February 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
Post Reply
User avatar
Hawk
Total Weather Geek
Total Weather Geek
Posts: 8630
Joined: Mon Feb 18, 2019 6:45 pm
Location: Langley-Willoughby/The Similkameeeens
Elevation: 100m/950m
Has thanked: 17152 times
Been thanked: 8328 times

Re: February 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Hawk »

Wheres WPro to soothe the pains and provide much reassurance during these difficult and stressful moments? :| Things appear to be slipping some :think:
Looking forward to our first 3 day stretch of sun and 20c++ 8-)
Willoughby Langley at ~320ft / Similkameeeens ~3400ft
Michael1
Weather Nut
Weather Nut
Posts: 798
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 6:49 pm
Location: Nanoose
Elevation: 120 ft.
Has thanked: 805 times
Been thanked: 1685 times

Re: February 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Michael1 »

Temp up to 5.4. Everything seems unlikely now. All the hype, all the temp and precip maps; this area is cursed
User avatar
Rubus_Leucodermis
Storm Chaser
Storm Chaser
Posts: 6344
Joined: Thu Nov 21, 2019 5:48 pm
Location: Vancouver
Elevation: 70 m / 230 ft
Has thanked: 4874 times
Been thanked: 12959 times

Re: February 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

wetcoast91 wrote: Sat Feb 01, 2025 2:15 pm Of course this happens after EC issues a snowfall warning. :lol:
Trends looked so promising this morning. But, as I say, it is never too late for a last-minute rug pull!
It's called clown range for a reason.
Michael1
Weather Nut
Weather Nut
Posts: 798
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 6:49 pm
Location: Nanoose
Elevation: 120 ft.
Has thanked: 805 times
Been thanked: 1685 times

Re: February 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Michael1 »

Hawk wrote: Sat Feb 01, 2025 2:17 pm Wheres WPro to soothe the pains and provide much reassurance during these difficult and stressful moments? :| Things appear to be slipping some :think:
Yes. Wpro might be able to cut through the hype..
Last edited by Michael1 on Sat Feb 01, 2025 2:22 pm, edited 1 time in total.
User avatar
Hawk
Total Weather Geek
Total Weather Geek
Posts: 8630
Joined: Mon Feb 18, 2019 6:45 pm
Location: Langley-Willoughby/The Similkameeeens
Elevation: 100m/950m
Has thanked: 17152 times
Been thanked: 8328 times

Re: February 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Hawk »

The models were struggling, as they often do of course:
1: The extent of the troff digging SW and Low placement
2: Precip type this weekend, with some models showing a mix Sat/Sunday.
Lets see where were at by Feb 4 at 6pm. :silent: Dont stress buttees.

Drive to Catnip Hill Monday 7pm and im sure you will be like WOWWWWWW :shock: :shock:
Last edited by Hawk on Sat Feb 01, 2025 2:22 pm, edited 1 time in total.
Looking forward to our first 3 day stretch of sun and 20c++ 8-)
Willoughby Langley at ~320ft / Similkameeeens ~3400ft
User avatar
Typeing3
Weather Psycho
Weather Psycho
Posts: 14198
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 3:02 pm
Location: Coquitlam
Elevation: 25M./80Ft.
Has thanked: 26799 times
Been thanked: 28396 times

Re: February 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Rubus_Leucodermis wrote: Sat Feb 01, 2025 2:04 pm :lol:

gfs-deterministic-vancouverski-total_snow_kuchera_cm-8605600.png
10cm for the Banana Belt! Score!
:typing: :type3:
East Coquitlam
Elevation 25M (80Ft)
#MrJanuary :geek: 8-)
User avatar
wetcoast91
Storm Chaser
Storm Chaser
Posts: 7098
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 3:12 pm
Location: New Westminster
Elevation: 106m
Has thanked: 6962 times
Been thanked: 16338 times

Re: February 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

Rubus_Leucodermis wrote: Sat Feb 01, 2025 2:20 pm Trends looked so promising this morning. But, as I say, it is never too late for a last-minute rug pull!
The trend of taking the ULL further off the coast a few days ago was a sign that this could happen. Just a reminder that models tend to show more juice with these features outside of 24 hours.

Oddly enough, EC's forecast from 2 days ago was spot on. ECs forecast is now too snowy.
Weather Dude
Cloud Watcher
Cloud Watcher
Posts: 102
Joined: Wed Jan 05, 2022 8:15 pm
Location: LML
Has thanked: 74 times
Been thanked: 259 times

Re: February 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Weather Dude »

wetcoast91 wrote: Sat Feb 01, 2025 2:25 pm The trend of taking the ULL further off the coast a few days ago was a sign that this could happen. Just a reminder that models tend to show more juice with these features outside of 24 hours.

