January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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Hawk
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Hawk »

John wrote: ↑Thu Jan 30, 2025 8:46 pm Probably all terrain bleed anyway
not this time John
= :flakey: :flakey:
Looking forward to our first 3 day stretch of sun and 20c++ 8-)
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Hawk »

wetcoast91 wrote: ↑Thu Jan 30, 2025 9:04 pm :hawk: :tumbleweed1:
check the next post..
:thumbup:
Looking forward to our first 3 day stretch of sun and 20c++ 8-)
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Hawk »

Catnip wrote: ↑Thu Jan 30, 2025 9:08 pm :clap: :clap: :lol: :lol:
:roll:
HawksHill is almost always in the HammmmerZone. Cmon
Looking forward to our first 3 day stretch of sun and 20c++ 8-)
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Hawk »

wakie wakie. We are less than 24 hours away from accumulating snows (hopefully)
:wave:
Looking forward to our first 3 day stretch of sun and 20c++ 8-)
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Rubus_Leucodermis wrote: ↑Thu Jan 30, 2025 11:02 pm Before my time here. What was that like?
Was a pretty memorable event. Semi-stationary cold low parked in the strait for over 24 hours during a cold onshore flow setup. Snow bands constantly pushing into Metro Vancouver. Temps were bouncing around freezing, so ratios were pretty low. Many locales ended up with nearly or more than 30cm of concrete snow.
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

AbbyJr wrote: ↑Thu Jan 30, 2025 11:25 pm I'm trying not get too excited just yet but I'm seeing potential for a long duration cold snap. Could be a very cold February upcoming. :silent: :wave:


ecmwf-ensemble-avg-nhemi-z500_anom-9577600.png

ecmwf-deterministic-nhemi-z500_anom-9577600.png

ecmwf-ensemble-CYXX-daily_tmin_tmax-8281600.png

ecmwf-ensemble-CYXX-indiv_tmp-8281600.png
North Pacific blocking certainly looks quite anomalous and persistent on those maps.
:typing: :type3:
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Storm »

Typeing3 wrote: ↑Fri Jan 31, 2025 6:20 am Was a pretty memorable event. Semi-stationary cold low parked in the strait for over 24 hours during a cold onshore flow setup. Snow bands constantly pushing into Metro Vancouver. Temps were bouncing around freezing, so ratios were pretty low. Many locales ended up with nearly or more than 30cm of concrete snow.
T3
namconus_ref_frzn_nwus_40.png
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by PortKells »

Not backing down, still going up.
ecmwf-deterministic-vancouverski-total_snow_kuchera_cm-8616400.png
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

:thumbup: 06Z Euro still lookin’ good.
ecmwf-deterministic-vancouverski-snow_24hr_kuchera_cm-8540800.png
ecmwf-deterministic-vancouverski-snow_24hr_kuchera_cm-8627200.png
ecmwf-deterministic-vancouverski-snow_48hr_cm-8627200.png
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It's called clown range for a reason.
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Storm wrote: ↑Fri Jan 31, 2025 6:23 am T3namconus_ref_frzn_nwus_40.png
Within the high-res NAM range now. Will likely be more stingy but more realistic with snowfall totals.
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Storm »

PortKells wrote: ↑Fri Jan 31, 2025 6:26 am Not backing down, still going up.

ecmwf-deterministic-vancouverski-total_snow_kuchera_cm-8616400.png
This morning model all increased the amounts.
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

PortKells wrote: ↑Fri Jan 31, 2025 6:26 am Not backing down, still going up.

ecmwf-deterministic-vancouverski-total_snow_kuchera_cm-8616400.png
Actually down a little from the 00Z but not by very much.
It's called clown range for a reason.
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by VanCitySouth »

6Z RGEM continues to show a mind-bending amount of snow for Western Metro
2025-26 season stats:
Climo :cancel: ∞ to 0.5 :14clown: GFS

Season total: 0.5 cm and TWO traces!
Peak depth: 0.5 cm (01/07/2026)
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Rubus_Leucodermis wrote: ↑Fri Jan 31, 2025 6:27 am :thumbup: 06Z Euro still lookin’ good.

ecmwf-deterministic-vancouverski-snow_24hr_kuchera_cm-8540800.png
ecmwf-deterministic-vancouverski-snow_24hr_kuchera_cm-8627200.png
ecmwf-deterministic-vancouverski-snow_48hr_cm-8627200.png
Monday snowfall map there looks like a picture-perfect doughnut hole for the #BananaBelt. :lol:
:typing: :type3:
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by PortKells »

Rubus_Leucodermis wrote: ↑Fri Jan 31, 2025 6:28 am Actually down a little from the 00Z but not by very much.
Is this all BS or do you think we're getting a 30-40 cm dump here?
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