January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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Storm
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Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Storm »

gfs-ens_T850a_namer_fh156_trend.gif
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Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

wetcoast91 wrote: Thu Jan 04, 2024 3:04 pm I should really stop cancelling winter in November....

Who am I kidding? Winter 2024-25 will be an epic torchfest :dancepine:
Your mountain assessment back then was spot on with lack of snow.
Even if next week verifies over all this winter will turn out mild afew day's of below temps
won't bring the average this winter down a whole lot.
Current conditions in Harrison Hot Springs:
https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/ ... wx_pwsdash
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Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

Monday morning snow is back on the table too.
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Spring/Summer :sick: Fall/Winter :thumbup:

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Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

Storm wrote: Thu Jan 04, 2024 3:07 pm gfs-ens_T850a_namer_fh156_trend.gif
Utterly insane.
Current conditions in Harrison Hot Springs:
https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/ ... wx_pwsdash
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Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Storm »

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Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

VanCitySouth wrote: Thu Jan 04, 2024 3:06 pm So you're gonna cancel winter 10 months ahead instead of 1 month ahead?
The American Forums pretty much cancelled winter until the 2030s thanks to Phil's multi-year El Nino prediction last fall.
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Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by VanCitySouth »

Storm wrote: Thu Jan 04, 2024 3:07 pm gfs-ens_T850a_namer_fh156_trend.gif
Hey mods, we need a left arrow emoji

Nito's right arrow is collecting dust from disuse LOL
2025-26 season stats:
Climo :cancel: ∞ to 0.5 :14clown: GFS

Season total: 0.5 cm and TWO traces!
Peak depth: 0.5 cm (01/07/2026)
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Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

Slyts you'll have to measure for our area l'm in Abbs next week probably during the event. :wtf: :o :D
Current conditions in Harrison Hot Springs:
https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/ ... wx_pwsdash
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Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

Run to run change on the GEFS. Day 7.
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Spring/Summer :sick: Fall/Winter :thumbup:

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Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

Bonovox wrote: Thu Jan 04, 2024 3:13 pm Run to run change on the GEFS. Day 7.
That Kona low is turning to a GOA vortex. :eh:
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Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by LadnerWeather »

LadnerWeather wrote: Thu Jan 04, 2024 2:59 pm 18z ensembles already looking colder than the OP by Wednesday night :think:
And then it quickly becomes a cold outlier shortly after :problem:
Currently located in Tsawwassen, beside Tsawwassen Mills
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Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

GFS is still trying to find it's way.
chart(3).jpeg
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*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2025-2026 Snowfall - ZERO.OOcm

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Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

Catnip wrote: Thu Jan 04, 2024 3:20 pm GFS is still trying to find it's way.

chart(3).jpeg
Yeah, looked good there for a moment. Still room for some ensemble improvement.
Spring/Summer :sick: Fall/Winter :thumbup:

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Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

John! stock up this week. :wave:
Current conditions in Harrison Hot Springs:
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Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by VanCitySouth »

wetcoast91 wrote: Thu Jan 04, 2024 3:14 pm That Kona low is turning to a GOA vortex. :eh:
Image
2025-26 season stats:
Climo :cancel: ∞ to 0.5 :14clown: GFS

Season total: 0.5 cm and TWO traces!
Peak depth: 0.5 cm (01/07/2026)
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