May 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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wetcoast91
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Re: May 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

Back from my trip to Indonesia.

Feels downright chilly today. :snowwindow:
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HarrisonSasquatchWx
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Re: May 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

wetcoast91 wrote: Sun May 12, 2024 2:26 pm Back from my trip to Indonesia.

Feels downright chilly today. :snowwindow:
Whoa nice 👌 l've been to Johor Malaysia and Singapore the afternoon tropical storms were nice but brief. The thunder over there is different it doesn't do a long rumble like here more like a sharp clap.
O.k. now back to roasting us about lack of snow for next season or some mild predictions. :x :(
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Re: May 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

00z GFS ensembles:
ens_image.png
00z ECMWF ensembles:
ens_image (1).png
00z GEM ensembles:
ens_image (2).png



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20240513135249-74b69efecda91319ea7ae0203105f4f9142a946f.png
20240513135238-76ab2768bad679a2d781c5d07b4dcb56fd21b2ab.png
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:typing: :type3:
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Re: May 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hawk »

wetcoast91 wrote: Sun May 12, 2024 2:26 pm Back from my trip to Indonesia.

Feels downright chilly today. :snowwindow:
welcome back :think:
You missed the Strong Sustained Southerlies that pushed in 2 days ago driving up the snow levels and a complete transition to rain was imminent with freezing levels going to 2800m+ :wave:
Looking forward to our first 3 day stretch of sun and 20c++ 8-)
Willoughby Langley at ~320ft / Similkameeeens ~3400ft
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Re: May 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Weather101 »

And just like that, the fires are back.
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Re: May 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Weather101 »

AbbyJr wrote: Fri May 10, 2024 10:47 am Not necessarily. Still some model disagreement to work out over the coming days. :thumbup:

Both the GFS and GEM want to build another heat ridge next week. The Euro, however, continues to insist upon a trough diving into BC.
I don't think we should be cheering for a heat wave right now.
Just my opinion.
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Re: May 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Weather101 »

Beautiful photos from everyone who saw the lights.

Here's mine. It's nowhere near as nice as everyone else's, but I'm still happy I saw it.
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Re: May 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

Weather101 wrote: Mon May 13, 2024 8:06 am I don't think we should be cheering for a heat wave right now.
Just my opinion.
I hate any kind of heat and generally agree with you. However, cheering one way or the other has no impact on how the weather will go. So, cheer away for what you like, in my opinion.
Spring/Summer :sick: Fall/Winter :thumbup:

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Re: May 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

Bonovox wrote: Mon May 13, 2024 10:55 am I hate any kind of heat and generally agree with you. However, cheering one way or the other has no impact on how the weather will go. So, cheer away for what you like, in my opinion.
I want FEETZ OF SNOW!!!!!

:snowwindow:

:cheerlead: :cheerlead:

:team:
*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

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Re: May 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Feetz of Snow »

Catnip wrote: Mon May 13, 2024 1:05 pm I want FEETZ OF SNOW!!!!!

:snowwindow:

:cheerlead: :cheerlead:

:team:
Im here, I ‘m here!! Lol
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Re: May 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

Catnip wrote: Mon May 13, 2024 1:05 pm I want FEETZ OF SNOW!!!!!

:snowwindow:

:cheerlead: :cheerlead:

:team:
The FEETZZZZ of snow is in the closet till next winter Catstail. :wtf: :D :wave: It's currently a nice comfortable 19c @ the pond in south Sardis.
Last edited by HarrisonSasquatchWx on Mon May 13, 2024 3:48 pm, edited 1 time in total.
Current conditions in Harrison Hot Springs:
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Re: May 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

Weather101 wrote: Mon May 13, 2024 8:06 am I don't think we should be cheering for a heat wave right now.
Just my opinion.
No heat humps we need more moisture for sure bro. :thumbup: Jr. Man is just excited about record high temps. which normally we would be if not for the province wide drought. :sick:
Current conditions in Harrison Hot Springs:
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Re: May 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

Like a yo yo what yesterday's A.I. Canada forecast giveth sunshine. Today's A.I. Canada taketh back to wet all week beginning Thursday the long weekend now is wet in the central valley.
But wait A.I. Canada will probably giveth back the sunshine tomorrow. :wtf: :D
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Re: May 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by stuffradio »

The latest CPC ENSO discussion from yesterday pegged the value of the ENSO 3.4 SST at 0.3C. That's in the neutral ENSO range :)

This was taken from the weekly ENSO outlook discussion as well
CPC considers El Niño or La Niña conditions to occur when the monthly Niño3.4 OISST
departures meet or exceed +/- 0.5ºC along with consistent atmospheric features. These
anomalies must also be forecasted to persist for 3 consecutive months
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Re: May 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Roberts Creeker »

Does anyone have maps/predictions for rainfall for this spring and summer? Wondering about hay prices this fall.
:team: :flakey: :flakey:

Snow total: 1cm Dec 24, 1cm Feb 19
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