Oddly enough, EC's forecast from 2 days ago was spot on.
Except that we don’t know what will actually happen yet, so how can we know which one was spot on?

The next run of models could easily be an improvement.
User avatar
Hawk
Total Weather Geek
Total Weather Geek
Posts: 8630
Joined: Mon Feb 18, 2019 6:45 pm
Location: Langley-Willoughby/The Similkameeeens
Elevation: 100m/950m
Has thanked: 17152 times
Been thanked: 8328 times

Re: February 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Hawk »

it is south but...NWS said sorry snowlovers..5-10cm is tops. Some isolated areas may see more as usual, but spotty precip bands wont do anything with these lame temps. I wouldnt be surprised to see mixed precip at sea level/coastal areas in the LM with negligible slushy cms, for some of this event right through to Monday evening. Just a sloppy disappointment if that happens :hmm:
Looking forward to our first 3 day stretch of sun and 20c++ 8-)
Willoughby Langley at ~320ft / Similkameeeens ~3400ft
User avatar
Canada Goose
Weather Enthusiast
Weather Enthusiast
Posts: 2770
Joined: Mon Feb 18, 2019 12:41 pm
Location: Port Coquitlam (Downtown) - Banana Belt
Elevation: 11 m
Has thanked: 917 times
Been thanked: 6237 times

Re: February 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Canada Goose »

Hawk wrote: Sat Feb 01, 2025 1:36 pm all Drive BC cams in Poco show bare and wet everywhere at sea level. Can you provide a link to a DT Poco webcam..or photos?
:thumbup:
:thumbup:
Capture d’écran 2025-02-01 à 14.29.26.jpg
You do not have the required permissions to view the files attached to this post.
User avatar
Hawk
Total Weather Geek
Total Weather Geek
Posts: 8630
Joined: Mon Feb 18, 2019 6:45 pm
Location: Langley-Willoughby/The Similkameeeens
Elevation: 100m/950m
Has thanked: 17152 times
Been thanked: 8328 times

Re: February 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Hawk »

Cmonnnn SNOW. Please help us tonight at least. I'll take 5cms on HawkHill by tomorrow. Anything else is gravy :thumbup: :thumbup:
Looking forward to our first 3 day stretch of sun and 20c++ 8-)
Willoughby Langley at ~320ft / Similkameeeens ~3400ft
User avatar
PortKells
Storm Chaser
Storm Chaser
Posts: 7726
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 4:08 pm
Location: Port Kells
Elevation: 78m
Has thanked: 589 times
Been thanked: 13671 times

Re: February 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by PortKells »

Rubus_Leucodermis wrote: Sat Feb 01, 2025 2:04 pm :lol:

gfs-deterministic-vancouverski-total_snow_kuchera_cm-8605600.png
My backyard does well but no snow day For vsb. Toss it.
John
Weather Enthusiast
Weather Enthusiast
Posts: 2957
Joined: Tue Feb 19, 2019 11:52 am
Location: Valley
Has thanked: 4534 times
Been thanked: 4973 times

Re: February 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by John »

To be honest this does seem like a bust
Michael1
Weather Nut
Weather Nut
Posts: 798
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 6:49 pm
Location: Nanoose
Elevation: 120 ft.
Has thanked: 805 times
Been thanked: 1685 times

Re: February 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Michael1 »

John wrote: Sat Feb 01, 2025 2:33 pm To be honest this does seem like a bust
It sure does.
User avatar
Rubus_Leucodermis
Storm Chaser
Storm Chaser
Posts: 6344
Joined: Thu Nov 21, 2019 5:48 pm
Location: Vancouver
Elevation: 70 m / 230 ft
Has thanked: 4874 times
Been thanked: 12959 times

Re: February 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

wetcoast91 wrote: Sat Feb 01, 2025 2:25 pm The trend of taking the ULL further off the coast a few days ago was a sign that this could happen. Just a reminder that models tend to show more juice with these features outside of 24 hours.

Oddly enough, EC's forecast from 2 days ago was spot on. ECs forecast is now too snowy.
I thought it was strange that the mesoscale models (particularly NAM) were so much drier than the Euro and GFS. If the 18Z Euro comes in dry, the caving to the mesoscale models (and the rug pull) will be complete.
It's called clown range for a reason.
Post Reply