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Forrest Gump
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Re: Politics

Post by Forrest Gump »

Glacier wrote: Tue Mar 25, 2025 3:30 pm The age demographics break-down is just wild!
Maybe the 60+ bracket will change with conservatives promising to cut the lowest income tax bracket from 15 per cent to 12.75 per cent.
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Re: Politics

Post by stuffradio »

The Conservatives being the underdog in the polls actually does a disservice to the Liberals. Remember when the BC Conservatives were projected to win for the first time? The NDP eked out a win by a slim margin. I think the advanced polling being on Easter weekend and the polls thinking the Conservatives are going to lose will bring in voter apathy for Liberal supporters. They might believe it's in the bag.
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Re: Politics

Post by Forrest Gump »

AbbyJr wrote: Tue Mar 25, 2025 1:18 pm If Poilievre doesn't win the election, Smith will likely have been a big factor. I have no idea what she was thinking making those comments. :roll:
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What I've found really frustrating for the last 15-20 years, is how so many people are willing to give the liberals a very long leash, given the benefit of the doubt, easily forgiven, no matter how long the list of scandals, corruption, etc., yet if the conservatives make just one mistake, they'll get punished. I guess cancel culture is a one way street.
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Re: Politics

Post by Forrest Gump »

stuffradio wrote: Tue Mar 25, 2025 5:49 pm The Conservatives being the underdog in the polls actually does a disservice to the Liberals. Remember when the BC Conservatives were projected to win for the first time? The NDP eked out a win by a slim margin. I think the advanced polling being on Easter weekend and the polls thinking the Conservatives are going to lose will bring in voter apathy for Liberal supporters. They might believe it's in the bag.
IMO anything short of a conservative majority will be another loss for the country, especially if the Bloq holds the balance of power in another Minority government. Don't think NDP will be much of a factor this time, as they will most likely get crushed.
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Re: Politics

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

Forrest Gump wrote: Tue Mar 25, 2025 6:24 pm IMO anything short of a conservative majority will be another loss for the country, especially if the Bloq holds the balance of power in another Minority government. Don't think NDP will be much of a factor this time, as they will most likely get crushed.
The Bloq was looking like the opposition but that was prior to Trudumbo's resignation skipper.
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Re: Politics

Post by Forrest Gump »

SouthSardiswx wrote: Tue Mar 25, 2025 7:48 pm The Bloq was looking like the opposition but that was prior to Trudumbo's resignation skipper.
Even if their current 33 seats get cut in half they could still be a factor in a slim minority., which could very well happen if you believe the polls.
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Re: Politics

Post by Forrest Gump »

Hard to believe but been hearing that many unions/union members plan on voting for Pierre :shock: :hearteyes: :shock:
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Re: Politics

Post by AbbyJr »

Forrest Gump wrote: Tue Mar 25, 2025 6:16 pm Former UK PM continues to slam Carney
https://x.com/glennbeck/status/1903081846675476731

What I've found really frustrating for the last 15-20 years, is how so many people are willing to give the liberals a very long leash, given the benefit of the doubt, easily forgiven, no matter how long the list of scandals, corruption, etc., yet if the conservatives make just one mistake, they'll get punished. I guess cancel culture is a one way street.
Unfortunately, there is an anti-conservative movement among Canadian voters in the regions that often determine our election results.
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Re: Politics

Post by Abby_wx »

Forrest Gump wrote: Tue Mar 25, 2025 5:36 pm Maybe the 60+ bracket will change with conservatives promising to cut the lowest income tax bracket from 15 per cent to 12.75 per cent.
I wouldn't be so sure. Don't forget that Harper increased the OAS age to 67 and seniors cried bloody murder. Trudeau moved it back to 65 and then he raised it by 10%, so the Liberals have a lot of goodwill with seniors. Most Canadians supported this because they think OAS is about helping poor seniors, but that's actually a separate benefit called GIS (Guaranteed Income Supplement).

OAS is the single largest federal budget expenditure and it continues to grow unsustainably. Under the current program, OAS benefits don't start being reduced until annual earnings reach $90,997 and are not fully clawed back until $148,451, which means that some couples earning nearly $300K per year household income are collecting social assistance.

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I think we need to reform this system dramatically, but unfortunately it's political suicide for anyone who even suggests it. Seniors have proven that they are a major voting block, so keeping them fat and happy is priority number one.
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Re: Politics

Post by Forrest Gump »

AbbyJr wrote: Tue Mar 25, 2025 9:25 pm Unfortunately, there is an anti-conservative movement among Canadian voters in the regions that often determine our election results.
Not so sure about that, if there is, no doubt it's being orchestrated by the liberal mainstream media, both tv and print, it's so obvious with most of the hosts and guests as to who they're rooting for. And apparently Carney's advisor is involved with the globe&mail.
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Re: Politics

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

Forrest Gump wrote: Tue Mar 25, 2025 8:30 pm Even if their current 33 seats get cut in half they could still be a factor in a slim minority., which could very well happen if you believe the polls.
Hamilton is a steel town and usually votes NDP skipper can some be persuaded to vote Conservative. :?
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Re: Politics

Post by Glacier »

Industry towns and union towns are NDP-Conservative voters (voters who switch between NDP and Conservative). Suburban areas are and less industry based cities are Liberal-Conservative voters (voters who switch between these two), and inner cities of large metros are NDP-Liberal voters.

Atlantic Canada is mostly Liberal-Conservative voters (except for Halifax and Saint Johns). Anyway, the Conservatives were set to win like almost every riding a couple months ago, and now the Liberals could sweep Newfoundland and Nova Scotia. One of the Liberal MPs who was going to retire "so he could spend more time with his family" has seen the polls and has now decided that his family isn't that important after all, and even though another guy was nominated for the Liberals, and made signs and all that already, he will kick him to the curb and run again.

The Liberals are absolutely cleaning house in the innner cities right now. 3 months ago they were set to lose most seats in Toronto, montreal, and Vancouver, but now they could take every seat in all three cities! There's one seat the NDP will likely win in Montreal. Suffice to say, all parties who aren't Liberal have gone down, but the NDP most of all. They could finish behind the Bloc in popular vote, and end up with under 10 seats.
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Re: Politics

Post by AbbyJr »

Initially I thought that Trump endorsed Carney because he wanted Poilievre to win. But on second thoughts, I actually think Trump wants Carney to win because he views him as weak. A weak leader is easier to control. Therefore, Trump would likely exploit his weakness for his own agenda. With this in mind, why would anybody take the man who the bully views as weak and nominate him to stand up to the bully? It makes absolutely no sense. It seems to me that Poilievre is the best choice because not only is he strong to stand up to Trump but his government is also fiscally responsible.
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Re: Politics

Post by Canada Goose »

The only question is: will the Liberals have a majority? The Conservatives have no chance of winning.
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Re: Politics

Post by Forrest Gump »

Canada Goose wrote: Wed Mar 26, 2025 11:26 am The only question is: will the Liberals have a majority? The Conservatives have no chance of winning.
Sure hope you're wrong. Surely there's got to be a fair amount of undecided voters still, and hopefully a good showing by Pollievre in the debates will tip the scales. Why people would want to give Trudeau's advisor of 5 years and the same old liberal gang, cabinet ministers, who have driven a lot of businesses out of the country, a 4th straight term is beyond belief.
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