January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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Catnip
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Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

Bonovox wrote: Wed Jan 03, 2024 11:48 am With that much cold air pouring out over the ocean, you are bound to get cyclogenesis and some form of surface low forming. Those details will sort themselves out. Get the cold air in first.
This.
*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2025-2026 Snowfall - ZERO.OOcm

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Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Weather101 »

Catnip wrote: Wed Jan 03, 2024 9:46 am He may be regretting his Winter Cancel call right now.

:think:
I guess it depends how you look at it. Our expectations are way lower due to our climate.

Give me a week of cold and snow and I'm happy. You say that anywhere else and they would look at you weird :lol:
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Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Weather101 »

Rubus_Leucodermis wrote: Wed Jan 03, 2024 10:47 am I have read a few scientific papers on meteorology, and they are less acronym and jargon-ridden than this undergrad student’s posts. Asked him once or twice years ago to define his acronyms and (crickets).

He’s clearly posting to show off, not to educate.

And his forecasts have crap accuracy.

Cliff Mass with no degree and even less honesty and more personal flaws. He’s earned a spot on my block list.
100 percent. He posts to try to be the big guy in the room who's the smartest, Problem is everyone sees through his game. He can use his lingo all he wants it's just sad at this point.

I remember a few years back, he had a huge meltdown on the forum.
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Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Weather101 »

stuffradio wrote: Wed Jan 03, 2024 11:43 am ECMWF is taking a drink of the crazy kool-aid.

ecmwf-deterministic-CYXX-daily_tmin_tmax-4283200.png
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Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Weather101 »

Rubus_Leucodermis wrote: Wed Jan 03, 2024 11:28 am :14clown: 12Z really juices up the arctic front. This all happens as the front sweeps in and drops temperatures below freezing. All snow down to sea level.

ecmwf-deterministic-vancouverski-snow_24hr_kuchera_cm-5060800.png
This is nice
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Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by VanCitySouth »

Rubus_Leucodermis wrote: Wed Jan 03, 2024 11:28 am :14clown: 12Z really juices up the arctic front. This all happens as the front sweeps in and drops temperatures below freezing. All snow down to sea level.

ecmwf-deterministic-vancouverski-snow_24hr_kuchera_cm-5060800.png
The Seattle donut hole pleases me
2025-26 season stats:
Climo :cancel: ∞ to 0.5 :14clown: GFS

Season total: 0.5 cm and TWO traces!
Peak depth: 0.5 cm (01/07/2026)
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Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Weather101 »

Komo"

Another dumping of mountain snow comes on Tuesday from a strong storm that paves the way for that cold air to find its way into Puget Sound.
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Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hound »

VanCitySouth wrote: Tue Jan 02, 2024 9:11 pm Okay, which one of you made this account?
Account seems legit.
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Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by stuffradio »

The ensemble is more "realistic". Min temp drops to -5C at the most for Abbotsford.
ecmwf-ensemble-CYXX-daily_tmin_tmax-4283200.png
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Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

Weather101 wrote: Wed Jan 03, 2024 11:58 am 100 percent. He posts to try to be the big guy in the room who's the smartest, Problem is everyone sees through his game. He can use his lingo all he wants it's just sad at this point.

I remember a few years back, he had a huge meltdown on the forum.
What gets me is he doesn't even live in the region.

:shrug:
*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2025-2026 Snowfall - ZERO.OOcm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
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Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Weather101 »

I got accepted on the AF forum :?

Username " minion"

I'll play it nice for today :think:
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Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Weather101 »

Catnip wrote: Wed Jan 03, 2024 12:06 pm What gets me is he doesn't even live in the region.

:shrug:
Attention seeking 101.
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Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hound »

wetcoast91 wrote: Wed Jan 03, 2024 8:49 am I just want the mosquitoes to go back into hibernation again :thumbup:

More like kill them!
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Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

:14clown: Control members go insane with the snow totals.
ecmwf-ensemble-CYVR-indiv_snow-4283200.png
gfs-ensemble-all-CYVR-indiv_snow-4283200.png
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It's called clown range for a reason.
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Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Monty »

Pretty big shift to cold in the eps. About 50% of the members show arctic air.
North end of Shawnigan Lake. Southern Vancouver island. 500ft
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