October 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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Re: October 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by stuffradio »

Monty wrote: Fri Oct 27, 2023 10:35 am It’s early but feels like any really wet periods in the models have been shortened and bookended by ridging so far this season. Feels a bit 2002-2003ish at this point me.
I've seen references to November 2018 and 2019 today on Twitter for next month followed by a warm December. I assume that's warm east and cool west for December.
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Re: October 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

Low of -1.6°C IMBY this morning. Now 5.9°C.
It's called clown range for a reason.
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Re: October 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Catnip »

12Z GFS has the bulk of the :dancepine: :dancepine: a bit too far South next week, sorry Neetz.

Of course we all know that can and will change.
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*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

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Re: October 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Catnip »

Overnight low of -1.3c.

First negative overnight low of the season.

Yay?

:mrgreen:
*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

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Re: October 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Catnip »

Euro is a bit more Nito Friendly.

:dancepine:
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*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

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#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

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Re: October 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

The CFS says the :chilly: slides :arrow: :bang:

cfs-daily-all-c00-namer-z500_anom_7day-0870400.png
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Re: October 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Catnip »

AbbyJr wrote: Fri Oct 27, 2023 12:52 pm The CFS says the :chilly: slides :arrow: :bang:


cfs-daily-all-c00-namer-z500_anom_7day-0870400.png
Don't worry Jr.

If you like to follow the CFS (for sh*ts and giggles of course) then the latest run says we will have a below normal Dec.

:lol: :mrgreen:
500.png
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#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2022-2023 Snowfall - 114.5cm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
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Re: October 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

Catnip wrote: Fri Oct 27, 2023 12:42 pm Overnight low of -1.3c.

First negative overnight low of the season.

Yay?

:mrgreen:
-1.6°C, my second. Tonight and tomorrow night will probably make four for the month. Would not then be surprised to then only get one or two freezes for all of November. It would be the perfect complement for a warm season that saw only one high above 32°C (90°F)… and that happened in May.
It's called clown range for a reason.
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Re: October 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

Catnip wrote: Fri Oct 27, 2023 12:55 pm Don't worry Jr.

If you like to follow the CFS (for sh*ts and giggles of course) then the latest run says we will have a below normal Dec.

:lol: :mrgreen:

500.png
temp.png
Yeah I wasn't posting the CFS because I actually believed it. My post was just for entertainment. I still think we could see some cold and snow in December. :thumbup: :flakey:
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Re: October 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Catnip »

AbbyJr wrote: Fri Oct 27, 2023 1:13 pm Yeah I wasn't posting the CFS because I actually believed it. My post was just for entertainment. I still think we could see some cold and snow in December. :thumbup: :flakey:
Oh ya... I got that.. don't worry.

:mrgreen: :thumbup:
*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2022-2023 Snowfall - 114.5cm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
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Re: October 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

Looking like a very wet pattern around the beginning of November. :clap: :thumbup:

ecmwf-ensemble-CYXX-indiv_qpf-8408000.png
cmc-ensemble-all-CYXX-indiv_qpf-8408000.png
gfs-ensemble-all-CYXX-indiv_qpf-8408000.png
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Central Abbotsford
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2022/23 season snowfall: 76.8cm

:team: :snowwindow: :snowman:
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Re: October 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by tyweather »

GOES satellite from 10 AM this morning. Snowy peaks (including Similkameen Plateau) and NE BC is visible.
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Why not try cycling to work, grocery store, anywhere!
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Re: October 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

Catnip wrote: Fri Oct 27, 2023 12:41 pm 12Z GFS has the bulk of the :dancepine: :dancepine: a bit too far South next week, sorry Neetz.

Of course we all know that can and will change.

pines.png
Still looks warm though!

:dancepine: :dancepine: :dancepine: :dancepine:
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Re: October 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

We reached a high of 10c today @ the pond in south Sardis and it's currently 3c under clear skies and light winds.
Last edited by SouthSardiswx on Sat Oct 28, 2023 12:10 am, edited 1 time in total.
It's the 7th annual 2 old retired geezer's inaccurate snowfall contest
:gramps: Wrinkle Rockers: 0cm
:hockey: South Sardinies: 0cm
CYCW station
https://cycw.awos.live/local-weather
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Re: October 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

Finally it's 0.0c @ the pond in south Sardis :thumbup: took long enough.
It fairly dry in the central valley so nothing in the way of frost. :x :(
Edit: -1.6c is the low so far this morning with actual frost on some vehicles. :D
Last edited by SouthSardiswx on Sat Oct 28, 2023 7:32 am, edited 1 time in total.
It's the 7th annual 2 old retired geezer's inaccurate snowfall contest
:gramps: Wrinkle Rockers: 0cm
:hockey: South Sardinies: 0cm
CYCW station
https://cycw.awos.live/local-weather
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