Rubus_Leucodermis wrote: ↑Fri Feb 07, 2025 11:29 am
Screen Shot 2025-02-07 at 11.30.53.png
Things I want to say:
There are still big time snow chances this year. You may have to wait until November or December but we will have a narrow window due to El Nino!
We will still see snow soon. It may just quickly transition to rain across most of Western Washington lowlands leading to a wet sloppy dusting.
The torch is on. Look forward to mild pineapply rains followed by ridging! Could see our first 60 burgers in a few weeks. Jimtastic weather.
March looks ripe for potential. Think +9C days followed by overnight sticking slush. Fortunately the March sun angles will prevent any daytime snow issues.
Looks better up in the Lower Mainland though.
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Last edited by wetcoast91 on Fri Feb 07, 2025 3:23 pm, edited 1 time in total.
AbbyJr wrote: ↑Fri Feb 07, 2025 9:58 am
The Euro is usually really good. I think it failed last weekend because it wasn't able to handle the convective nature of the moisture. However, it did really good last January with track of the surface low that led to the region wide snowstorm. I'd trust it in some setups more than others.
True. Mesoscale models are the way to go during convective setups as the global models really struggle due to their poor resolution.
Rubus_Leucodermis wrote: ↑Fri Feb 07, 2025 9:58 am
40 cm would be superb. Even 25 cm would let me troll the AF by reporting my fourth winter in a row with a double-digit (inch) snowfall.
FYI, an el Nino next winter is by no means a certainty, any more than a la Nina was this year. At the moment, the models are looking at a warm neutral. At this point in our climate, the effect an neutral enso has on our weather is increasingly uncertain.
Screenshot 2025-02-07 at 12-58-18 Southern hemisphere outlooks.png
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Last edited by Michael1 on Fri Feb 07, 2025 12:59 pm, edited 1 time in total.
I've heard it said before that it takes less to force flurries out of the air than rain because of the lower temperatures and that's why weak energy like tomorrow is often modeled too try. I don't remember by whom but it may have been Chris Doyle. Is this a thing?
2025-26 season stats:
Climo ∞ to 0.5 GFS
Season total: 0.5 cm and TWO traces!
Peak depth: 0.5 cm (01/07/2026)
AbbyJr wrote: ↑Fri Feb 07, 2025 1:05 pm
Just slipped and fell on the ice in my driveway. My wrist is now really sore and the back of my iPhone got badly damaged.
AbbyJr wrote: ↑Fri Feb 07, 2025 1:05 pm
Just slipped and fell on the ice in my driveway. My wrist is now really sore and the back of my iPhone got badly damaged.
Oh thats no good. I did the same thing on Monday, flat on my back and the bashed the back of my head. My son was worried about a concussion, but i was only pissed off. Hope your wrist feels better
∞ to 0.5 
GFS
