November 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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Nordelian
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Re: November 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Nordelian »

Based on teleconnections, 2009-10 continues to be the best analog for this winter
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Weather101
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Re: November 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Weather101 »

Hawk wrote: ↑Thu Nov 02, 2023 5:48 am Very rainy in Langley overnight and still coming down quite heavy :o
Crazy right? Heavy rain in November :shock:
All about them Cowboys !!! 🤠 🤠
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SouthSardiswx
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Re: November 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

Weather101 wrote: ↑Thu Nov 02, 2023 8:06 am Crazy right? Heavy rain in November :shock:
:lol: Must be from the Shizmilkameenzz never rains there like this.
Join us next season for the 7th annual 2 retired geezer's inaccurate snowfall contest

:snowatt:
:gramps: Wrinkle Rockers: :sick:
:hockey: South Sardines: :trophy:
CYCW station
https://cycw.awos.live/local-weather
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SouthSardiswx
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Re: November 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

Nordelian wrote: ↑Thu Nov 02, 2023 7:46 am Based on teleconnections, 2009-10 continues to be the best analog for this winter
Oh man Nords the Olympic winter that was absolutely horrible ski hills as well.
Join us next season for the 7th annual 2 retired geezer's inaccurate snowfall contest

:snowatt:
:gramps: Wrinkle Rockers: :sick:
:hockey: South Sardines: :trophy:
CYCW station
https://cycw.awos.live/local-weather
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Re: November 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

Going to be awhile before we see any Mountain snows or any meaningful cold build up in the arctic. Don't see it for the next 2-3 weeks.

Coast to Coast torch! :dancepine:

Image
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Re: November 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by stuffradio »

wetcoast91 wrote: ↑Thu Nov 02, 2023 11:10 am Going to be awhile before we see any Mountain snows or any meaningful cold build up in the arctic. Don't see it for the next 2-3 weeks.

Coast to Coast torch! :dancepine:

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A lot can change in 384 hours :)
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wetcoast91
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Re: November 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

stuffradio wrote: ↑Thu Nov 02, 2023 11:26 am A lot can change in 384 hours :)
It's not a bad outlook in terms of comfort. Mild with wet and dry periods. Could do worse this time of year! :thumbup:
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stuffradio
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Re: November 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by stuffradio »

wetcoast91 wrote: ↑Thu Nov 02, 2023 11:41 am It's not a bad outlook in terms of comfort. Mild with wet and dry periods. Could do worse this time of year! :thumbup:
We all want cold rain instead :)
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Hawk
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Re: November 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Hawk »

Typeing3 wrote: ↑Thu Nov 02, 2023 6:30 am 00z GFS ensembles:
ens_image (3).png
00z ECMWF ensembles:
ens_image (4).png
00z GEM ensembles:
ens_image (5).png




-----------------------------------
20231102132956-af56991aa003bf250c3e7575b3b370a27cb119c3.png
20231102132932-2f080676ca7cf4c1ac44c9c7c8fdf60d4fe8713c.png
Euro looks seasonal from Nov 9-17. Seasonal is quite chilly for mid November actually :clap: :clap:
June has arrived..and so has Summer! Yesssss :clap: :clap:
Willoughby Langley at ~320ft / Similkameeeens ~3400ft
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AbbyJr
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Re: November 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

:alert: Sudden Stratospheric Warming event in early December? :alert:

https://x.com/WorldClimateSvc/status/17 ... 42046?s=20
Central Abbotsford
50m (164ft)

2022/23 season snowfall: 76.8cm

:team: :snowwindow: :snowman:
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Re: November 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Catnip »

wetcoast91 wrote: ↑Thu Nov 02, 2023 11:10 am Going to be awhile before we see any Mountain snows or any meaningful cold build up in the arctic. Don't see it for the next 2-3 weeks.

Coast to Coast torch! :dancepine:

Ya... the EPS/weeklies have a pretty torchy look to them as well.
*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2022-2023 Snowfall - 114.5cm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
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Re: November 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Catnip »

Tell em Neetz.
1.png
2.png
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*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2022-2023 Snowfall - 114.5cm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
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stuffradio
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Re: November 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by stuffradio »

The 12Z EPSGram has some whiskers that want to tell El Nito he's wrong about the torch!
2023110212_054@007_E1_yxx_I_NAEFS@EPSGRAMS_tt@surf@nt@pr@ws@surf_360.png
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VanCitySouth
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Re: November 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by VanCitySouth »

16 at the airport. Getting close to Nito's legendary +18!
2023-24 season stats:
Climo :cancel: 81 to 44 :14clown: GFS

Season total: 39.0 cm + 3 traces
Peak depth: 28.0 cm (Jan 17)
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Re: November 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Catnip »

VanCitySouth wrote: ↑Thu Nov 02, 2023 3:47 pm 16 at the airport. Getting close to Nito's legendary +18!
:blowtor: :blowtor: :blowtor:
4FFC02F1-9F01-49E0-A58B-A3C82142C87A.jpeg
You do not have the required permissions to view the files attached to this post.
*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2022-2023 Snowfall - 114.5cm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
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