January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

[Catnip]

Tues would also be sub freezing.

weds pm.png

And another morning on Weds.

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This is for discussion purposes only. This is over a week out!

[Storm]

That slider for the weekend is still on.

gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_nwus_42.png

[Catnip]

Arctic front still on track for Saturday night?

TBH I'm not really good at tracking those.

How could I check?

[Rubus_Leucodermis]

Now, I'm probably wrong, but my theory is pretty simple at its root. Everyone knows we have seasonal lag when it comes to weather; hence, why the coldest temperatures are usually in January (Toronto, for example).

My theory is that longer, hotter summers and a warmer climate causes a delay in the onset of winter.. This seasonal lag also affects how long it takes the ocean temperature to cool down, delaying the feeling of being in the "middle of winter." So now February is the coldest month.

Again, I'm probably completely wrong, but it made sense in my brain.

I would expect March to be much more of a winter month if that was so. Instead, it is decidedly a spring month. I have observed more snow fall in the first week of November than in the entirety of March. While part of that is due to my March snow jinx, it is still the case that November is by far a snowier month, with by far many more good cold snaps on the books.

[Rubus_Leucodermis]

3-6”? Doesn’t take much to impress you. Haha

That is an 8.7 at YVR… and MBY normally gets more snow than the airport does.

[Radar]

That is an 8.7 at YVR… and MBY normally gets more snow than the airport does.

6” is enough for me. I can make some money with that amount.

[PortKells]

6” is enough for me. I can make some money with that amount.

What’s really going on here….

[Catnip]

What’s really going on here….

[Weather101]

I would expect March to be much more of a winter month if that was so. Instead, it is decidedly a spring month. I have observed more snow fall in the first week of November than in the entirety of March. While part of that is due to my March snow jinx, it is still the case that November is by far a snowier month, with by far many more good cold snaps on the books.

A counter-argument is that March already has higher sun angles, and with our microclimates, it is not likely to produce snow. With a warming climate, we warm quicker.

And speaking of the last few years only, again, who knows? Time will tell. If we score again this month and it happens again next February, we definitely need to revisit this and have a conversation about why.

[Weather101]

6” is enough for me. I can make some money with that amount.

We definitely ain't talking weather now

[Hawk]

Upper level and thickness is all in place by Friday evening.

Tell em Storm!! and also

[Hawk]

EC's 4pm update is up next. I wonder how soon they will sound the ALARMS

[Hawk]

And it shows up early. EC is only showing all rain for Friday(Daytime). Straight through otherwise it is mixed precip, with all Snow by Sunday and onwards. When there is a future there is hope buttees

[Hawk]

And yes..it is HawksHill

[Hawk]

Squeamish is prolly going to receive ferocious accumulations of snow over the next several days