November 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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Catnip
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Re: November 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Catnip »

High of 15.8c for today imby.

:dancepine: :blowtor:
*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

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#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2025-2026 Snowfall - ZERO.OOcm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
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Re: November 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Abby_wx »

33.5 mm storm total near the top of the hill in Mission.
:dragon:

Fall/Winter 2025/26
Low min: -5.0C (Feb 20th)
Low max: 2.8C (Feb 19th)
Snowfall: 3 cm
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Re: November 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Catnip »

31.5mm of rain imby.

:raindrip:
*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2025-2026 Snowfall - ZERO.OOcm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
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Re: November 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Next 15-16 days total precip on the ensembles


12z GEFS (GFS ensembles)
gfs-ens_apcpn_wus_64.png


12z EPS (ECMWF ensembles)
eps_apcpn_wus_60.png


12z GEPS (GEM ensembles)
gem-ens_apcpn_wus_64.png
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Re: November 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

Abby_wx wrote: Thu Nov 02, 2023 4:29 pm 33.5 mm storm total near the top of the hill in Mission.
Nice you've re located Abby Sr. you will notice a huge up tick in precip as well as rogue snow events that Abbs doesn't get as well as higher snow totals.
Are you going to make your station available here? how far up the hill are you we were near Cedar and Badger elevation 340 feet. We reached an El Neetzo 16c today along with an outstanding 36mm since midnight @ the pond in south Sardis. :o
Current conditions in Harrison Hot Springs:
https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/ ... wx_pwsdash
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Re: November 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Abby_wx »

SouthSardiswx wrote: Thu Nov 02, 2023 7:51 pm Nice you've re located Abby Sr. you will notice a huge up tick in precip as well as rogue snow events that Abbs doesn't get as well as higher snow totals.
Are you going to make your station available here? how far up the hill are you we were near Cedar and Badger elevation 340 feet. We reached an El Neetzo 16c today along with an outstanding 36mm since midnight @ the pond in south Sardis. :o
I'm at 515 feet just east of Cade Barr and south of Cherry.

I haven't noticed much difference so far, at least comparing to YXX. Hopefully it will be noticeable during orographic events.
:dragon:

Fall/Winter 2025/26
Low min: -5.0C (Feb 20th)
Low max: 2.8C (Feb 19th)
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Re: November 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

Abby_wx wrote: Thu Nov 02, 2023 8:44 pm I'm at 515 feet just east of Cade Barr and south of Cherry.

I haven't noticed much difference so far, at least comparing to YXX. Hopefully it will be noticeable during orographic events.
Wow, nice lift Abbs Sr. ya many times 5cm down at my old place and 10cm in your area.
I always found with NE outflow as you got down the hill and of course cross the Abbs/Mission bridge the stronger the outflow.
Yes this rain event was more of a SW to NE the central valley did well hoping you'll score this winter it'll be a shame to have to wait until next year or the year after. :sick:
Current conditions in Harrison Hot Springs:
https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/ ... wx_pwsdash
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Re: November 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

Typeing3 wrote: Thu Nov 02, 2023 5:35 pm Next 15-16 days total precip on the ensembles


12z GEFS (GFS ensembles)
gfs-ens_apcpn_wus_64.png



12z EPS (ECMWF ensembles)
eps_apcpn_wus_60.png


12z GEPS (GEM ensembles)
gem-ens_apcpn_wus_64.png
Noticed the trends showing a rather persistent split flow in the long range. El Nino conditions have arrived early!
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Re: November 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

Abby_wx wrote: Thu Nov 02, 2023 4:29 pm 33.5 mm storm total near the top of the hill in Mission.
44.9 mm storm total here. 39.1 mm today. Interesting to see that I recorded slightly higher totals being south of the Fraser. :think: :clap:
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2022/23 season snowfall: 76.8cm

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Re: November 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

AbbyJr wrote: Thu Nov 02, 2023 9:31 pm 44.9 mm storm total here. 39.1 mm today. Interesting to see that I recorded slightly higher totals being south of the Fraser. :think: :clap:
You did well Jr. man well your our man in Abbs now with your neighbor in Mission but it's nice to have coverage there. :clap: :thumbup: There hasn't been much since l moved. :D
Current conditions in Harrison Hot Springs:
https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/ ... wx_pwsdash
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Re: November 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Hawk »

vehicle said 17c around 5pm yesterday :shock: and :dance:
It felt nice out for early November..quite bommy
Looking forward to our first 3 day stretch of sun and 20c++ 8-)
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Re: November 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

00z GFS ensembles:
ens_image.png
00z ECMWF ensembles:
ens_image (1).png
00z GEM ensembles:
ens_image (2).png



------------------------------------------
20231103133514-ede69400d98424565be141ff5fdb8338cce286b6.png
20231103133501-500a31aec4e41e0d257028850ee9d5ff0c258a98.png
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Re: November 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Catnip »

The latest weeklies with an early look (which will most likely change) at Dec.

height1.png
height2.png
temp1.png
temp2.png
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*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2025-2026 Snowfall - ZERO.OOcm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
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Re: November 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

Could see temps in the high teens tomorrow with strong southerly winds . Lots of convective potential tomorrow afternoon could lead to cell development.

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Re: November 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Hawk »

Typeing3 wrote: Fri Nov 03, 2023 6:37 am 00z GFS ensembles:
ens_image.png
00z ECMWF ensembles:
ens_image (1).png
00z GEM ensembles:
ens_image (2).png




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20231103133514-ede69400d98424565be141ff5fdb8338cce286b6.png
20231103133501-500a31aec4e41e0d257028850ee9d5ff0c258a98.png
King EURO :think:
Looking forward to our first 3 day stretch of sun and 20c++ 8-)
Willoughby Langley at ~320ft / Similkameeeens ~3400ft
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