January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Forrest Gump »

Some pics from Bkackie Spit Park,walk there often. Was a little baffled as to why the ice on the estuary was good for a couple hundred meters from the pump station and then suddenly ended.
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Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Slytyguy »

I wonder if Graham is gonna be ok? Lol
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Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Leighbugs »

Slytyguy wrote: ↑Tue Jan 16, 2024 12:09 am I wonder if Graham is gonna be ok? Lol
I have....concerns. LOL :lol:
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Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hawk »

ClaytonWx wrote: ↑Mon Jan 15, 2024 11:02 pm I love that westernmost long ditch there. on Saturday no one had crossed the path to skate back there yet. we were the first but we didn't go too far back there because of all the cracking. It was unnerving but all ice cracks with the first weight on it.
:shock:
How thick was the ice?
Looking forward to our first 3 day stretch of sun and 20c++ 8-)
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Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by LadnerWeather »

Snowfall warning issued :alert:
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Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Storm »

Just open the first page by mistake, and look what I found. Clown range or not, the models are much better than most people believe.
[attachment=0]Screenshot_20240116_055510_Samsung Internet.jpg[/attachmeént]
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Last edited by Storm on Tue Jan 16, 2024 6:35 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Storm »

5 overnight, 10 - 15 Wednesday.
Screenshot_20240116_055226_WeatherCAN.jpg
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Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

Almost seems unnecessary but..
ecmwf-deterministic-vancouverski-total_snow_10to1_cm-5550400.png
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Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Storm »

PortKells wrote: ↑Tue Jan 16, 2024 6:04 am Almost seems unnecessary but..

ecmwf-deterministic-vancouverski-total_snow_10to1_cm-5550400.png
Slightly better track of the 6z Euro = a bit wetter over the LM. Nam takes exactly the same track.
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Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Mattman »

EC is going with Tyler Hamilton’s “bust” outcome.
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Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hawk »

Mattman wrote: ↑Tue Jan 16, 2024 6:13 am EC is going with Tyler Hamilton’s “bust” outcome.
What does this mean? :think:
Looking forward to our first 3 day stretch of sun and 20c++ 8-)
Willoughby Langley at ~320ft / Similkameeeens ~3400ft
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Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Storm »

Amount increased over the 6z due to the track of the L.
Screenshot_20240116_062111_Samsung Internet.jpg
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Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

12z 3km NAM looks good too.
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Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Mattman »

Hawk wrote: ↑Tue Jan 16, 2024 6:20 am What does this mean? :think:
For Abby, EC only going with 15-20cm total. Both Tyler’s “boom” scenario and the EURO are well north of 20cm for the Central Fraser Valley.
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Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Storm »

The Thursday system looks like a classic overrunning event that we got used to recently.
ref1km_ptype.us_nw.png
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