January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

[stuffradio]

I'm surprised Weatherpro hasn't hopped onto this arctic howling train yet.

[wetcoast91]

There's ALWAYS time for this to bust. It's the Pacific Northwest.

2009/2010 ring any bells?

I think T3 likes Jan 2011 the best. From a mutli week arctic blast to a quick snowfall and +12C and sunny the next day. Models flipped within 48 hours.

[HarrisonSasquatchWx]

I'm surprised Weatherpro hasn't hopped onto this arctic howling train yet.

He might be waiting for afew more blizzard maps to pull the blizzard alarm.

[HarrisonSasquatchWx]

John!

[Canada Goose]

SWBC torched less badly than most of Canada last month.

Yes and no. We must take into account the standard deviation which is much higher anywhere else than here.

From Tyler Hamilton’s X account.

It's from Patrick Duplessis.

[AbbyJr]

But Russ lactate said absolutely no chance of artic air next week to the coast

When you make a bold statement such as "no chance" then you are risking being wrong. He obviously knows that and to be honest, I agreed with him based on what the models were showing. But surprisingly, the models have done a complete shift to a much colder scenario in the past few runs. But this is not a lock yet either. Still lots of time for it to collapse but for now we can love the trends and hope it verifies.

[AbbyJr]

Neetz, can you translate this:

“ MJO slowing over IPWP in perfect destructive interference w/ LP —> -EAMT —> massive RWB series across the NH all projecting onto NAM”

Put it on a cue card and repeat it the next time someone asks you for the weather forecast.

[Catnip]

12Z Euro actually looks a bit better by HR 72.

Timing could be sped up a bit?

[Catnip]

Yeah, a bit cooler for Sat AM.

12Z

12z sat am.png

00Z

00z sat am.png

Slightly warmer on Sunday AM compared to the 00Z though.

[John]

Yeah, a bit cooler for Sat AM.

12Z
12z sat am.png

00Z
00z sat am.png

Slightly warmer on Sunday AM compared to the 00Z though.

Not seeing it on tidbits

[wetcoast91]

Early look at the Euro....

Uh oh..

[stuffradio]

Early look at the Euro....

Uh oh..

I knew it, forks and knives out!

Here comes the cold!!

ecmwf-deterministic-namer-t2m_c_anom-4909600.png

[Catnip]

Looks good to me?

174.png

[Storm]

ec-fast_T850_nwus_9-1.png

[AbbyJr]

Looks good to me?

174.png

Doesn't look much different than the 00Z so far.