowwindow: :snowman:
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