January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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Rubus_Leucodermis
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

GFS :flakey: ensembles.
gfs-ensemble-all-CYVR-indiv_snow-8130400.png
gfs-ensemble-all-CWMM-indiv_snow-8130400.png
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It's called clown range for a reason.
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HarrisonSasquatchWx
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

Rubus_Leucodermis wrote: ↑Wed Jan 29, 2025 10:46 am GFS :flakey: ensembles.

gfs-ensemble-all-CYVR-indiv_snow-8130400.png
gfs-ensemble-all-CWMM-indiv_snow-8130400.png
Wow! :shock:
Current conditions in Harrison Hot Springs:
https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/ ... wx_pwsdash
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Radar
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Radar »

But when does the rain start tomorrow?
West Abby. Elev. 290ft
PWS: https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/IABBOT57/
24/25 snow total: 29cm
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Storm
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Storm »

Radar wrote: ↑Wed Jan 29, 2025 10:53 am But when does the rain start tomorrow?
You gonna plow that too?
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Rubus_Leucodermis
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

Euro 12Z ensemble mean for weekend into Monday snow.
ecmwf-ensemble-avg-or_wa-total_snow_10to1-8627200.png
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It's called clown range for a reason.
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Catnip »

Cdn Ensembles in the extended, 5-10 day and 11-16 day mean.
geps_z500a_d5_noram_240.png
geps_t850a_d5_noram_240.png
geps_z500a_d5_noram_384.png
geps_t850a_d5_noram_384.png
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*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2025-2026 Snowfall - ZERO.OOcm

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Rubus_Leucodermis
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

GEM snow maps for this weekend into Monday.
gem-all-vancouverski-snow_24hr_kuchera_cm-8454400.png
gem-all-vancouverski-snow_24hr_kuchera_cm-8540800.png
gem-all-vancouverski-snow_24hr_kuchera_cm-8627200.png
gem-all-vancouverski-snow_48hr_cm-8627200.png
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PortKells
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by PortKells »

Catnip wrote: ↑Wed Jan 29, 2025 11:00 am Cdn Ensembles in the extended, 5-10 day and 11-16 day mean.

geps_z500a_d5_noram_240.png
geps_t850a_d5_noram_240.png
geps_z500a_d5_noram_384.png
geps_t850a_d5_noram_384.png
Wow that escalated quickly.
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tyweather
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by tyweather »

NAM is showing 35cm of snow in Surrey on Thursday / Friday?
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Why not try cycling to work, grocery store, anywhere!
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VanCitySouth
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by VanCitySouth »

tyweather wrote: ↑Wed Jan 29, 2025 11:33 am NAM is showing 35cm of snow in Surrey on Thursday / Friday?
NAM is out to lunch for tomorrow if we look at the other models. You'd need about 250-300m of elevation at least and even then ratios would be much lower than 10:1. If I was a betting man, I'd say Pomoman might see 5-10 cm before it switches to rain overnight and that's probably it.
2025-26 season stats:
Climo :cancel: ∞ to 0.5 :14clown: GFS

Season total: 0.5 cm and TWO traces!
Peak depth: 0.5 cm (01/07/2026)
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Radar »

Rubus_Leucodermis wrote: ↑Wed Jan 29, 2025 11:19 am GEM snow maps for this weekend into Monday.

gem-all-vancouverski-snow_24hr_kuchera_cm-8454400.png
gem-all-vancouverski-snow_24hr_kuchera_cm-8540800.png
gem-all-vancouverski-snow_24hr_kuchera_cm-8627200.png
gem-all-vancouverski-snow_48hr_cm-8627200.png
GEM is now like the ICON. No snow for you on the weekend.
West Abby. Elev. 290ft
PWS: https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/IABBOT57/
24/25 snow total: 29cm
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Michael1 »

Rubus_Leucodermis wrote: ↑Wed Jan 29, 2025 11:19 am GEM snow maps for this weekend into Monday.

gem-all-vancouverski-snow_24hr_kuchera_cm-8454400.png
gem-all-vancouverski-snow_24hr_kuchera_cm-8540800.png
gem-all-vancouverski-snow_24hr_kuchera_cm-8627200.png
gem-all-vancouverski-snow_48hr_cm-8627200.png
Pretty stingy with the island
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Rubus_Leucodermis
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

VanCitySouth wrote: ↑Wed Jan 29, 2025 11:39 am NAM is out to lunch for tomorrow if we look at the other models. You'd need about 250-300m of elevation at least and even then ratios would be much lower than 10:1. If I was a betting man, I'd say Pomoman might see 5-10 cm before it switches to rain overnight and that's probably it.
Plus the high-res 3km version shows nothing of the sort.
nam-nest-vancouverski-total_snow_kuchera_cm-8368000.png
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It's called clown range for a reason.
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Weather101 »

VanCitySouth wrote: ↑Wed Jan 29, 2025 11:39 am NAM is out to lunch for tomorrow if we look at the other models. You'd need about 250-300m of elevation at least and even then ratios would be much lower than 10:1. If I was a betting man, I'd say Pomoman might see 5-10 cm before it switches to rain overnight and that's probably it.
No idea why i read that as Pornoman.
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Radar »

Storm wrote: ↑Wed Jan 29, 2025 10:57 am You gonna plow that too?
I need to know when the rain starts so I can hide. Spotwx is all over the place for start time.
West Abby. Elev. 290ft
PWS: https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/IABBOT57/
24/25 snow total: 29cm
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