January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

[Catnip]

The euro. Please keep your lectures to yourselves.

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It's all a mirage of the phantom variety!

Expect +12c RAIN!

[PortKells]

While these big totals may not verify, there's no need to lecture anyone. This is a Euro map under 100hrs out. This isn't a 300hr GFS run. Regardless, I don't know of any good reason to lecture people on here. It's a weather forum for us to have fun with and share our hobby.

Yeah I keep getting the same guy explaining things to me like a child. Im just gonna keep posting maps for fun. I’ve been tracking this thing since it was -1000 hours old, I’ve earned the right.

[Michael1]

Sutton pass:

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[AbbyJr]

The confidence of the euro matters.

The Euro is a world class model and it's been recently upgraded with major improvements to its surface level temperature and wind forecast. Even if the snowfall totals it's showing don't verify to the modelled intensity, I think Environment Canada should at least warn the public about the potential of a disruptive snowstorm this weekend. In my opinion, the current alert issued doesn't adequately get the message across. Here's a quote:

Flurries and cold temperatures this weekend as arctic air invades the region and an upper low brings the moisture. Be advised for sudden reduction in visibility in convective flurries if travelling around the south coast this weekend. Accumulations are uncertain at this time as it will depend where the flurries develop but accumulating snow is likely in many areas this weekend. Warnings will be issued as necessary.

If I didn't monitor the latest model trends, I wouldn't take that message as a sign that a major disruptive snowstorm was even slightly possible.

[Bonovox]

It's all a mirage of the phantom variety!

Expect +12c RAIN!

Don't forget terrain bleed.

[Bonovox]

Those Euro snow maps are a thing of beauty.

[Nordelian]

The Euro is a world class model and it's been recently upgraded with major improvements to its surface level temperature and wind forecast. Even if the snowfall totals it's showing don't verify to the modelled intensity, I think Environment Canada should at least warn the public about the potential of a disruptive snowstorm this weekend. In my opinion, the current alert issued doesn't adequately get the message across. Here's a quote:



If I didn't monitor the latest model trends, I wouldn't be take that message as a sign that a major disruptive snowstorm was even slightly possible.

Their policy is to issue snowfall warnings only within 48 hours - lots of social science supports that issuing a warning too early leads to public apathy around the time of the event

The weather statement is being used as a heads up - it says EC doesnt know amounts (hell- even we don't...), but there will be snow. Lots of people are talking about possible snow this weekend on the news, social media, friends and family, and that's what matters. This isn't a hurricane when you need 3+ days to prepare. Nobody needs to board up their windows for this weekend.

Just chill

Expect the warning tonight, which is 48 hours before the event onset.

[Bonovox]

HRRR for tomorrow morning at 0700am.

[wetcoast91]

It's all a mirage of the phantom variety!

Expect +12c RAIN!

[AbbyJr]

Their policy is to issue snowfall warnings only within 48 hours - lots of social science supports that issuing a warning too early leads to public apathy around the time of the event

The weather statement is being used as a heads up - it says EC doesnt know amounts (hell- even we don't...), but there will be snow. Lots of people are talking about possible snow this weekend on the news, social media, friends and family, and that's what matters. This isn't a hurricane when you need 3+ days to prepare. Nobody needs to board up their windows for this weekend.

Just chill

Expect the warning tonight, which is 48 hours before the event onset.

All I was doing was giving my opinion about the wording used in the weather statement. I'm not at all upset about it.

[Roberts Creeker]

The Euro is a world class model and it's been recently upgraded with major improvements to its surface level temperature and wind forecast. Even if the snowfall totals it's showing don't verify to the modelled intensity, I think Environment Canada should at least warn the public about the potential of a disruptive snowstorm this weekend. In my opinion, the current alert issued doesn't adequately get the message across. Here's a quote:



If I didn't monitor the latest model trends, I wouldn't take that message as a sign that a major disruptive snowstorm was even slightly possible.

I agree, for the Sunshine Coast, it's chance of flurries, with periods of snow Sunday pm, no big deal right??? When you read the text it's calling for 2 cm tonight but no other accumulations. Going to be some surprised people out there Sunday night and Monday...unless it's me and all we get are a few flakes.

[Storm]

Miller traded.

[Catnip]

Their policy is to issue snowfall warnings only within 48 hours - lots of social science supports that issuing a warning too early leads to public apathy around the time of the event

The weather statement is being used as a heads up - it says EC doesnt know amounts (hell- even we don't...), but there will be snow. Lots of people are talking about possible snow this weekend on the news, social media, friends and family, and that's what matters. This isn't a hurricane when you need 3+ days to prepare. Nobody needs to board up their windows for this weekend.

Just chill

Expect the warning tonight, which is 48 hours before the event onset.

Speak for yourself.

Neetz needs time to protect his grass!!

[AbbyJr]

Those Euro snow maps are a thing of beauty.

Back on December 23rd, 2022, the RGEM gave us a big 15-30cm snowstorm. The Euro said no. The result was 5-10cm followed by freezing rain. Ultimately, the RGEM got it wrong and the Euro got it right. But with my luck, if there was ever time for the Euro to bust, it would be now.

[Storm]

JT Miller to Rangers.