January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

[Weather101]

Certainly the all or nothing type crowd down there.

Lol I give it a week till they ban me for being " realistic " with my expectations

[Catnip]

Nice improvement on the GFS ensembles @12z.

[AbbyJr]

The GEM has a warm bias too. I'm pretty encouraged by this. The GFS is waffling, more news at 6. The Euro would be nice to have on board today but there's still time.

I wouldn't put much stock in what the GFS says unless the Euro continues to trend towards it in the next few days.

[Rubus_Leucodermis]

Nice improvement on the GFS ensembles @12z.

Both the mean and the operational 850’s reach -8˚C or colder in about a week.

[Monty]

I haven’t told any of my friends anything yet, except to be skeptical of any snowflakes on smartphone apps, since forecasting that far out has lousy accuracy.

I hope you used your favourite saying at least. “Clown range”

[Typeing3]

When was the last truly historic blast anyways? 1969?

the 2020's have been absolutely impressive when you consider the ****ed climate. I'm not going to complain if something isn't historic. Getting winter in general is good enough for me.

Possibly December 1990. If not, then February 1989, or November 1985 for sure.

[Storm]

Toss the Op. out.

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[Monty]

When was the last truly historic blast anyways? 1969?

the 2020's have been absolutely impressive when you consider the ****ed climate. I'm not going to complain if something isn't historic. Getting winter in general is good enough for me.

Probably depends on your definition of “Historic”

[Monty]

Possibly December 1990. If not, then February 1989, or November 1985 for sure.

100% agree with November 1985 no matter what metric you want to use.

[Storm]

Haven't seen Monty's favorite model post recently.

[Bonovox]

There’s an AI model based on the Euro called the Graphcast that is supposed to be really good. I don’t have access to it though.

[Catnip]

GEM ensembles @ Thursday am

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[Storm]

There’s an AI model based on the Euro called the Graphcast that is supposed to be really good. I don’t have access to it though.

Snow Wizard post it a couple of times

[Catnip]

Gem ensembles @ Monday (Jan 15) am

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[Catnip]

And going waaaay out there...

GEM ensembles for Jan 19

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