August 2025 Forecasts and Discussion

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
Post Reply
Coquitlam79
Weather Nut
Weather Nut
Posts: 490
Joined: Sun May 05, 2019 6:48 pm
Location: Pipeline road near town centre park, Coquitlam
Has thanked: 70 times
Been thanked: 1129 times

Re: August 2025 Forecasts and Discussion

Post by Coquitlam79 »

ECs forecast for Vancouver for the next couple days looks like an error. They only have a 30% chance of showers for Wednesday, and that's it. Meanwhile the 00z models are showing widespread rain especially the Euro. Unless the early model runs today completely did a 180 on the precip but I doubt that.
User avatar
stuffradio
Site Admin
Site Admin
Posts: 3125
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:07 pm
Location: Maple Ridge
Has thanked: 5010 times
Been thanked: 7523 times
Contact:

Re: August 2025 Forecasts and Discussion

Post by stuffradio »

I'm thinking of setting up regional Facebook pages for BC. Doing this will allow me to target weather warnings for specific areas of the province. I might also set something up to alert the Facebook page when frost warnings are in place, etc.
User avatar
Bonovox
Moderator
Moderator
Posts: 6736
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:10 pm
Location: Ladner
Elevation: Sea Level
Has thanked: 4807 times
Been thanked: 15606 times

Re: August 2025 Forecasts and Discussion

Post by Bonovox »

Coquitlam79 wrote: Mon Aug 04, 2025 10:19 am ECs forecast for Vancouver for the next couple days looks like an error. They only have a 30% chance of showers for Wednesday, and that's it. Meanwhile the 00z models are showing widespread rain especially the Euro. Unless the early model runs today completely did a 180 on the precip but I doubt that.
It's still there on the Euro, at least. Total precip ending Friday morning.
You do not have the required permissions to view the files attached to this post.
Spring/Summer :sick: Fall/Winter :thumbup:

Ladner - Elevation: Sea Level

Wx Station: https://tempestwx.com/station/41362/grid
User avatar
Bonovox
Moderator
Moderator
Posts: 6736
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:10 pm
Location: Ladner
Elevation: Sea Level
Has thanked: 4807 times
Been thanked: 15606 times

Re: August 2025 Forecasts and Discussion

Post by Bonovox »

The GEM is quite a bit drier. Perhaps that explains EC's pessimism.
You do not have the required permissions to view the files attached to this post.
Spring/Summer :sick: Fall/Winter :thumbup:

Ladner - Elevation: Sea Level

Wx Station: https://tempestwx.com/station/41362/grid
User avatar
AbbyJr
Storm Chaser
Storm Chaser
Posts: 6604
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:14 pm
Location: Abbotsford
Elevation: 50m(164ft)
Has thanked: 12856 times
Been thanked: 12303 times

Re: August 2025 Forecasts and Discussion

Post by AbbyJr »

Looks like we might be going into the furnace late next weekend and into the following week. Still in the clown range though. :14clown: :wave:

ecmwf-aifs-ensemble-CYXX-indiv_tmp-4308800.png
ecmwf-ensemble-CYXX-indiv_tmp-4308800.png
You do not have the required permissions to view the files attached to this post.
Central Abbotsford
50m (164ft)

2022/23 season snowfall: 76.8cm

:team: :snowwindow: :snowman:
User avatar
Canada Goose
Weather Enthusiast
Weather Enthusiast
Posts: 2768
Joined: Mon Feb 18, 2019 12:41 pm
Location: Port Coquitlam (Downtown) - Banana Belt
Elevation: 11 m
Has thanked: 917 times
Been thanked: 6233 times

Re: August 2025 Forecasts and Discussion

Post by Canada Goose »

Coquitlam79 wrote: Mon Aug 04, 2025 10:19 am ECs forecast for Vancouver for the next couple days looks like an error. They only have a 30% chance of showers for Wednesday, and that's it. Meanwhile the 00z models are showing widespread rain especially the Euro. Unless the early model runs today completely did a 180 on the precip but I doubt that.
EC’s forecast is garbage. Totally unreliable.
User avatar
Roberts Creeker
Donator
Donator
Posts: 4135
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:17 pm
Location: Upper Roberts Creek
Elevation: 162 M./532 ft.
Has thanked: 23678 times
Been thanked: 8022 times

Re: August 2025 Forecasts and Discussion

Post by Roberts Creeker »

Bonovox wrote: Mon Aug 04, 2025 11:47 am It's still there on the Euro, at least. Total precip ending Friday morning.
They've backed off to 30% chance of showers here too. I hope we get some rain, it's so dry here, This morning looked promising but turned out just overcast and dark.

I was disappointed they've upped the temp too, it was forecast to be 18c tomorrow for several days but now is a more reasonable 20c.

