November 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

[John]

8 sub zero low temperatures this November quite impressive!

[wetcoast91]

Euro is a little more promising than the short-term models for some lowland wet snow:

ecmwf-deterministic-vancouverski-snow_24hr_kuchera_cm-1453600.png

Temperature and dew point at 06Z tonight:

ecmwf-deterministic-vancouverski-t2m_c-1410400.png
ecmwf-deterministic-vancouverski-dew2m_c-1410400.png

925 mbar temperature:

ecmwf-deterministic-vancouverski-t925-1410400.png

So maybe, briefly, if the stars align just right and precip rates are heavy enough. But probably a Burnaby Mountain / Westwood Plateau special.

Lots of uncertainty that comes with the intensity of the precip. Not a whole lot of cold aloft but there will be a rather weak offshore flow push with this weak system. Evaporative cooling at all layers needs heavier precip. Some runs show a very weak system, with light stratiform precipitation. Others have heavier precip being aided by low level wind shear.

[tyweather]

Yay, the ARs have been downgraded and the GFS shows snow next weekend?

[Catnip]

8 sub zero low temperatures this November quite impressive!

It has certainly been a nice stretch of weather recently, imo.

Those stuck in fog may have a different opinion.

[wetcoast91]

Yay, the ARs have been downgraded and the GFS shows snow next weekend?

Skeptical of the pattern evolution. Doubt that much low level cold makes its way south but it was a way better run for the local Mountains.

The GEM is just the complete opposite. Full AR from Sunday through Thursday.

[Catnip]

Skeptical of the pattern evolution. Doubt that much low level cold makes its way south but it was a way better run for the local Mountains.

The GEM is just the complete opposite. Full AR from Sunday through Thursday.

I believe the GEM often overdoes things in these setups?

[wetcoast91]

I believe the GEM often overdoes things in these setups?

[Catnip]

No doubt the power of the will be in full force for the next little while.

Team wins this round.

Team will look to make a comeback later in December.

[Hawk]

Low snow levels on the local Mtns this am

[PortKells]

I had some sort of hail/graupel this morning.

[Catnip]

Low snow levels on the local Mtns this am

Not for long Buttee... right Neetz?

[Catnip]

GEM looks to drop a very cold system down from the north in range.

Gem.png

[Catnip]

GEFS Days 10-15

Need some notches

index-h.png

index-t.png

[stuffradio]

Untitled.jpg

[Catnip]

GEM enembles day 10-15

gem 10-15h.png

Gem 10-15t.png