January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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HarrisonSasquatchWx
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

Storm wrote: Tue Jan 28, 2025 9:51 pm Euro is caving to GFS.
Oh no it's over. 😭
Current conditions in Harrison Hot Springs:
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Storm »

SouthSardiswx wrote: Tue Jan 28, 2025 9:53 pm Oh no it's over. 😭
Shut up.
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

It's currently -1c @ the pond in south Sardis.
Last edited by HarrisonSasquatchWx on Tue Jan 28, 2025 10:24 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

Snow ❄️ maps please.
Last edited by HarrisonSasquatchWx on Tue Jan 28, 2025 10:22 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

Storm wrote: Tue Jan 28, 2025 9:55 pmShut up.
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

wetcoast91 wrote: Tue Jan 28, 2025 9:56 pm Image
No inciting allowed Neets.
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by VanCitySouth »

SouthSardiswx wrote: Tue Jan 28, 2025 9:53 pm Oh no it's over. 😭
Euro caving to GFS is GOOD for us Fish! Euro has been the stingy one!
2025-26 season stats:
Climo :cancel: ∞ to 0.5 :14clown: GFS

Season total: 0.5 cm and TWO traces!
Peak depth: 0.5 cm (01/07/2026)
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Storm »

SouthSardiswx wrote: Tue Jan 28, 2025 9:56 pm Truth hurts.
What are you talking about.
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

Storm wrote: Tue Jan 28, 2025 10:00 pm What are you talking about.
Just a friendly jab when u said caving l thought rug pull.
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Storm »

SouthSardiswx wrote: Tue Jan 28, 2025 10:02 pm Just a friendly jab when u said caving l thought rug pull.
Pay attention.
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

VanCitySouth wrote: Tue Jan 28, 2025 9:58 pm Euro caving to GFS is GOOD for us Fish! Euro has been the stingy one!
Ok got it l haven't had time to look at maps today then a comment should be made it's a positive then.
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

Storm wrote: Tue Jan 28, 2025 10:03 pmPay attention.
l'm trying not easy from work plus not use to Pineapple being so nice today.
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

Storm wrote: Tue Jan 28, 2025 9:51 pm Euro is caving to GFS.
In the short range, yes but not in the longer range. If the GFS leads the way on this one then it's one big fail for the Euro. Time will tell. :thumbup:
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Storm »

AbbyJr wrote: Tue Jan 28, 2025 10:17 pm In the short range, yes but not in the longer range. If the GFS leads the way on this one then it's one big fail for the Euro. Time will tell. :thumbup:
Don't focus on single run in the middle range and beyond.
Ensembles, Ensembles, Ensembles
ens_image-1.png
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

I'm starting to lose confidence of a last minute flip to a February 2017 style pattern. Taking a closer look as to why the models keep ejecting the cold offshore, we can see the culprit being the top heavy GOA block. As soon as the merger pushes in, it tilts the initial block and then shoves the cold westward. I'm not so sure that we avoid this solution but it's pretty important that we do if we want a significant cold and snowy pattern. :think: :wave:

gfs-deterministic-nhemi-z500_anom-1738108800-1738627200-1738713600-20.gif
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Last edited by AbbyJr on Tue Jan 28, 2025 10:25 pm, edited 2 times in total.
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