Yesterday was a high of 20.4c. Can anyone tell me the lowest high for Sechelt for August?
:team: :flakey: :flakey:

Snow total: 1cm Dec 24, 1cm Feb 19
User avatar
Canada Goose
Weather Enthusiast
Weather Enthusiast
Posts: 2768
Joined: Mon Feb 18, 2019 12:41 pm
Location: Port Coquitlam (Downtown) - Banana Belt
Elevation: 11 m
Has thanked: 917 times
Been thanked: 6233 times

Re: August 2025 Forecasts and Discussion

Post by Canada Goose »

Roberts Creeker wrote: Mon Aug 04, 2025 1:18 pm Can anyone tell me the lowest high for Sechelt for August?
Must be 14.8°C in 2018 but very short period of record (2007-2025).
For Powell River, it's 12.2°C in 1960 (since 1924).
User avatar
Roberts Creeker
Donator
Donator
Posts: 4135
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:17 pm
Location: Upper Roberts Creek
Elevation: 162 M./532 ft.
Has thanked: 23678 times
Been thanked: 8022 times

Re: August 2025 Forecasts and Discussion

Post by Roberts Creeker »

Canada Goose wrote: Mon Aug 04, 2025 1:45 pm Must be 14.8°C in 2018 but very short period of record (2007-2025).
For Powell River, it's 12.2°C in 1960 (since 1924).
Thank you! Yes, the new station doesn't have much of a record. That is cold! brrrr
:team: :flakey: :flakey:

Snow total: 1cm Dec 24, 1cm Feb 19
User avatar
stuffradio
Site Admin
Site Admin
Posts: 3125
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:07 pm
Location: Maple Ridge
Has thanked: 5010 times
Been thanked: 7523 times
Contact:

Re: August 2025 Forecasts and Discussion

Post by stuffradio »

#Yearwithoutasummer
User avatar
HarrisonSasquatchWx
Donator
Donator
Posts: 22650
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:37 pm
Location: Harrison Hot Springs B.C.
Has thanked: 59992 times
Been thanked: 19781 times

Re: August 2025 Forecasts and Discussion

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

Canada Goose wrote: Mon Aug 04, 2025 12:52 pm EC’s forecast is garbage. Totally unreliable.
That's why l refer to E.C. as A.I. Mr. Gooser ther reliability over the years is absolutely horrible especially in the 21st century. :shock:
Current conditions in Harrison Hot Springs:
https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/ ... wx_pwsdash
User avatar
HarrisonSasquatchWx
Donator
Donator
Posts: 22650
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:37 pm
Location: Harrison Hot Springs B.C.
Has thanked: 59992 times
Been thanked: 19781 times

Re: August 2025 Forecasts and Discussion

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

AbbyJr wrote: Mon Aug 04, 2025 12:42 pm Looks like we might be going into the furnace late next weekend and into the following week. Still in the clown range though. :14clown: :wave:


ecmwf-aifs-ensemble-CYXX-indiv_tmp-4308800.png

ecmwf-ensemble-CYXX-indiv_tmp-4308800.png
:sick: l'm ready Jr. Man not. :xWe reached a high of 22.6c @ the pond in south Sardis today.
Pic# 1 Black Creek fire on Saturday. Pic#2 Hope - Flood road south of Highway 1. I didn't hear about this fire on the news, my friend said it's about 2 weeks old and it's now a flare up.
You do not have the required permissions to view the files attached to this post.
Current conditions in Harrison Hot Springs:
https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/ ... wx_pwsdash
User avatar
Hawk
Total Weather Geek
Total Weather Geek
Posts: 8627
Joined: Mon Feb 18, 2019 6:45 pm
Location: Langley-Willoughby/The Similkameeeens
Elevation: 100m/950m
Has thanked: 17147 times
Been thanked: 8324 times

Re: August 2025 Forecasts and Discussion

Post by Hawk »

im really enjoying this "soccer team" summer schedule. The 4/4/2, or the 3/4/3 lol. Take your pick. (a great mix of either sun/cloud/warm/showers/rain/cool) 8-)
#BonoApproved

Has anywhere locally cracked 35c so far this summer? :lol: :lol:
Looking forward to our first 3 day stretch of sun and 20c++ 8-)
Willoughby Langley at ~320ft / Similkameeeens ~3400ft
User avatar
Rubus_Leucodermis
Storm Chaser
Storm Chaser
Posts: 6342
Joined: Thu Nov 21, 2019 5:48 pm
Location: Vancouver
Elevation: 70 m / 230 ft
Has thanked: 4874 times
Been thanked: 12957 times

Re: August 2025 Forecasts and Discussion

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

stuffradio wrote: Mon Aug 04, 2025 7:06 pm #Yearwithoutasummer
I’ll have to check my records for the exact count, but I’ve had a handful of afternoons in the 30’s already. And plenty of ’em in the 25–30 range.
It's called clown range for a reason.
User avatar
stuffradio
Site Admin
Site Admin
Posts: 3125
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:07 pm
Location: Maple Ridge
Has thanked: 5010 times
Been thanked: 7523 times
Contact:

Re: August 2025 Forecasts and Discussion

Post by stuffradio »

Rubus_Leucodermis wrote: Tue Aug 05, 2025 9:19 am I’ll have to check my records for the exact count, but I’ve had a handful of afternoons in the 30’s already. And plenty of ’em in the 25–30 range.
I think with the variability this summer, it has just had a completely different feel this year.
Post Reply