February 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

[Hawk]

dont worry about the LR. The always solid NWS says crap shoot starting end of next week. Models are struggling and all over the place in the LR(as usual).

Euro brings another troff down the coast in chilly NW flow
GFS brings a negatively tilted front in from the SW

lolol. May as well throw a rr ridge option in there somewhere too

[HarrisonSasquatchWx]

dont worry about the LR. The always solid NWS says crap shoot starting end of next week. Models are struggling and all over the place in the LR(as usual).

Euro brings another troff down the coast in chilly NW flow
GFS brings a negatively tilted front in from the SW

lolol. May as well throw a rr ridge option in there somewhere too

We don't live down there way different climate.

[HarrisonSasquatchWx]

He does mention “ barring some decent events”.
No need to get nasty!

Are you related John?

[Typeing3]

iirc, the late 70s and 80s were super solid too. I experienced it. Some amazing stretches of cold/snowy. Things went downhill in the 90's, 2000's and ever since, barring some decent events of course

The 90s had some very good events as well, to be fair. A mix of extreme snowfall events with significant cold snaps, and extended cold snaps as well.

The winter of 1992-93, for example, was the most recent example of an analogue to the winter of 2016-17 in regards to persistence of cold. What 2016-17 lacked in producing a significant cold snap (ex. YVR did not drop below -10c), 1992-93 did not as there were two separate events in late December and early January that also included a large snowstorm sandwiched in between during early January.

It ultimately morphed into a near two week inversion that produced cold surface temps due to the preceeding arctic airmass and deep snow cover. The persistence of cold led to YVR recording a monthly average temp of -0.4c, and to this day it remains the last time the Lower Mainland experienced a cold January, now over 32 years ago.

[HarrisonSasquatchWx]

The 90s had some very good events as well, to be fair. A mix of extreme snowfall events with significant cold snaps, and extended cold snaps as well.

The winter of 1992-93, for example, was the most recent example of an analogue to the winter of 2016-17 in regards to persistence of cold. What 2016-17 lacked in producing a significant cold snap (ex. YVR did not drop below -10c), 1992-93 did not as there were two separate events in late December and early January that also included a large snowstorm sandwiched in between during early January.

It ultimately morphed into a near two week inversion that produced cold surface temps due to the preceeding arctic airmass and deep snow cover. The persistence of cold led to YVR recording a monthly average temp of -0.4c, and to this day it remains the last time the Lower Mainland experienced a cold January, now over 32 years ago.

Yes l mentioned the clumping together l remember more then spaced apart so every decade had it's moments correct Tsnow.?

[HarrisonSasquatchWx]

This blast is over dewpoints have almost caught up to air temperature much higher humidity and wind is calm in the central valley desert next.!

[Typeing3]

I saw afew fleeting flakes earlier in the central valley desert. I mentioned a gradual moderation could happen still 6 days out for anything really.
Where's this next shot of kold? any update Tcold, warmer this morning -3.0c NE outflow has all but shutoff now and it's mostly cloudy, dewpoint has really climbed back to -4.6c this round is over.

Modified arctic air will begin to approch the South Coast by Sunday night but it will be a slow bleed out to the coast with no defined arctic front. E component does not help in this regard. Might end up seeing some downsloping farctic outflow out in Agassiz in the latter half of the week.

Sunday night surface winds:

gfs_mslp_wind_nwus_10.png

Monday night surface winds:

gfs_mslp_wind_nwus_14.png

Tuesday night surface winds:

gfs_mslp_wind_nwus_18.png

[Typeing3]

Yes l mentioned the clumping together l remember more then spaced apart so every decade had it's moments correct Tsnow.?

Correct. With regards to annual snowfall during the 70s, 80s, and 90s at YVR, here are the stats:

1970s
1970: 40.3cm
1971: 242.6cm
1972: 58.7cm
1973: 29.4cm
1974: 40.7cm
1975: 119cm
1976: 37.9cm
1977: 30.8cm
1978: 43.5cm
1979: 10.1cm
Total snowfall 1970s: 653cm
Annual average snowfall 1970s: 65.3cm


1980s
1980: 45.9cm
1981: 22.6cm
1982: 60.8cm
1983: 12cm
1984: 38.6cm
1985: 56.7cm
1986: 17.6cm
1987: 8.2cm
1988: 11.4cm
1989: 38.6cm
Total snowfall 1980s: 312.4cm
Annual average snowfall 1980s: 31.2cm


1990s
1990: 102cm
1991: 67.4cm
1992: 35cm
1993: 33.3cm
1994: 18.6cm
1995: 22cm
1996: 130.4cm
1997: 8cm
1998: 48.9cm
1999: 4.4cm
Total snowfall 1990s: 470cm
Annual average snowfall 1990s: 47.0cm

[HarrisonSasquatchWx]

Modified arctic air will begin to approch the South Coast by Sunday night but it will be a slow bleed out to the coast with no defined arctic front. E component does not help in this regard. Might end up seeing some downsloping farctic outflow out in Agassiz in the latter half of the week.

Sunday night surface winds:
gfs_mslp_wind_nwus_10.png


Monday night surface winds:
gfs_mslp_wind_nwus_14.png


Tuesday night surface winds:
gfs_mslp_wind_nwus_18.png

Yeah kinda suspected a weaker re load that can lead to a moderation in temps. Oh well can only look forward to milder temps then no snow here so l'm done with the cold.

[HarrisonSasquatchWx]

Correct. With regards to annual snowfall during the 70s, 80s, and 90s at YVR, here are the stats:

1970s
1970: 40.3cm
1971: 242.6cm
1972: 58.7cm
1973: 29.4cm
1974: 40.7cm
1975: 119cm
1976: 37.9cm
1977: 30.8cm
1978: 43.5cm
1979: 10.1cm
Total snowfall 1970s: 653cm
Annual average snowfall 1970s: 65.3cm


1980s
1980: 45.9cm
1981: 22.6cm
1982: 60.8cm
1983: 12cm
1984: 38.6cm
1985: 56.7cm
1986: 17.6cm
1987: 8.2cm
1988: 11.4cm
1989: 38.6cm
Total snowfall 1980s: 312.4cm
Annual average snowfall 1980s: 31.2cm


1990s
1990: 102cm
1991: 67.4cm
1992: 35cm
1993: 33.3cm
1994: 18.6cm
1995: 22cm
1996: 130.4cm
1997: 8cm
1998: 48.9cm
1999: 4.4cm
Total snowfall 1990s: 470cm
Annual average snowfall 1990s: 47.0cm

71 as a kid man that winter was gold l was 11 that winter it was so exciting l remember.December/January rocked.

[Typeing3]

Screenshot_20250208_072940_Chrome.jpg

[HarrisonSasquatchWx]

Screenshot_20250208_072940_Chrome.jpg

I wonder if that energy out by Hawaii makes a move at some point or does it ride the ridge. Wintery mix later in the week l don't see it not for the central valley desert.

[HarrisonSasquatchWx]

Winter photos could the mods put the winter photos in the winter photo thread so there all together. not easy to rifle through pages and pages.

[John]

Are you related John?

No, just don’t like it when people get bullied not that hawk needs my help lol

I consider you all related

[HarrisonSasquatchWx]

What are we doing with 2 Arctic farts one near us and another over northern B.C. will the real Arctic fart please stand up!, please stand up! Slim shady.

Screenshot_20250208-075254.png