November 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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Typeing3
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Re: November 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

12z GFS ensembles:
ens_image.png
00z ECMWF ensembles:
ens_image (1).png
12z GEM ensembles:
ens_image (2).png



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20241112213329-4dcc0b66d4c59c0e05561f4cf5a06abe64831b19.png
20241112213315-6e6aef91477f182876b668fe80382c0f7b3b4dd4.png
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:typing: :type3:
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Re: November 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by stuffradio »

If it makes anyone feel better, the latest CFS Monthly is on #TeamDec in terms of cold temps :)
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VanCitySouth
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Re: November 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by VanCitySouth »

How far north do you guys think the SE winds get tonight? It feels like most of the time for Vancouver proper the SE portion is a nothing-burger.
2025-26 season stats:
Climo :cancel: ∞ to 0.5 :14clown: GFS

Season total: 0.5 cm and TWO traces!
Peak depth: 0.5 cm (01/07/2026)
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Re: November 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

wetcoast91 wrote: ↑Tue Nov 12, 2024 1:19 pm Some phantom snow showing up on the models. Prepare to put on your phantom winter tires!
Phantom salt 🧂 too E L Nino man. :x we reached 12c at the pond in south Sardis today.
Current conditions in Harrison Hot Springs:
https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/ ... wx_pwsdash
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Re: November 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

VanCitySouth wrote: ↑Tue Nov 12, 2024 2:25 pm How far north do you guys think the SE winds get tonight? It feels like most of the time for Vancouver proper the SE portion is a nothing-burger.
It seems the central valley is no longer included in any warnings according to A I Canada were in no man's land. :wtf: :wave:
Current conditions in Harrison Hot Springs:
https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/ ... wx_pwsdash
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Re: November 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Antares »

Just got a bit of slush accumulation. Third day of flakes this season, but first accumulation of anything. Forecast looks more like Vancouver though. :think:
It always snows in December in the Kootenays :clap:
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Re: November 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

:alert: :14clown: For entertainment purposes only :14clown: :alert:

This won't verify but it's interesting to see several of the recent Euro weekly runs showing at least one arctic outbreak in December. :clap: :think: :wave:

ecmwf-weeklies-c00-namer-z500_anom_7day-3875200.png
ecmwf-weeklies-c00-albertabc-t2m_c_anom_7day-3875200.png
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2022/23 season snowfall: 76.8cm

:team: :snowwindow: :snowman:
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Roberts Creeker
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Re: November 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Roberts Creeker »

Wind has started here. BC ferries has cancelled some sailing.

Just started cleaning up from the last storm, at least I'll be warm next winter! Does anyone have maps showing the low for this storm as compared to the last one?
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Last edited by Roberts Creeker on Tue Nov 12, 2024 6:55 pm, edited 1 time in total.
:team: :flakey: :flakey:

Snow total: 1cm Dec 24, 1cm Feb 19
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Re: November 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Roberts Creeker »

Abby_wx wrote: ↑Tue Nov 12, 2024 9:56 am 38.4 mm storm total.

No warnings for Abbotsford. Forecast sounds a bit underdone...

Tonight Rain at times heavy. Amount 10 to 20 mm. Wind becoming south 30 km/h gusting to 50 overnight. Temperature steady near 10.
Watch out for tornadoes, they skipped us last time and we got tornadoes!

:hound: can you add a tornado smilie?
:team: :flakey: :flakey:

Snow total: 1cm Dec 24, 1cm Feb 19
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Re: November 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Catnip »

#DEC
*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2025-2026 Snowfall - ZERO.OOcm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
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wetcoast91
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Re: November 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

Catnip wrote: ↑Tue Nov 12, 2024 7:19 pm#DEC
Low snow levels next Mon/Tues on the GFS/Euro. Could see some wet snowflakes.
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Re: November 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Catnip »

Stormy night!
*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2025-2026 Snowfall - ZERO.OOcm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
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Re: November 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Local mountains could get lots of snow with the next system on Saturday/Sunday.
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Re: November 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

00z GEM
Day 7-10
#Problematic
:raindrip: :raindrip: :raindrip:
gem_mslp_pcpn_frzn_nwus_fh162-240.gif
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Re: November 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

AbbyJr wrote: ↑Tue Nov 12, 2024 6:14 pm :alert: :14clown: For entertainment purposes only :14clown: :alert:

This won't verify but it's interesting to see several of the recent Euro weekly runs showing at least one arctic outbreak in December. :clap: :think: :wave:


ecmwf-weeklies-c00-namer-z500_anom_7day-3875200.png

ecmwf-weeklies-c00-albertabc-t2m_c_anom_7day-3875200.png
Where's the hurricane Freda 2.0 Jr. Man. :x We've had 17.5mm of rain since midnight @ the pond in south Sardis and calm winds.
Current conditions in Harrison Hot Springs:
https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/ ... wx_pwsdash
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