January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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Bonovox
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

Low of -4.4 in Ladner.
Spring/Summer :sick: Fall/Winter :thumbup:

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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

ecmwf-ensemble-CYVR-indiv_snow-7374400.png
cmc-ensemble-all-CYVR-indiv_snow-7374400.png
gfs-ensemble-all-CYVR-indiv_snow-7374400.png
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It's called clown range for a reason.
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by PortKells »

Typeing3 wrote: Mon Jan 20, 2025 12:09 pm A bit further east and more or less locks in place for a few days (as indicated on those maps) we could see one of those patterns with a stalled low SW of the Island with arctic air to the north moving into the south coast. Kind of like Feb 2017.
I'm not sure I've seen the models flip flop between different patterns to this extent. It makes me take today's runs with a massive grain of salt, but we shall see.
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Catnip »

Looks like things are possibly looking a bit active in the extended which is nice to see. Some of the patterns being modeled can often bring #surpises!

Could get #FEB and #surprises working together this year!

:14popcorn:
*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2025-2026 Snowfall - ZERO.OOcm

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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Hawk »

Looks like most weak systems in the short term are getting shredded during this ridgy pattern. Expected. Tell em Nito. Looks like the models are struggling somewhat with the system for Thurs/Fri..with precip amounts decreasing. I was hoping for mostly snow on the Langley bump, but it looks like it could be mostly dry region wide due to this persistent ridgy pattren

What does the mid term and long term have in store? :think: :think:
Looking forward to our first 3 day stretch of sun and 20c++ 8-)
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

A marine push aided by some energy riding over the ridge will bring low clouds and some drizzle tomorrow. Not usually an issue but ground and surface temps have been cold so this could lead to some freezing drizzle and spit flurries at higher elevations.
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Catnip »

wetcoast91 wrote: Mon Jan 20, 2025 2:01 pm A marine push aided by some energy riding over the ridge will bring low clouds and some drizzle tomorrow. Not usually an issue but ground and surface temps have been cold so this could lead to some freezing drizzle and spit flurries at higher elevations.
:lol: :lol: :lol:

:cry:
*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

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#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by stuffradio »

PortKells wrote: Mon Jan 20, 2025 1:12 pm I'm not sure I've seen the models flip flop between different patterns to this extent. It makes me take today's runs with a massive grain of salt, but we shall see.
Road salt or table salt?
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Hawk »

wetcoast91 wrote: Mon Jan 20, 2025 2:01 pm A marine push aided by some energy riding over the ridge will bring low clouds and some drizzle tomorrow. Not usually an issue but ground and surface temps have been cold so this could lead to some freezing drizzle and spit flurries at higher elevations.
ECs already on it Nito..my guess is a sloppy mix of precip..if we get any at all. Looks pretty dry. What does the HRRR and HDRS show? or whatever they are called lol
;)
Looking forward to our first 3 day stretch of sun and 20c++ 8-)
Willoughby Langley at ~320ft / Similkameeeens ~3400ft
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Hawk »

:alert: :alert:
And there it is...possibly the "Snowiest" and "Coldest" week of this winter, according to the EC forecast for this week. They have thrown a mix of wintry precip into the forecast for Tuesday AND Thursday now. H2c to 3c region wide. Yessssss :flakey: :flakey: :hearteyes: Other days Chilly and clear.
Enjoy those sloppy precip days buttees!
Looking forward to our first 3 day stretch of sun and 20c++ 8-)
Willoughby Langley at ~320ft / Similkameeeens ~3400ft
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

Hawk wrote: Mon Jan 20, 2025 2:34 pm ECs already on it Nito..my guess is a sloppy mix of precip..if we get any at all. Looks pretty dry. What does the HRRR and HDRS show? or whatever they are called lol
;)
No measurable precip on both the global and meso models. This is some very light stuff.
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

Typeing3 wrote: Mon Jan 20, 2025 12:09 pm A bit further east and more or less locks in place for a few days (as indicated on those maps) we could see one of those patterns with a stalled low SW of the Island with arctic air to the north moving into the south coast. Kind of like Feb 2017.
I’d take a February 2017 repeat in a heartbeat. Abbotsford had its highest snow depth (45cm) since December 2008 (49cm)

Lock it in! :clap: :wave: :flakey:
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

Not much on the NAM 3km with regards to moisture in the near future.
nam-nest-vancouverski-total_snow_kuchera_cm-7612000.png
nam-nest-vancouverski-total_precip_mm-7612000.png
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It's called clown range for a reason.
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

Rubus_Leucodermis wrote: Mon Jan 20, 2025 3:30 pm Not much on the NAM 3km with regards to moisture in the near future.

nam-nest-vancouverski-total_snow_kuchera_cm-7612000.png
nam-nest-vancouverski-total_precip_mm-7612000.png
I'm in the gray!
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Catnip »

wetcoast91 wrote: Mon Jan 20, 2025 3:50 pm I'm in the gray!
Virga!

Too Dry!

Won’t Saturate!
*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2025-2026 Snowfall - ZERO.OOcm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
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