January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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John
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Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by John »

wetcoast91 wrote: Wed Jan 17, 2024 9:54 pm ̶T̶y̶l̶e̶r̶ WeatherPro is on board.

We just need John to be on board.
He is Tyler isn’t he :D great guy
Last edited by John on Wed Jan 17, 2024 10:03 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

WeatherPro wrote: Wed Jan 17, 2024 9:51 pm :pushpin: SNOWSTORM SCORE! :pushpin:

This was an epic widespread snowstorm for the lower mainland. Most areas saw 18 to 38cm of snow!
This was indeed a great setup for snowfall. I hope everyone is enjoying it!

:alert: It might not be over yet!

Looking at models tomorrow, and current temps and conditions, there is a possibility of another 3 to 8cm of snow Thursday across the LM. Higher elevations and eastern areas will once again do better, but something is giving me a funny feeling about Thursday.

LOOK -->
zoom.png
Thursdays snow potential. Cover the little grey area blue as well for now.


Thursday night could see a bit of freezing rain, hard to really say. More possible in the valley. But could it stay as snow? That is the question. Moving into Friday it will eventually warm up. How much? Unsure. Low level cold is trapped at the surface for sure, and the ground is frozen and now insulated, so the dynamics will be fun to watch.

As we warm a bit over the weekend, hopefully not too much, the only thing I hope for is that the rain forecast busts so that the snow is not melted and washed away so fast.

Things look interesting in the longer range. Winter might not be over quite yet.
:clap: :thumbup: Great call Wpro, hoping for more winter indeed.
Current conditions in Harrison Hot Springs:
https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/ ... wx_pwsdash
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Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

John wrote: Wed Jan 17, 2024 9:58 pm He is Tyler isn’t he great guy
:o He is John. :wtf: :shifty:
Current conditions in Harrison Hot Springs:
https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/ ... wx_pwsdash
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Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Storm »

Neetzzz, your forecast will bust tomorrow. I agree with WeatherPro.
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Last edited by Storm on Wed Jan 17, 2024 10:04 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Feetz of Snow »

WeatherPro wrote: Wed Jan 17, 2024 9:51 pm :pushpin: SNOWSTORM SCORE! :pushpin:

This was an epic widespread snowstorm for the lower mainland. Most areas saw 18 to 38cm of snow!
This was indeed a great setup for snowfall. I hope everyone is enjoying it!

:alert: It might not be over yet!

Looking at models tomorrow, and current temps and conditions, there is a possibility of another 3 to 8cm of snow Thursday across the LM. Higher elevations and eastern areas will once again do better, but something is giving me a funny feeling about Thursday.

LOOK -->
zoom.png
Thursdays snow potential. Cover the little grey area blue as well for now.


Thursday night could see a bit of freezing rain, hard to really say. More possible in the valley. But could it stay as snow? That is the question. Moving into Friday it will eventually warm up. How much? Unsure. Low level cold is trapped at the surface for sure, and the ground is frozen and now insulated, so the dynamics will be fun to watch.

As we warm a bit over the weekend, hopefully not too much, the only thing I hope for is that the rain forecast busts so that the snow is not melted and washed away so fast.

Things look interesting in the longer range. Winter might not be over quite yet.

What is the island going to be like tomorrow, catching ferry heading to duncan in afternoon!
Thanks
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Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by John »

WeatherPro wrote: Wed Jan 17, 2024 9:51 pm :pushpin: SNOWSTORM SCORE! :pushpin:

This was an epic widespread snowstorm for the lower mainland. Most areas saw 18 to 38cm of snow!
This was indeed a great setup for snowfall. I hope everyone is enjoying it!

:alert: It might not be over yet!

Looking at models tomorrow, and current temps and conditions, there is a possibility of another 3 to 8cm of snow Thursday across the LM. Higher elevations and eastern areas will once again do better, but something is giving me a funny feeling about Thursday.

LOOK -->
zoom.png
Thursdays snow potential. Cover the little grey area blue as well for now.


Thursday night could see a bit of freezing rain, hard to really say. More possible in the valley. But could it stay as snow? That is the question. Moving into Friday it will eventually warm up. How much? Unsure. Low level cold is trapped at the surface for sure, and the ground is frozen and now insulated, so the dynamics will be fun to watch.

As we warm a bit over the weekend, hopefully not too much, the only thing I hope for is that the rain forecast busts so that the snow is not melted and washed away so fast.

Things look interesting in the longer range. Winter might not be over quite yet.

Thank you sir
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Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hound »

Feetz of Snow wrote: Wed Jan 17, 2024 10:04 pm What is the island going to be like tomorrow, catching ferry heading to duncan in afternoon!
Thanks
You might have to ask Monty, he's the Island specialist.
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Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by John »

wetcoast91 wrote: Wed Jan 17, 2024 9:54 pm ̶T̶y̶l̶e̶r̶ WeatherPro is on board.

We just need John to be on board.
I think 5-10 is possible
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Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by John »

:relaxedos:
Hound wrote: Wed Jan 17, 2024 10:06 pm You might have to ask Monty, he's the Island specialist.
Eh I think weatherpro knows the island well
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Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hound »

If I can score another 8cm I'd have 40cm on the ground!! :whee:
Let's do it! Storm! Catnip! Bono!
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Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

Glacier wrote: Wed Jan 17, 2024 9:58 pm He was the oldtimer who ran the Tatlayoko Lake weather station from 1928 to 2004 (or something like that), though I think his mom ran it in the beginning (he was born in 1912 I think). The -40 degrees reading last weekend marks just the third -40 ever recorded there (the others being 1950 and 1968 of course).

Not many left who were old enough and living down in the valley 55 years ago to tell me when the ice froze. The only one I can think of is Gerry Bracewell, and she will be 102 years old a few months and lives in Williams Lake now.

Everyone out there old enough to remember 1972 arrived in the later 1970s to early 1980s so they wouldn't have seen the lake frozen except for 1997.
Well what an awesome (history) story there Glace, the story of the Sulphur Mtn. weather station in Banff is most interesting the original house is still there it's a tourist attraction.
The house is very small l couldn't see someone living up there in the dead of winter. History has it the fellow who lived there went cabin fever and left the house never to be found again not sure if it was a weather station or forest fire look out.
Current conditions in Harrison Hot Springs:
https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/ ... wx_pwsdash
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Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by WeatherPro »

John wrote: Wed Jan 17, 2024 10:06 pm I think 5-10 is possible
Are you trying to beat me for a THIRD time?? :shifty:
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Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

WeatherPro wrote: Wed Jan 17, 2024 10:09 pm Are you trying to beat me for a THIRD time?? :shifty:
John knows the central valley well. :clap: :thumbup:
Current conditions in Harrison Hot Springs:
https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/ ... wx_pwsdash
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Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by John »

Typeing3 wrote: Wed Jan 17, 2024 8:08 pm Plenty of cold outbreaks during that period. These ones come to mind:

December 1980
December 1981
January 1982
December 1983
December 1984
January 1985
November 1985
February 1989
February 1990
December 1990
January 1991
December 1992
January 1993
December 1995
January 1996
December 1996
January 1997
December 1998
Yeah I remember most of these but didn’t necessarily beat this cold snap in max low temperatures or did they?
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Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by John »

WeatherPro wrote: Wed Jan 17, 2024 10:09 pm Are you trying to beat me for a THIRD time?? :shifty:
No you are a 1000 time smarter sir
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