February 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

[Weather Dude]

EC predicting a North Shore Special with 20-30cm. Lets see.

That’s the exact same forecast they have for Vancouver (the screenshots you posted).

EC and TWN both are still calling for lots of snow.

[Typeing3]

EC forecast for NE Metro Vancouver:

ECPittMeadowsFeb120254pm.png

[Forrest Gump]

Round 2 has arrived. IMG_20250201_161559618.jpg

Still blue sky here within 2 block radius of Tim Hortons, best I could hope for are isolated Tim Bits

[Michael1]

Temp: +4.5. Current conditions: disappointing

[stuffradio]

Let's wait until Tuesday/Wednesday to say this is a bust. The main event wasn't supposed to start until tonight/tomorrow.

[HarrisonSasquatchWx]

Let's wait until Tuesday/Wednesday to say this is a bust. The main event wasn't supposed to start until tonight/tomorrow.

That's true Stuff like l mentioned the parent low is up the coast still where exactly l'm not sure can someone maybe check satellite image and post please.

[Rubus_Leucodermis]

Just been reviewing the models and most show something falling tonight, some show up to 10 cm in some areas. This is even the case with the scaling back on amounts that happened today. So I expect many of us will have something on the ground when it gets light tomorrow morning.

My best guess is not a whole lot of accumulation tomorrow during the day. Instead, there will be melting and compaction as it goes above freezing, then another chance for up to 10 cm tomorrow night. But we shall see. Would be nice if the Euro pepto verified.

[HarrisonSasquatchWx]

And round 2 ended 15 min. maybe a trace it's still hovering around 1c @ the pond in south Sardis, Where's John? must be out making a slushman.

[Rubus_Leucodermis]

Let's wait until Tuesday/Wednesday to say this is a bust. The main event wasn't supposed to start until tonight/tomorrow.

And there will probably be more chances later in the week. #surprises

[Rubus_Leucodermis]

My EC forecast for tonight is: “A few rain showers ending this evening then cloudy. Snow at times heavy beginning after midnight. Flurries over higher terrain early this evening. Snowfall amount 5 to 10 cm. Wind southwest 20 km/h except gusting to 50 near the water early this evening. Wind becoming east 20 near midnight. Low minus 1.”

[HarrisonSasquatchWx]

Just been reviewing the models and most show something falling tonight, some show up to 10 cm in some areas. This is even the case with the scaling back on amounts that happened today. So I expect many of us will have something on the ground when it gets light tomorrow morning.

My best guess is not a whole lot of accumulation tomorrow during the day. Instead, there will be melting and compaction as it goes above freezing, then another chance for up to 10 cm tomorrow night. But we shall see. Would be nice if the Euro pepto verified.

The thing is Rubes maybe some were expecting snow with the Arctic front maybe that's the higher totals we were hoping for.

[Radar]

Just been reviewing the models and most show something falling tonight, some show up to 10 cm in some areas. This is even the case with the scaling back on amounts that happened today. So I expect many of us will have something on the ground when it gets light tomorrow morning.

My best guess is not a whole lot of accumulation tomorrow during the day. Instead, there will be melting and compaction as it goes above freezing, then another chance for up to 10 cm tomorrow night. But we shall see. Would be nice if the Euro pepto verified.

Ya 15cm or less is a bust from the models people have been showing on here of 20-40cm.

[PortKells]

Ya 15cm or less is a bust from the models people have been showing on here of 20-40cm.

Less of a bust and more of a rug pull.

[wetcoast91]

Ya 15cm or less is a bust from the models people have been showing on here of 20-40cm.

To be fair, most of us were not expecting 20-40cm.

15cm would be a fantastic outcome for many people here.

[Nordelian]

Ya 15cm or less is a bust from the models people have been showing on here of 20-40cm.

Posts like this are why I am not a fan of people posting snow maps without interpretation. Posters like this take it at face value.

There are plenty of models that had 15 cm or less for some areas. It wouldn't be a model bust to get 10-15 cm.

This "snow event" was never modelled to be an organized snowstorm and was always going to be a bunch of convective pulses on and off. The big amounts were always a result of a lucky cell of snow sitting stationery over metro Vancouver which is totally possibly but highly uncertain. Global models with poorer resolution will have a tendency to overblow amounts in those cases. This is why high resolution models that are convective allowing (i.e. HRRR, HRDPS, 3 km NAM) are the way to go.