January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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Hawk
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Hawk »

Nordelian wrote: Thu Jan 30, 2025 1:28 pm Someone literally posted in here "40 cm in Abbotsford" when no model output has ever showed 40 cm of accumulation . Accumulating snow and snowfall are very different measures and many people here actually mean snow accumulation is what they care about. People say the models are wrong when often times it is simply their interpretation of the model that is wrong.
Tell em Nordelian!! :lol: :lol:
Looking forward to our first 3 day stretch of sun and 20c++ 8-)
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Monty »

Catnip wrote: Thu Jan 30, 2025 1:24 pm 18Z Icon snowfall map... for discussion purposes. These will continue to change and most of the time they are incorrect on both ends.

icon snow.png
Zoom in on my house and I can tell this model is broken. :lol:
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Hound »

VanCitySouth wrote: Thu Jan 30, 2025 1:34 pm I am willing to pitch in for upkeep when that happens. Pls lmk when the time comes.

I also recall a discussion to pitch in and share a wxbell access?
Ya, maybe every renewal period Stuffy you can post the amount needed, and open up a way to interac/debit transfer funds to you from our bank accounts. No fees usually involved with that vs Paypal nonsense. Then the funds will go right to your account, which you could even set up in your bank strictly for funds donated to you. I'm with TD and I don't think I get charged for sending interac etransfer or whatever they call it, or if they do it's like 25 cents or something.
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Hawk »

Catnip wrote: Thu Jan 30, 2025 1:36 pm Latest blend up to Tuesday afternoon.

Posting for the fact that we can look back after and see how far off it was... or wasn't :shock:

blend.png
Amazing map..showing lesser snow in the Abby donuthole while Bby Mtn and Catnip Hill are getting more hammmmerd with higher accumulations, as usual :shock: :shock:
#climo :think:
Looking forward to our first 3 day stretch of sun and 20c++ 8-)
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Storm »

That is terrain bleed. Right.
Screenshot_20250130_134324_Edge.jpg
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Monty »

RGEM looks very snowy Sunday night in the lower mainland.

My early gut feeling is the lower mainland is gonna beat the south east of Vancouver island on this event.
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Catnip »

Monty wrote: Thu Jan 30, 2025 1:46 pm RGEM looks very snowy Sunday night in the lower mainland.

My early gut feeling is the lower mainland is gonna beat the south east of Vancouver island on this event.
Don't have a closer zoom, sorry.
rgem_acc_snow_nw_84.png
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*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2025-2026 Snowfall - ZERO.OOcm

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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Hound »

SouthSardiswx wrote: Thu Jan 30, 2025 1:35 pm Vancouver Weather Page? I haven't looked since we left that site.
Ya, that was a sad story. Both those guys have never come here. They let the forum hosting to expire down to the last 2 days and we could not reach any of them. We copied the database in order to preserve it and not lose everything, in order to relaunch THEIR forum and that made them angry, and then that site went dead and we were forced to open THIS forum. That upset them for some reason, and one guy threatened to sue us. Over why? I have no idea. Maybe because we used the memberlist from the database. But that was the only way to allow all current members to be able to sign in again without creating new accounts and all that mess. That was a rough time for all members because many accounts were dormant and we would send out emails trying to tell people where the new forum was, but most never got the email. Anyway, that was a long time ago and eventually the members that enjoyed that forum eventually found their way here. Just a bit of history and nostalgia for everyone! :D
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Storm »

3 am Saturday morning. 850mb of -9°C. If you tell me can't get snow with that, then I don't know how we get snow.
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Monty »

Storm wrote: Thu Jan 30, 2025 1:49 pm 3 am Saturday morning. 850mb of -9°C. If you tell me can't get snow with that, then I don't know how we get snow.
Screenshot_20250130_134718_Edge.jpg
If it verifies at -9 it will be snow
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Storm »

Sunday is shaping up to be snowy over the Metro.
prateptype_cat-imp.us_nw.png
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by snowjoker »

Temperatures don't look like a problem after Saturday, but it looks like amounts will be heavily dependent on where the moisture bands set up Sunday into Monday. Not as much a terrain bleed issue at first glance.
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Catnip »

Appears that the upper levels cool pretty quickly between 10pm Friday and 4am Sat.

Like Storm mentioned, should be cold enough to see snow Saturday morning onward. It does look like Sunday is the big snow day though. Plenty cold enough by then.

Saturday may be a flurry here flurry there type deal.
1.png
2.png
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*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2025-2026 Snowfall - ZERO.OOcm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Storm »

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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by stuffradio »

Hound wrote: Thu Jan 30, 2025 1:48 pm Ya, that was a sad story. Both those guys have never come here. They let the forum hosting to expire down to the last 2 days and we could not reach any of them. We copied the database in order to preserve it and not lose everything, in order to relaunch THEIR forum and that made them angry, and then that site went dead and we were forced to open THIS forum. That upset them for some reason, and one guy threatened to sue us. Over why? I have no idea. Maybe because we used the memberlist from the database. But that was the only way to allow all current members to be able to sign in again without creating new accounts and all that mess. That was a rough time for all members because many accounts were dormant and we would send out emails trying to tell people where the new forum was, but most never got the email. Anyway, that was a long time ago and eventually the members that enjoyed that forum eventually found their way here. Just a bit of history and nostalgia for everyone! :D
This is a story I hope to just leave in the past :lol:. It was a very awkward conversation having one of the guys (who I never knew at the time was a co-founder) call me on my cellphone.
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